Sportradar is recovering from a death-cross pattern with strong analyst conviction implying 35% upside and exceptional free cash flow at 416% of net income, but 2 of the last 3 earnings were misses and high leverage at debt-to-equity of 6.9 limits financial flexibility in a still-recovering technical trend.
Thesis pillars
- Exceptional Fcf Conversion→Stable
- High Analyst Conviction Upside↓Deteriorating
- Earnings Miss Execution Concern↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Sportradar Group AG (SRAD) Stock Analysis
Technology · Software - Application
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $11.63 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.
Sportradar Group AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides sports data services for the sports betting and media industries in Switzerland, the United States, North America, Africa, Malta, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Europe, Latin America, and the Caribbean. The... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $11.63 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-15Recent Developments — Sportradar Group AG
Latest news
- NEWS Roth MKM Maintains Sportradar Group AG(SRAD.US) With Buy Rating, Raises Target Price to $20 - Moomoo — Moomoo positive
- NEWS Roth MKM Maintains Sportradar Group AG(SRAD.US) With Buy Rating, Raises Target Price to $20 - moomoo.com — moomoo.com positive
- NEWS SRAD|Sportradar Group AG|Price:14.835|Chg%:+0.155 - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
- NEWS SRAD|Sportradar Group AG|Price:14.835|Chg%:+0.155 - tradingkey.com — tradingkey.com neutral
- NEWS Sportradar falls amid Muddy Waters short call (update) (SRAD:NASDAQ) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha negative
Generated 2026-10-15T11:37:21Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $11.63 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $11.05. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $16.33 (+40.4% upside). Prior stop was $11.05. Stop-loss: $11.05.
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Consecutive earnings misses (2).
Sportradar Group AG trades at a P/E of 232.6 (forward 26.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
29 analysts cover SRAD with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $18.
What does Sportradar Group AG do?Sportradar Group AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides sports data services for the sports betting and media...
Sportradar Group AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides sports data services for the sports betting and media industries in Switzerland, the United States, North America, Africa, Malta, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Europe, Latin America, and the Caribbean. The company offers betting technology and solutions, including betting and gaming content; real-time sports data points; pre-match and live odds services; streaming and betting engagement services; iGaming, which includes virtual soccer, horse and dog racing, basketball, tennis, baseball, and cricket; managed betting and trading services; and sports betting and gaming platform. It also provides sports content, technology, and services that include marketing services; sports media services comprising data, content and solutions for broadcasters, publishers, rights-holders, and technology companies; integrity services, including monitoring, intelligence, education, consultancy, rights protection, and regulatory solutions; and sports performance solutions for competition management, official data generation, automated content distribution and performance analysis, which include video and analytics, and coaching and scouting products. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Sankt Gallen, Switzerland.