The trucking operator converts cash exceptionally well — free cash flow at 197% of net income — but the absence of a competitive moat, quality sitting below the minimum acceptable floor, and a price that has already exceeded the resistance target with negative reward/risk make the current setup unattractive for new positioning.
Thesis pillars
- Quality Below Floor No Moat→Stable
- Exceptional Cash Conversion→Stable
- Unfavorable Risk Reward At Price↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Trucking
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $125.16: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
ArcBest Corporation™ (together with its subsidiaries, the "Company," "ArcBest," "we," "us," and "our") is a multibillion-dollar integrated logistics company that leverages technology and a full suite of solutions across multiple modes of transportation to meet our customers'... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $125.16: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 39d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and 8k serious 2.05,2.06. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-25Recent Developments — ArcBest Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Citigroup Maintains Buy on ArcBest, Lowers Price Target to $171 — benzinga Aug 4, 2026 positive
- NEWS UBS Maintains Neutral on ArcBest, Raises Price Target to $154 — benzinga Aug 3, 2026 positive
- NEWS TD Cowen Maintains Hold on ArcBest, Lowers Price Target to $155 — benzinga Jul 30, 2026 neutral
- NEWS ArcBest Q2 Adj. EPS $2.38 Beats $2.27 Estimate, Sales $1.185B Beat $1.166B Estimate — benzinga Jul 29, 2026 positive
- NEWS Stifel Maintains Buy on ArcBest, Raises Price Target to $176 — benzinga Jul 21, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-09-27T04:46:52Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-07-16Item 2.05MEDIUM**Texas** | **0-19969** | **71-0673405** (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) | (Commission File Number) | (IRS Employer Identification No.) **8401 McClure Drive** **Fort Smith****,****Arkansas** (Address of principal executive offices) | | **72916** (Zip Code) Registrant's telephon...SEC filing →
- 2026-07-16Item 2.06MEDIUM**Texas** | **0-19969** | **71-0673405** (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) | (Commission File Number) | (IRS Employer Identification No.) **8401 McClure Drive** **Fort Smith****,****Arkansas** (Address of principal executive offices) | | **72916** (Zip Code) Registrant's telephon...SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $125.16: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $120.93. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $148.70 (+18.8% upside). Prior stop was $120.93. Stop-loss: $120.93.
Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -3.6%), Material insider selling (8 sells, 0.10% of cap).
ArcBest Corporation trades at a P/E of 184.6 (forward 13.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
20 analysts cover ARCB with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $171.
What does ArcBest Corporation do?ArcBest Corporation™ (together with its subsidiaries, the "Company," "ArcBest," "we," "us," and "our") is a...
ArcBest Corporation™ (together with its subsidiaries, the "Company," "ArcBest," "we," "us," and "our") is a multibillion-dollar integrated logistics company that leverages technology and a full suite of solutions across multiple modes of transportation to meet our customers' supply chain needs. We serve as a single end-to-end logistics partner with global reach.