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BIPBrookfield Infrastructure PartnSell5.7·$38.94-1.79%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Despite a strong growth profile, BIP fails the quality minimum with free cash flow deeply negative relative to net income and price momentum broken; less than 1% headroom to the price target and a risk/reward of roughly 0.2-to-1 leave the setup without adequate compensation for the risks present.

Thesis pillars

  • Deeply Negative Free Cash FlowImproving
  • Quality Below Minimum ThresholdImproving
  • Momentum Failure Falling VolumeDeteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Brookfield Infrastructure Partn (BIP) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Diversified

Sell if holding. At $38.94, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0; Thin upside margin: 4.2%.

Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. engages in the utilities, transport, midstream, and data businesses. The company provides transmission of energy and natural gas, and distribution; transport infrastructure including freight, toll road operations, transportation services... Read more

$38.94+4.2% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#1 of 6 Utilities - Diversified
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-4.26%
IncomeYield4.56%(5y avg 4.53%)Payout285.48%at-risk
Stop $36.32Target $40.57(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$46.64+19.8%11 analysts
$40.57our TP
$38.94price
$46.64mean
$57

Sell if holding. At $38.94, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0; Thin upside margin: 4.2%. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 91d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Nov 6, 202691d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.2%
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)65.0
P/E (Fwd)26.7
Mkt Cap$31.4B
EV/EBITDA10.1
Profit Mgn1.3%
ROE7.7%
Rev Growth19.4%
Beta1.03
Dividend4.56%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.20bearish
IV37%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.9
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
3.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
7.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 91d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $36.68Resistance $44.03

Price Targets

$36
$41
A.Upside+4.2%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.6 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-06 (91d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BIP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $38.94, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0; Thin upside margin: 4.2%. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $36.32. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BIP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $40.57 (+4.2% upside). Prior stop was $36.32. Stop-loss: $36.32.

What are the risks of investing in BIP?

Thin upside margin: 4.2%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is BIP overvalued or undervalued?

Brookfield Infrastructure Partn trades at a P/E of 65.0 (forward 26.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BIP?

15 analysts cover BIP with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $47.

What does Brookfield Infrastructure Partn do?Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. engages in the utilities, transport, midstream, and data businesses. The...

Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. engages in the utilities, transport, midstream, and data businesses. The company provides transmission of energy and natural gas, and distribution; transport infrastructure including freight, toll road operations, transportation services and intermodal logistics; midstream infrastructure, such as midstream and storage services; and data transmission and distribution operations. In addition, it offers asset management, and wealth solutions. It operates in the United States, Canada, India, the United Kingdom, Brazil, Japan, Colombia, France, Australia, Germany, and internationally. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.

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