Sportradar is recovering from a death-cross pattern with strong analyst conviction implying 35% upside and exceptional free cash flow at 416% of net income, but 2 of the last 3 earnings were misses and high leverage at debt-to-equity of 6.9 limits financial flexibility in a still-recovering technical trend.
Thesis pillars
- Exceptional Fcf Conversion→Stable
- High Analyst Conviction Upside→Stable
- Earnings Miss Execution Concern→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days
Sportradar Group AG (SRAD) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Technology · Software - Application
Sell if holding. At $14.49, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.5%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2).
Sportradar Group AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides sports data services for the sports betting and media industries in Switzerland, the United States, North America, Africa, Malta, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Europe, Latin America, and the Caribbean. The... Read more
Sell if holding. At $14.49, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.5%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 75. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, news boost analyst cluster(3), earnings proximity 118d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated Oct 28, 2026Recent Developments — Sportradar Group AG
Latest news
- NEWS StoneX reiterates Buy on Sportradar stock, $14 target on NBA deals By Investing.com - Investing.com South Africa — Investing.com South Africa Oct 28, 2026 positive
- NEWS StoneX reiterates Buy on Sportradar stock, $14 target on NBA deals By Investing.com - Investing.com Nigeria — Investing.com Nigeria Oct 28, 2026 positive
- NEWS Sportradar Group (NASDAQ:SRAD) Shares Gap Down - Here's Why - MarketBeat — MarketBeat Oct 28, 2026 negative
- NEWS StoneX reiterates Buy on Sportradar stock, $14 target on NBA deals - Investing.com — Investing.com Oct 28, 2026 positive
- NEWS Is Sportradar Group (SRAD) Undervalued Going Into Its November 3 Earnings? - Simply Wall St — Simply Wall St Oct 28, 2026 positive
Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:44:09Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $14.49, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.5%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 75. Prior stop was $13.48. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $15.87 (+9.5% upside). Prior stop was $13.48. Stop-loss: $13.48.
Thin upside margin: 9.5%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.
Sportradar Group AG trades at a P/E of 207.0 (forward 31.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
30 analysts rate SRAD, with a consensus score of 4.0/5. 22 analysts publish price targets averaging $18.
What does Sportradar Group AG do?Sportradar Group AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides sports data services for the sports betting and media...
Sportradar Group AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides sports data services for the sports betting and media industries in Switzerland, the United States, North America, Africa, Malta, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Europe, Latin America, and the Caribbean. The company offers betting technology and solutions, including betting and gaming content; real-time sports data points; pre-match and live odds services; streaming and betting engagement services; iGaming, which includes virtual soccer, horse and dog racing, basketball, tennis, baseball, and cricket; managed betting and trading services; and sports betting and gaming platform. It also provides sports content, technology, and services that include marketing services; sports media services comprising data, content and solutions for broadcasters, publishers, rights-holders, and technology companies; integrity services, including monitoring, intelligence, education, consultancy, rights protection, and regulatory solutions; and sports performance solutions for competition management, official data generation, automated content distribution and performance analysis, which include video and analytics, and coaching and scouting products. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Sankt Gallen, Switzerland.