Old Dominion Freight Line is a top-tier quality operator in less-than-truckload trucking with a Piotroski score of 6.7, industry-leading ROA and margins, and a solid 3/4 earnings beat streak, but the stock trades well above its analyst price targets at a forward P/E of 37.4x, making the near-term risk/reward unfavorable.
Thesis pillars
- Best In Class Margins Roe→Stable
- Earnings Beat Execution→Stable
- Expensive Valuation Forward Pe↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) Stock Analysis
Oversold Bounce setup · Temporary headwind edge
Industrials · Trucking
Wait for pullback to $182.60. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $185.87. Engine's entry $182.60 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.
We are one of the largest North American less-than-truckload ("LTL") motor carriers. We provide regional, inter-regional and national LTL services through a single integrated, union-free organization. Our service offerings, which include expedited transportation, are provided... Read more
Wait for pullback to $182.60. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $185.87. Engine's entry $182.60 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 16, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-05Recent Developments — Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Old Dominion (ODFL) Q2 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS Old Dominion (ODFL) Q2 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates - finance.yahoo.com — finance.yahoo.com neutral
- NEWS Old Dominion Freight Line (NASDAQ:ODFL) Exceeds Q2 CY2026 Expectations - StockStory — StockStory positive
- NEWS Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) Surpasses Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) Surpasses Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates - finance.yahoo.com — finance.yahoo.com positive
Generated 2026-09-05T17:17:01Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $182.60. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $185.87. Engine's entry $182.60 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 16, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $207.49 (+11.6%), stop $173.96 (−6.8%), A.R:R 1.7:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $207.49 (+11.6% upside). Target $207.49 (+11.6%), stop $173.96 (−6.8%), A.R:R 1.7:1. Stop-loss: $173.96.
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. trades at a P/E of 35.7 (forward 28.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
31 analysts cover ODFL with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $231.
What does Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. do?We are one of the largest North American less-than-truckload ("LTL") motor carriers. We provide regional,...
We are one of the largest North American less-than-truckload ("LTL") motor carriers. We provide regional, inter-regional and national LTL services through a single integrated, union-free organization. Our service offerings, which include expedited transportation, are provided through an expansive network of service centers located throughout the continental United States. Through strategic alliances, we also provide LTL services throughout North America.