Werner Enterprises, Inc. (WERN) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the WERN stock price target?

Take-profit $37.69 (+3.6% upside). Prior stop was $33.82.

Q: What are the risks of investing in WERN?

Concentration risk — Customer: Dollar General (11.0%); Target reached (-10.8% upside); Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0); Target reached (-10.8% upside); Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0).

Q: Is WERN overvalued or undervalued?

Werner Enterprises, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 18.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about WERN?

21 analysts cover WERN with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $37.

SellModerate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Industrials · Trucking

Werner Enterprises is a truckload carrier and logistics company with TTS (7,100 trucks at end of 2025) and Werner Logistics segments, operating primarily in the US. Revenue comes from freight transport fees and logistics brokerage; Dedicated contracts run 2-5 years.

$36.34+3.6% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#4 of 9 Trucking

Stop $33.82Target $37.69(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1

Analyst target$37.29+2.6%14 analysts

$37.69our TP

$36.34price

$37.29mean

$30

$47

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $36.34: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.67; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Concentration risk — Customer: Dollar General (11.0%)

Target reached (-10.8% upside)

Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)18.8

Mkt Cap$2.2B

EV/EBITDA8.7

Profit Mgn-0.3%

ROE-1.2%

Rev Growth13.6%

Beta1.09

Dividend1.54%

Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.67bearish

IV53%elevated

Max Pain$15-58.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHCustomerDollar General11%
10-K Item 1A: 'Our largest customer, Dollar General, accounted for 11% of our total revenues in 2025.'
MEDIUMCustomertop-5 customers38%
10-K Item 1A: 'our largest 5, 10, 25 and 50 customers accounted for 38%, 50%, 66%, and 78% of revenues, respectively'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-02-18Item 5.02LOW
Compensation Committee approved 2026 base salaries and equity awards for all five NEOs including CEO Derek Leathers. Routine compensatory arrangement; no departure or appointment.
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value7.315%1.09

Quality2.315%0.34

Growth5.915%0.89

Momentum6.610%0.66

Sentiment5.210%0.52

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank5.410%0.54

Technical Setup4.35%0.21

Risk Profile5.35%0.27

Catalyst5.65%0.28

Overall (Σ contributions)5.31

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Unprofitable operations — net margin -0.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe

0.0

Gross Margin

0.0

Net Margin

0.0

Operating Margin

0.3

Roa

1.0

Moat

5.0

Current Ratio

5.3

Piotroski F

6.7

No competitive moatQuality concerns

GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

77 · Overbought

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $28.89Resistance $38.46

Price Targets

$34

$38

A.Upside+3.7%

A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.8% upside)

! Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-07-28 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is WERN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $36.34: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.67; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $33.82. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WERN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $37.69 (+3.6% upside). Prior stop was $33.82. Stop-loss: $33.82.

What are the risks of investing in WERN?

Concentration risk — Customer: Dollar General (11.0%); Target reached (-10.8% upside); Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0).

Is WERN overvalued or undervalued?

Werner Enterprises, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 18.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WERN?

21 analysts cover WERN with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $37.

What does Werner Enterprises, Inc. do?Werner Enterprises is a truckload carrier and logistics company with TTS (7,100 trucks at end of 2025) and Werner...