Skip to main content

Saia, Inc. (SAIA) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Industrials · Trucking

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $438.80: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation; Negative price momentum.

We provide national less-than-truckload (LTL) services through a single integrated organization. While approximately 97% of our revenue is derived from transporting LTL shipments, we also offer customers a wide range of other value-added services, including brokered truckload... Read more

$438.80+6.1% A.UpsideScore 3.8/10#8 of 9 Trucking
Stop $390.60Target $445.78(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$397.05-9.5%20 analysts
$445.78our TP
$438.80price
$397.05mean
$250
$550

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $438.80: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 3.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-14.9% upside)
Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)44.2
P/E (Fwd)30.9
Mkt Cap$11.3B
EV/EBITDA19.6
Profit Mgn7.9%
ROE10.4%
Rev Growth0.1%
Beta2.04
DividendNone
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.60bullish
IV57%elevated
Max Pain$200-54.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.5

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.3
Pe
2.8
Analyst Target
3.0
Forward Pe
3.8
Peg Ratio
4.0
Ps
7.9
Forward P/E: 30.9xPEG: 2.48

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
0.7
Operating Margin
2.6
Roe
3.5
Net Margin
3.9
Roa
4.3
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
5.9
Piotroski F
7.8
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -42% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $339.87Resistance $454.88

Price Targets

$391
$446
A.Upside+1.6%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.9% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SAIA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $438.80: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $390.60. Score 3.8/10, high confidence.

What is the SAIA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $445.78 (+6.1% upside). Prior stop was $390.60. Stop-loss: $390.60.

What are the risks of investing in SAIA?

Target reached (-14.9% upside); Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).

Is SAIA overvalued or undervalued?

Saia, Inc. trades at a P/E of 44.2 (forward 30.9). TrendMatrix value score: 3.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SAIA?

27 analysts cover SAIA with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $397.

What does Saia, Inc. do?We provide national less-than-truckload (LTL) services through a single integrated organization. While approximately...

We provide national less-than-truckload (LTL) services through a single integrated organization. While approximately 97% of our revenue is derived from transporting LTL shipments, we also offer customers a wide range of other value-added services, including brokered truckload and expedited transportation and other logistics services across North America.

Related stocks: SNDR (Schneider National, Inc.) · TFII (TFI International Inc.) · ARCB (ArcBest Corporation) · WERN (Werner Enterprises, Inc.) · KNX (Knight-Swift Transportation Hol)