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DBA Sempra (SRE) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Diversified

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $91.31 — A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Aliso Canyon (63% of SoCalGas working gas storage capacity) (63.0%).

Sempra is a holding company with regulated utilities in California (SDG&E serving ~3.6M electric customers, SoCalGas serving ~21.3M gas customers) and Texas (80.25% stake in Oncor, the largest T&D system in Texas), plus Sempra Infrastructure. Revenue is primarily utility rates... Read more

$91.31+2.5% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#5 of 5 Utilities - Diversified
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-47.32%
IncomeYield2.88%(5y avg 3.07%)Payout88.18%at-risk
Stop $86.99Target $93.60(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$104.00+13.9%17 analysts
$93.60our TP
$91.31price
$104.00mean
$118

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $91.31 — A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Aliso Canyon (63% of SoCalGas working gas storage capacity) (63.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Val5.7Qual4.7Grw3.1Mom2.6Sent6.7Ins5.0Peer3.5Tech7.5Risk7.34.9OVERALL

Recent Developments — DBA Sempra

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Aliso Canyon (63% of SoCalGas working gas storage capacity) (63.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.1
P/E (Fwd)16.5
Mkt Cap$59.7B
EV/EBITDA18.8
Profit Mgn14.4%
ROE5.7%
Rev Growth-3.9%
Beta0.60
Dividend2.88%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.16bearish
IV34%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierAliso Canyon (63% of SoCalGas working gas storage capacity)63%
    10-K Item 1: 'The Aliso Canyon natural gas storage facility...represents 63% of SoCalGas' working natural gas storage capacity'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.7
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Revenue shrinking — -3.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.5
Earnings Growth
4.7
Declining revenue: -4%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.0
Growth Rank
2.0
Quality Rank
6.0
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
45 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $88.97Resistance $96.06

Price Targets

$87
$94
A.Upside+2.5%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.5% upside)
! Momentum score 2.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.5:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SRE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $91.31 — A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Aliso Canyon (63% of SoCalGas working gas storage capacity) (63.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $86.99. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SRE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $93.60 (+2.5% upside). Prior stop was $86.99. Stop-loss: $86.99.

What are the risks of investing in SRE?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Aliso Canyon (63% of SoCalGas working gas storage capacity) (63.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7).

Is SRE overvalued or undervalued?

DBA Sempra trades at a P/E of 31.1 (forward 16.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SRE?

24 analysts cover SRE with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $104.

What does DBA Sempra do?Sempra is a holding company with regulated utilities in California (SDG&E serving ~3.6M electric customers, SoCalGas...

Sempra is a holding company with regulated utilities in California (SDG&E serving ~3.6M electric customers, SoCalGas serving ~21.3M gas customers) and Texas (80.25% stake in Oncor, the largest T&D system in Texas), plus Sempra Infrastructure. Revenue is primarily utility rates authorized by CPUC, PUCT, and FERC.

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