The AES Corporation (AES) Stock Analysis
Utilities · Utilities - Diversified
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.47: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.24; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
AES is a global energy company operating generation (34,740 MW across renewables, gas, coal) and regulated utilities (AES Indiana, AES Ohio, El Salvador) in four SBUs. Revenue comes from long-term power purchase agreements and regulated tariffs. In March 2026, AES entered a... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.47: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.24; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-16Item 5.02MEDIUMCAO Sherry Kohan mutually agreed to cease as SVP and Chief Accounting Officer effective May 7, 2026, transitioning to CFO of AES U.S. Utilities. Aubrey Jarred appointed VP and Controller as successor. Clean handoff.SEC filing →
- 2026-03-02Item 1.01HIGHAES entered Agreement and Plan of Merger with Horizon Parent L.P. (jointly controlled by Global Infrastructure Management and EQT Infrastructure VI). Each share of AES common stock to be converted into $15.00 cash. Change of control transaction.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.47: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.24; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $14.36. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $14.23 (-1.7% upside). Prior stop was $14.36. Stop-loss: $14.36.
Target reached (-9.2% upside); Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).
The AES Corporation trades at a P/E of 11.0 (forward 6.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
16 analysts cover AES with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $15.
What does The AES Corporation do?AES is a global energy company operating generation (34,740 MW across renewables, gas, coal) and regulated utilities...
AES is a global energy company operating generation (34,740 MW across renewables, gas, coal) and regulated utilities (AES Indiana, AES Ohio, El Salvador) in four SBUs. Revenue comes from long-term power purchase agreements and regulated tariffs. In March 2026, AES entered a definitive merger agreement to be acquired at $15.00/share by a Global Infrastructure Management and EQT Infrastructure VI consortium.