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ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Trucking

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $125.93: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.35; Below-average business quality.

ArcBest Corporation™ (together with its subsidiaries, the "Company," "ArcBest," "we," "us," and "our") is a multibillion-dollar integrated logistics company that leverages technology and a full suite of solutions across multiple modes of transportation to meet our customers'... Read more

$125.93+4.9% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#2 of 9 Trucking
Stop $117.40Target $132.40(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$135.45+7.6%11 analysts
$132.40our TP
$125.93price
$135.45mean
$117
$150

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $125.93: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.35; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, news boost analyst cluster(5), earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Val6.6Qual3.3Grw6.7Mom6.6Sent6.9Ins5.0Peer4.9Tech4.2Risk4.85.5OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Recent Analyst Cluster(5) detected in news
Risks
Target reached (-6.6% upside)
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin 3.3%), High leverage (D/E 6.8), Material insider selling (16 sells, 0.64% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)52.1
P/E (Fwd)15.9
Mkt Cap$2.8B
EV/EBITDA12.5
Profit Mgn1.4%
ROE4.3%
Rev Growth3.3%
Beta1.43
Dividend0.38%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C2.35bearish
IV61%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-01-28Item 5.02MEDIUM
    - DEPARTURE OF DIRECTORS OR CERTAIN OFFICERS; ELECTION OF DIRECTORS; APPOINTMENT OF CERTAIN OFFICERS; COMPENSATORY ARRANGEMENTS OF CERTAIN OFFICERS.** ​ On January 26, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of ArcBest Corporation (the "Company") increased the size of the Board from eleven to ...
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.1
Net Margin
0.7
Roe
1.4
Roa
1.4
Current Ratio
3.7
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
7.8
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 197% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(5)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
84 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $97.10Resistance $135.10

Price Targets

$117
$132
A.Upside+5.1%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.6% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin 3.3%), High leverage (D/E 6.8), Material insider selling (16 sells, 0.64% of cap)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ARCB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $125.93: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.35; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $117.40. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ARCB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $132.40 (+4.9% upside). Prior stop was $117.40. Stop-loss: $117.40.

What are the risks of investing in ARCB?

Target reached (-6.6% upside); Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin 3.3%), High leverage (D/E 6.8), Material insider selling (16 sells, 0.64% of cap).

Is ARCB overvalued or undervalued?

ArcBest Corporation trades at a P/E of 52.1 (forward 15.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ARCB?

19 analysts cover ARCB with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $135.

What does ArcBest Corporation do?ArcBest Corporation™ (together with its subsidiaries, the "Company," "ArcBest," "we," "us," and "our") is a...

ArcBest Corporation™ (together with its subsidiaries, the "Company," "ArcBest," "we," "us," and "our") is a multibillion-dollar integrated logistics company that leverages technology and a full suite of solutions across multiple modes of transportation to meet our customers' supply chain needs. We serve as a single end-to-end logistics partner with global reach.

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