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Schneider National, Inc. (SNDR) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Trucking

Earnings in 0 days (2026-04-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.80: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Schneider National provides multimodal transportation and logistics across three segments (Truckload, Intermodal, Logistics) in the US, Canada, and Mexico. Intermodal operations rely primarily on CSX Transportation, UP, and CPKC rail contracts. Revenue comes from capacity... Read more

$30.80+0.4% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#1 of 9 Trucking
Stop $28.90Target $30.93(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$29.14-5.4%14 analysts
$30.93our TP
$30.80price
$29.14mean
$25
$38

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.80: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-17.7% upside)
Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)51.5
P/E (Fwd)21.5
Mkt Cap$5.3B
EV/EBITDA9.5
Profit Mgn1.8%
ROE3.4%
Rev Growth4.5%
Beta1.06
Dividend1.32%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.57bullish
IV56%elevated
Max Pain$15-51.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomermajor customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We derive a significant portion of our revenues from our major customers, the loss of one or more of which could have a materially adverse effect'
  • MEDIUMSupplierCSX Transportation, the UP, and the CPKC
    10-K Item 1A: 'our primary contracts for railroad transportation in support of our intermodal operations are currently with CSX Transportation, the UP, and the CPKC'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-01-28Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CEO Mark Rourke transitions to Executive Chair effective July 1, 2026; James Filter (EVP Group President) appointed as President and CEO effective July 1, 2026. Planned succession with named successor; no disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.9
Operating Margin
1.0
Roe
1.1
Roa
1.4
Fcf Quality
2.0
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
7.4
Piotroski F
8.9
Earnings quality RED FLAG: 25% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
70 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.87Resistance $31.56

Price Targets

$29
$31
A.Upside+0.4%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-17.7% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SNDR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.80: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $28.90. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SNDR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $30.93 (+0.4% upside). Prior stop was $28.90. Stop-loss: $28.90.

What are the risks of investing in SNDR?

Target reached (-17.7% upside); Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).

Is SNDR overvalued or undervalued?

Schneider National, Inc. trades at a P/E of 51.5 (forward 21.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SNDR?

23 analysts cover SNDR with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $29.

What does Schneider National, Inc. do?Schneider National provides multimodal transportation and logistics across three segments (Truckload, Intermodal,...

Schneider National provides multimodal transportation and logistics across three segments (Truckload, Intermodal, Logistics) in the US, Canada, and Mexico. Intermodal operations rely primarily on CSX Transportation, UP, and CPKC rail contracts. Revenue comes from capacity purchase agreements, freight brokerage via 14,000+ carriers, and warehousing.

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