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SREDBA SempraSell5.0·$92.36+0.08%
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DBA Sempra (SRE) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Diversified

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $92.36 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Aliso Canyon (63% of SoCalGas working gas storage capacity) (63.0%).

Sempra is a holding company with regulated utilities in California (SDG&E serving ~3.6M electric customers, SoCalGas serving ~21.3M gas customers) and Texas (80.25% stake in Oncor, the largest T&D system in Texas), plus Sempra Infrastructure. Revenue is primarily utility rates... Read more

$92.36+0.9% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#4 of 5 Utilities - Diversified
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-46.81%
IncomeYield2.85%(5y avg 3.07%)Payout88.18%at-risk
Stop $88.65Target $93.15(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$103.50+12.1%17 analysts
$93.15our TP
$92.36price
$103.50mean
$118

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $92.36 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Aliso Canyon (63% of SoCalGas working gas storage capacity) (63.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About DBA Sempra

About DBA Sempra

Sempra's regulated utility subsidiaries served a combined service area population of approximately 24.9 million in California—through SDG&E's electric and gas operations in a 4,100-square-mile Southern California territory and SoCalGas's natural gas network spanning 24,000 square miles—plus more than 4.1 million Oncor distribution points of delivery in Texas. The CPUC and PUCT set rates for California and Texas operations respectively, with Sempra holding an 80.25% interest in Oncor at December 31, 2025.

Sempra earns revenue through three reportable segments: Sempra California (SDG&E and SoCalGas), Sempra Texas Utilities (Oncor Holdings and Sharyland), and Sempra Infrastructure. SDG&E procures electricity from a mix of owned natural-gas plants (26% of 4,778 MW net capacity), wind and solar PPAs (53% combined), and tolling contracts with rates set by the CPUC; SoCalGas purchases natural gas from Canada, the U.S. Rockies, and southwestern U.S. at published indices and holds 137 Bcf of working storage capacity across four facilities. Oncor, ring-fenced and accounted for as an equity method investment, earns transmission and distribution tariff revenues approved by the PUCT across more than 120 Texas counties, with 127,398 circuit miles of overhead and underground distribution lines. Sempra Infrastructure, in which KKR Pinnacle holds 20% and ADIA holds 10% through SI Partners, includes LNG and energy-network assets in the U.S. and Mexico.

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SoCalGas faces a single-facility storage dependency: the Aliso Canyon facility, with a working capacity of 86 Bcf, represents 63% of SoCalGas's total working natural gas storage and is subject to biennial CPUC administrative staff review. The CPUC has authorized up to 68.6 Bcf of working gas at the site, below the facility's full capacity. Any further CPUC-imposed restriction on Aliso Canyon's injection or withdrawal rights could weigh on SoCalGas's ability to balance seasonal gas demand across its 24,000-square-mile service territory.

See also: Utilities · Utilities - Diversified

From DBA Sempra's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Aliso Canyon (63% of SoCalGas working gas storage capacity) (63.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.4
P/E (Fwd)16.7
Mkt Cap$60.3B
EV/EBITDA18.9
Profit Mgn14.4%
ROE5.7%
Rev Growth-3.9%
Beta0.58
Dividend2.85%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.25bullish
IV53%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierAliso Canyon (63% of SoCalGas working gas storage capacity)63%
    10-K Item 1: 'The Aliso Canyon natural gas storage facility...represents 63% of SoCalGas' working natural gas storage capacity'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -3.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.5
Earnings Growth
4.7
Declining revenue: -4%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.0
Growth Rank
2.0
Quality Rank
6.0
GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $87.10Resistance $93.36

Price Targets

$89
$93
A.Upside+0.9%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.9% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SRE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $92.36 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Aliso Canyon (63% of SoCalGas working gas storage capacity) (63.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $88.65. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SRE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $93.15 (+0.9% upside). Prior stop was $88.65. Stop-loss: $88.65.

What are the risks of investing in SRE?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Aliso Canyon (63% of SoCalGas working gas storage capacity) (63.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.

Is SRE overvalued or undervalued?

DBA Sempra trades at a P/E of 31.4 (forward 16.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SRE?

24 analysts cover SRE with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $104.

What does DBA Sempra do?Sempra is a holding company with regulated utilities in California (SDG&E serving ~3.6M electric customers, SoCalGas...

Sempra is a holding company with regulated utilities in California (SDG&E serving ~3.6M electric customers, SoCalGas serving ~21.3M gas customers) and Texas (80.25% stake in Oncor, the largest T&D system in Texas), plus Sempra Infrastructure. Revenue is primarily utility rates authorized by CPUC, PUCT, and FERC.

Related stocks: BIP (Brookfield Infrastructure Partn) · AES (The AES Corporation) · AXIA (AXIA Energia) · VST (Vistra Corp.) · PCG (Pacific Gas & Electric Co.)
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