Value
5.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 4.2 |
| P/S | 7.3 |
| EV/EBITDA | 0.7 |
| Fwd P/E | 7.5 |
| PEG | 8.1 |
| Analyst target | 5.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 16.5x
- ▸PEG: 0.82
SRE · Why this verdict
Why DBA Sempra (SRE) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score5.1/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
4.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 1.9 |
| ROA | 1.2 |
| Gross margin | 4.5 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 7.2 |
| Current ratio | 6.1 |
| FCF quality | 0.0 |
| Moat | 3.9 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: -1444% FCF/NI
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
Growth
3.1/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 1.5 |
| EPS growth | 4.7 |
- ▸Declining revenue: -4%
Momentum
6.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.5 |
| MACD | 7.6 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 7.0 |
| Volume | 2.1 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
6.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 6.0 |
| Analyst rating | 7.4 |
| Price target | 6.9 |
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Negligible insider selling — $666,726 (0.001% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
3.5/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 1.0 |
| quality rank | 6.0 |
| growth rank | 2.0 |
Technical
5.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 4.3 |
| support resistance | 3.8 |
| 52w position | 8.1 |
Risk (lower is worse)
6.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 9.2 |
| days to cover | 8.1 |
| volatility | 7.5 |
| put call | 2.6 |
| implied vol | 5.7 |
| beta | 9.5 |
| debt equity | 5.9 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 1.61
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
6.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 7.8 |
| dividend safety | 3.5 |
| news activity | 5.0 |
- ▸Perfect beat streak: 4Q
- ▸Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Mixed signals. Hold existing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLD_DEFAULTPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:6.4>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:59d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:0.4<1.5@spot
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
0.40
Upside
+2.0%
Downside
5.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRANGE_BOUND — RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The default F-path HOLD fired without any positive-conviction gate triggering — no momentum acceleration, no quality+value crossover, no setup recognition. Highest-clear gate: MOMENTUM:6.4>=5.5. Top dim: Risk (lower is worse) at 6.9; weakest: Growth at 3.1. The engine's read is one of pattern absence — no directional conviction in either direction at current asymmetry.
The strongest dimensions are Risk (lower is worse) at 6.9, Sentiment at 6.8, and Momentum at 6.4; the weakest are Growth at 3.1, Peer rank at 3.5, and Quality at 4.7. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.40 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.