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WERNWerner Enterprises, Inc.Sell4.8·$42.12-2.21%
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Werner Enterprises, Inc. (WERN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Trucking

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $42.12: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Werner Enterprises is one of the largest U.S. truckload carriers with a 7,100-truck fleet across Dedicated (4,850) and One-Way Truckload (2,250) fleets, plus a non-asset Werner Logistics segment; TTS generated 69% of 2025 revenues. Dollar General is the largest customer at 11%... Read more

$42.12+5.3% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#5 of 9 Trucking
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-0.53%
IncomeYield1.30%(5y avg 1.42%)Payout136.59%at-risk
Stop $39.17Target $44.36(resistance)A.R:R -1.6:1
Analyst target$38.50-8.6%14 analysts
$44.36our TP
$42.12price
$38.50mean
$30
$47

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $42.12: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 42d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Werner Enterprises, Inc.

About Werner Enterprises, Inc.

Werner Enterprises' TTS segment ended 2025 with 7,100 trucks — 4,850 in Dedicated configurations and 2,250 in One-Way Truckload — operating across all 48 contiguous U.S. states. TTS contributed 69% of total operating revenues in 2025, with Werner Logistics adding 29%. The company's 12,031 associates are entirely non-union domestically, and Werner expanded its Dedicated footprint through the acquisition of FirstFleet, a dedicated truckload carrier based in Murfreesboro, Tennessee, in January 2026.

Werner earns TTS revenue primarily through per-mile rates for company drivers, supplemented by two-to-five-year Dedicated contracts. One-Way Truckload contracts may be terminated with 30 days' notice — standard industry practice — exposing that portion of the book to spot-market freight pricing. Fuel is a major cost input; Werner negotiates volume discounts with three large truck-stop chains and deploys fuel surcharge programs that recover a majority, but not all, of fuel price increases, with no derivative hedges in place as of December 31, 2025. Dollar General was Werner's largest customer at 11% of 2025 revenues; the top 10 customers collectively accounted for 50% of revenues, concentrated in retail and consumer products (66%), food and beverage (13%), and manufacturing/industrial (13%) among the top 50 accounts.

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Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration oversight exposes Werner to regulatory risks with direct customer contract implications. Werner holds a satisfactory FMCSA safety rating — the highest available — which several customer contracts require as a condition of service; a downgrade to conditional or unsatisfactory could trigger contract terminations. FMCSA is also reviewing changes to the Safety Fitness Determination methodology and CSA Safety Measurement System, and in November 2024 proposed new broker transparency regulations that would affect the Werner Logistics segment's documentation and disclosure obligations.

See also: Industrials · Trucking

From Werner Enterprises, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202642d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-20.5% upside)
Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)21.8
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA9.7
Profit Mgn-0.3%
ROE-1.2%
Rev Growth13.6%
Beta1.27
Dividend1.30%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.79neutral
IV57%elevated
Max Pain$50+18.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerDollar General11%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our largest customer, Dollar General, accounted for 11% of our total revenues in 2025.'
  • MEDIUMCustomerlargest 5 customers38%
    10-K Item 1: 'our largest 5, 10, 25 and 50 customers comprised 38%, 50%, 68% and 79% of our revenues, respectively.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-18Item 5.02LOW
    Compensation Committee approved 2026 base salaries and equity grants (RS and PS awards) for NEOs including CEO Derek Leathers ($980K base, 66,572 RS, 74,137 PS). Routine annual compensatory arrangement; no departures.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Unprofitable operations — net margin -0.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Operating Margin
0.3
Roa
1.0
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
5.4
Piotroski F
6.7
Cash-burning: FCF -0% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5A.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 42d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $36.89Resistance $45.27

Price Targets

$39
$44
A.Upside+5.3%
A.R:R-1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-20.5% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (42d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WERN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $42.12: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $39.17. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WERN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $44.36 (+5.3% upside). Prior stop was $39.17. Stop-loss: $39.17.

What are the risks of investing in WERN?

Target reached (-20.5% upside); Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0).

Is WERN overvalued or undervalued?

Werner Enterprises, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 21.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WERN?

20 analysts cover WERN with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $39.

What does Werner Enterprises, Inc. do?Werner Enterprises is one of the largest U.S. truckload carriers with a 7,100-truck fleet across Dedicated (4,850) and...

Werner Enterprises is one of the largest U.S. truckload carriers with a 7,100-truck fleet across Dedicated (4,850) and One-Way Truckload (2,250) fleets, plus a non-asset Werner Logistics segment; TTS generated 69% of 2025 revenues. Dollar General is the largest customer at 11% of revenues; the top 5 customers represent 38% of revenues, concentrated in retail and consumer products (66% of top-50 customer mix).

Related stocks: TFII (TFI International Inc.) · ARCB (ArcBest Corporation) · SNDR (Schneider National, Inc.) · KNX (Knight-Swift Transportation Hol) · SAIA (Saia, Inc.)
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