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BIPBrookfield Infrastructure PartnSell5.6·$38.10-2.01%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Despite a strong growth profile, BIP fails the quality minimum with free cash flow deeply negative relative to net income and price momentum broken; less than 1% headroom to the price target and a risk/reward of roughly 0.2-to-1 leave the setup without adequate compensation for the risks present.

Thesis pillars

  • Deeply Negative Free Cash FlowStable
  • Quality Below Minimum ThresholdImproving
  • Momentum Failure Falling VolumeImproving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Brookfield Infrastructure Partn (BIP) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Diversified

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.10: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 1.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. engages in the utilities, transport, midstream, and data businesses. The company provides transmission of energy and natural gas, and distribution; transport infrastructure including freight, toll road operations, transportation services... Read more

$38.10+7.6% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#4 of 6 Utilities - Diversified
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-2.74%
IncomeYield4.68%(5y avg 4.53%)Payout285.48%at-risk
Stop $36.82Target $40.98(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$47.10+23.6%10 analysts
$40.98our TP
$38.10price
$47.10mean
$57

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.10: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 1.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 69d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Nov 6, 202669d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)62.7
P/E (Fwd)26.8
Mkt Cap$30.8B
EV/EBITDA10.4
Profit Mgn1.3%
ROE7.7%
Rev Growth19.4%
Beta1.03
Dividend4.68%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.07bullish
IV41%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.7
Value Rank
3.3
Growth Rank
6.7

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
3.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Net Margin
0.6
Gross Margin
1.3
Roa
2.2
Roe
2.6
Current Ratio
3.6
Moat
4.9
Piotroski F
6.7
Operating Margin
9.1
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -265% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 69d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $37.96Resistance $41.99

Price Targets

$37
$41
A.Upside+7.6%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-06 (69d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BIP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.10: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 1.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $36.82. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BIP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $40.98 (+7.6% upside). Prior stop was $36.82. Stop-loss: $36.82.

What are the risks of investing in BIP?

Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).

Is BIP overvalued or undervalued?

Brookfield Infrastructure Partn trades at a P/E of 62.7 (forward 26.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BIP?

15 analysts cover BIP with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $47.

What does Brookfield Infrastructure Partn do?Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. engages in the utilities, transport, midstream, and data businesses. The...

Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. engages in the utilities, transport, midstream, and data businesses. The company provides transmission of energy and natural gas, and distribution; transport infrastructure including freight, toll road operations, transportation services and intermodal logistics; midstream infrastructure, such as midstream and storage services; and data transmission and distribution operations. In addition, it offers asset management, and wealth solutions. It operates in the United States, Canada, India, the United Kingdom, Brazil, Japan, Colombia, France, Australia, Germany, and internationally. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.

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