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Snowflake Inc. (SNOW) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $169.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: AWS; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3).

Snowflake provides the AI Data Cloud platform enabling customers to consolidate, analyze, share and build applications on data across cloud environments. Revenue was $4.7B in FY2026 from 13,328 customers on a consumption-based model with 125% net revenue retention; 790 Forbes... Read more

$169.60+24.6% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#78 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield2.80%
Stop $157.68Target $211.29(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$229.66+35.4%48 analysts
$211.29our TP
$169.60price
$229.66mean
$110
$500

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $169.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: AWS; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 76. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Snowflake Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.57)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: AWS
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)67.8
Mkt Cap$56.8B
EV/EBITDA-43.1
Profit Mgn-28.4%
ROE-53.9%
Rev Growth30.1%
Beta1.08
DividendNone
Rating analysts58

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.08bearish
IV96%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierAWS
    10-K Item 1A: 'Currently, a substantial majority of our business is run on the AWS public cloud.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.7
52w Position
2.1
Gap
3.0
Extreme gap up (5.0%) - may pull back

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.5
Value Rank
0.5
Growth Rank
8.4
Industry growth leader

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Forward Pe
1.5
Ps
2.0
Peg Ratio
2.9
Analyst Target
7.5
Forward P/E: 67.8xPEG: 4.27
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 8d<=14d (soft)Momentum 7.3>=5.5A.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
76 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $133.02Resistance $176.98

Price Targets

$158
$211
A.Upside+24.6%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-27 (8d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SNOW stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $169.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: AWS; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 76. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $211.29 (+24.6%), stop $157.68 (−7.6%), A.R:R 1.6:1. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

What is the SNOW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $211.29 (+24.6% upside). Target $211.29 (+24.6%), stop $157.68 (−7.6%), A.R:R 1.6:1. Stop-loss: $157.68.

What are the risks of investing in SNOW?

Concentration risk — Supplier: AWS; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is SNOW overvalued or undervalued?

Snowflake Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 67.8). TrendMatrix value score: 3.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SNOW?

58 analysts cover SNOW with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $230.

What does Snowflake Inc. do?Snowflake provides the AI Data Cloud platform enabling customers to consolidate, analyze, share and build applications...

Snowflake provides the AI Data Cloud platform enabling customers to consolidate, analyze, share and build applications on data across cloud environments. Revenue was $4.7B in FY2026 from 13,328 customers on a consumption-based model with 125% net revenue retention; 790 Forbes Global 2000 customers contributed approximately 43% of revenue.

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