Saia's solid earnings beat streak and above-average technical momentum cannot overcome a negative analyst upside and free cash flow conversion rate of only 14%, making the stock a hold at best until valuation normalizes to a more attractive entry point.
Thesis pillars
- Earnings Beat Consistency→Stable
- Fcf Quality Red Flag→Stable
- Rich Valuation Negative Upside↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Saia, Inc. (SAIA) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Trucking
Wait for pullback to $350.26. At $379.40 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $350.26 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
We provide national less-than-truckload (LTL) services through a single integrated organization. While approximately 97% of our revenue is derived from transporting LTL shipments, we also offer customers a wide range of other value-added services, including brokered truckload... Read more
Wait for pullback to $350.26. At $379.40 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $350.26 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 74d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-16Recent Developments — Saia, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Saia Inc. Earns Two 2026 Quest for Quality Awards from Logistics Management - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative positive
- NEWS Saia Inc. Earns Two 2026 Quest for Quality Awards from Logistics Management - quiverquant.com — quiverquant.com positive
- NEWS Saia Inc (SAIA) Shares Fall 4.7% -- What GF Score of 97 Tells In - GuruFocus — GuruFocus negative
- NEWS Analysts’ Opinions Are Mixed on These Industrial Goods Stocks: Ameresco (AMRC), ArcBest (ARCB) and Saia (SAIA) - The Glo — The Globe and Mail neutral
- NEWS Saia Delivers Record Q2 Revenue and Operational Gains - TipRanks — TipRanks positive
Generated 2026-08-16T15:17:08Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $350.26. At $379.40 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $350.26 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $391.89 (+3.3%), stop $314.90 (−20.5%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $391.89 (+2.0% upside). Target $391.89 (+3.3%), stop $314.90 (−20.5%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Stop-loss: $314.90.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Saia, Inc. trades at a P/E of 37.0 (forward 27.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
27 analysts cover SAIA with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $435.
What does Saia, Inc. do?We provide national less-than-truckload (LTL) services through a single integrated organization. While approximately...
We provide national less-than-truckload (LTL) services through a single integrated organization. While approximately 97% of our revenue is derived from transporting LTL shipments, we also offer customers a wide range of other value-added services, including brokered truckload and expedited transportation and other logistics services across North America.