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SBSCompanhia de saneamento Basico Hold5.7·$4.62
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Companhia de Saneamento Basico is a regulated water utility that ranks in the top tier of its peer group on valuation, profitability, and growth simultaneously, trades at a forward price-to-earnings of 10.1x with a PEG of 0.65, but a free cash flow quality flag and thin asymmetry limit near-term positioning.

Thesis pillars

  • Peer Leading Valuation Quality Growth↑Improving
  • Attractive Forward Valuation→Stable
  • Free Cash Flow Quality Concern→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Companhia de saneamento Basico (SBS) Stock Analysis

Sector Rotation edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Water

Earnings today — results expected after close (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $4.62, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5; Weak growth.

Companhia de Saneamento Básico do Estado de São Paulo - SABESP provides basic and environmental sanitation services in the São Paulo State, Brazil. It supplies treated water and sewage services on a wholesale basis. Companhia de Saneamento Básico do Estado de São Paulo - SABESP... Read more

$4.62+23.9% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#3 of 9 Utilities - Regulated Water
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-38.43%
IncomeYield0.72%(5y avg 1.43%)Payout31.91%sustainable
Stop $4.30Analyst target $5.72(−13% haircut)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst consensus$6.58+42.4%6 analysts with price targets
$5.72Analyst target
$4.62price
$6.58mean
$8

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $4.62, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 3, 2026

Recent Developments — Companhia de saneamento Basico

Latest item Nov 3, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:44:09Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 2026Earnings today — results expected after close· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.5
P/E (Fwd)11.4
Mkt Cap$16.3B
EV/EBITDA3.3
Profit Mgn19.7%
ROE18.8%
Rev Growth13.9%
Beta0.12
Dividend0.72%
Analysts with ratings20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

Max Pain$3-45.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.1
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
2.3
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 19, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
6.0
GatesMomentum 1.7<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dA.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
19 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $4.33Resistance $6.79

Price Targets

$4
$6
A.Upside+23.9%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings today - binary event risk
! momentum at 1.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:0d<=7d

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (Earnings today — results expected after close)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SBS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $4.62, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $5.72 (+23.9%), stop $4.30 (−7.4%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SBS stock price target?

Analyst target: $5.72 (+23.9% upside). Analyst target $5.72 (+23.9%), stop $4.30 (−7.4%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Stop-loss: $4.30.

What are the risks of investing in SBS?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5; Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is SBS overvalued or undervalued?

Companhia de saneamento Basico trades at a P/E of 10.5 (forward 11.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SBS?

20 analysts rate SBS, with a consensus score of 4.3/5. 6 analysts publish price targets averaging $7.

What does Companhia de saneamento Basico do?Companhia de Saneamento Básico do Estado de São Paulo - SABESP provides basic and environmental sanitation services in...

Companhia de Saneamento Básico do Estado de São Paulo - SABESP provides basic and environmental sanitation services in the São Paulo State, Brazil. It supplies treated water and sewage services on a wholesale basis. Companhia de Saneamento Básico do Estado de São Paulo - SABESP was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.

Related stocks: AWR (American States Water Company) · CWT (California Water Service Group) · WTRG (Essential Utilities, Inc.) · HTO (H2O America) · AWK (American Water Works Company, I)
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