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TFI International Inc. (TFII) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Trucking

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $141.29: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

TFI International Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides transportation and logistics services in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. It operates through Less-Than-Truckload (LTL), Truckload (TL), and Logistics segments. The Less-Than-Truckload segment is involved in... Read more

$141.29+3.8% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#3 of 9 Trucking
Stop $131.93Target $146.11(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$151.91+7.5%11 analysts
$146.11our TP
$141.29price
$151.91mean
$115
$175

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $141.29: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.70, news boost analyst 0.80, news boost analyst cluster(4), earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Val6.1Qual3.8Grw6.2Mom4.8Sent7.3Ins5.1Peer4.8Tech4.3Risk5.55.5OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Earnings detected in news
Recent Analyst detected in news
Recent Analyst Cluster(4) detected in news
Risks
Target reached (-6.1% upside)
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)39.2
P/E (Fwd)20.7
Mkt Cap$11.6B
EV/EBITDA15.1
Profit Mgn3.8%
ROE11.3%
Rev Growth-0.8%
Beta1.40
Dividend1.31%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.40bullish
IV53%elevated
Max Pain$50-64.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
1.8
Net Margin
1.9
Roa
3.1
Roe
3.8
Current Ratio
4.2
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.0
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 194% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.70NEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.80NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(4)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
77 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $107.75Resistance $149.09

Price Targets

$132
$146
A.Upside+3.4%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.1% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TFII stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $141.29: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $131.93. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TFII stock price target?

Take-profit target: $146.11 (+3.8% upside). Prior stop was $131.93. Stop-loss: $131.93.

What are the risks of investing in TFII?

Target reached (-6.1% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is TFII overvalued or undervalued?

TFI International Inc. trades at a P/E of 39.2 (forward 20.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TFII?

24 analysts cover TFII with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $152.

What does TFI International Inc. do?TFI International Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides transportation and logistics services in the United...

TFI International Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides transportation and logistics services in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. It operates through Less-Than-Truckload (LTL), Truckload (TL), and Logistics segments. The Less-Than-Truckload segment is involved in the pickup, consolidation, transportation, and delivery of smaller loads. The Truckload segment offers expedited transportation, flatbed, tank, container, and dedicated services. This segment also carries full loads directly from the customer to the destination using a closed van or specialized equipment. The Logistics segment provides asset-light logistics services, including brokerage, freight forwarding, and transportation management, as well as small package parcel delivery. As of December 31, 2025, it operates 12,927 trucks, 40,687 trailers, and 6,194 independent contractors. The company was formerly known as TransForce Inc. and changed its name to TFI International Inc. in December 2016. TFI International Inc. was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Saint-Laurent, Canada.

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