Old Dominion Freight Line is a top-tier quality operator in less-than-truckload trucking with a Piotroski score of 6.7, industry-leading ROA and margins, and a solid 3/4 earnings beat streak, but the stock trades well above its analyst price targets at a forward P/E of 37.4x, making the near-term risk/reward unfavorable.
Thesis pillars
- Best In Class Margins Roe→Stable
- Earnings Beat Execution→Stable
- Expensive Valuation Forward Pe→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Industrials · Trucking
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $232.99 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 4 days (event risk).
We are one of the largest North American less-than-truckload ("LTL") motor carriers. We provide regional, inter-regional and national LTL services through a single integrated, union-free organization. Our service offerings, which include expedited transportation, are provided... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $232.99 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-25Recent Developments — Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Old Dominion Freight (ODFL) Receives a Buy from Stifel Nicolaus - The Globe and Mail — The Globe and Mail positive
- NEWS Old Dominion to Report Q2 Earnings: What's in Store for the Stock? - TradingView — TradingView positive
- NEWS Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) to Announce Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q4 Earnings? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
Generated 2026-07-27T13:13:01Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -2.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $232.99 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $219.01. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $233.73 (-10.8% upside). Prior stop was $219.01. Stop-loss: $219.01.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Expensive valuation.
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. trades at a P/E of 48.0 (forward 35.9). TrendMatrix value score: 2.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
32 analysts cover ODFL with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $231.
What does Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. do?We are one of the largest North American less-than-truckload ("LTL") motor carriers. We provide regional,...
We are one of the largest North American less-than-truckload ("LTL") motor carriers. We provide regional, inter-regional and national LTL services through a single integrated, union-free organization. Our service offerings, which include expedited transportation, are provided through an expansive network of service centers located throughout the continental United States. Through strategic alliances, we also provide LTL services throughout North America.