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ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Trucking

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $121.38: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

ArcBest Corporation™ (together with its subsidiaries, the "Company," "ArcBest," "we," "us," and "our") is a multibillion-dollar integrated logistics company that leverages technology and a full suite of solutions across multiple modes of transportation to meet our customers'... Read more

$121.38+9.8% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#1 of 9 Trucking
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.17%
IncomeYield0.40%(5y avg 0.49%)Payout19.67%sustainable
Stop $111.99Target $132.27(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$135.45+11.6%11 analysts
$132.27our TP
$121.38price
$135.45mean
$117
$150

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $121.38: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 69d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — ArcBest Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-2.1% upside)
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)48.4
P/E (Fwd)14.9
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA11.8
Profit Mgn1.4%
ROE4.3%
Rev Growth3.3%
Beta1.55
Dividend0.40%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.28bullish
IV52%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.1
Net Margin
0.7
Roe
1.4
Roa
1.4
Current Ratio
3.7
Moat
4.5
Piotroski F
7.8
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 197% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MDividend: 40.0%
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 69d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $109.96Resistance $134.97

Price Targets

$112
$132
A.Upside+9.0%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.1% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 4.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (69d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ARCB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $121.38: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $111.99. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ARCB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $132.27 (+9.8% upside). Prior stop was $111.99. Stop-loss: $111.99.

What are the risks of investing in ARCB?

Target reached (-2.1% upside); Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0).

Is ARCB overvalued or undervalued?

ArcBest Corporation trades at a P/E of 48.4 (forward 14.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ARCB?

18 analysts cover ARCB with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $135.

What does ArcBest Corporation do?ArcBest Corporation™ (together with its subsidiaries, the "Company," "ArcBest," "we," "us," and "our") is a...

ArcBest Corporation™ (together with its subsidiaries, the "Company," "ArcBest," "we," "us," and "our") is a multibillion-dollar integrated logistics company that leverages technology and a full suite of solutions across multiple modes of transportation to meet our customers' supply chain needs. We serve as a single end-to-end logistics partner with global reach.

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