Saia's solid earnings beat streak and above-average technical momentum cannot overcome a negative analyst upside and free cash flow conversion rate of only 14%, making the stock a hold at best until valuation normalizes to a more attractive entry point.
Thesis pillars
- Earnings Beat Consistency↓Deteriorating
- Fcf Quality Red Flag→Stable
- Rich Valuation Negative Upside→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Saia, Inc. (SAIA) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Industrials · Trucking
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $427.89: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 5.09; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.
We provide national less-than-truckload (LTL) services through a single integrated organization. While approximately 97% of our revenue is derived from transporting LTL shipments, we also offer customers a wide range of other value-added services, including brokered truckload... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $427.89: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 5.09; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-24Recent Developments — Saia, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Susquehanna Maintains Neutral on Saia, Raises Price Target to $470 — benzinga Jul 14, 2026 positive
- NEWS Raymond James Maintains Outperform on Saia, Lowers Price Target to $475 — benzinga Jul 13, 2026 positive
- NEWS Keysight To Rally Over 24%? Here Are 10 Top Analyst Forecasts For Monday — benzinga Jul 13, 2026 positive
- NEWS B of A Securities Upgrades Saia to Buy, Raises Price Target to $502 — benzinga Jul 13, 2026 positive
- NEWS This Cinemark Analyst Is No Longer Bearish; Here Are Top 5 Upgrades For Thursday — benzinga Jul 9, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-07-27T13:13:02Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $427.89: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 5.09; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $398.39. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $435.91 (-1.9% upside). Prior stop was $398.39. Stop-loss: $398.39.
Target reached (-1.9% upside); Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).
Saia, Inc. trades at a P/E of 45.4 (forward 29.3). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
26 analysts cover SAIA with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $465.
What does Saia, Inc. do?We provide national less-than-truckload (LTL) services through a single integrated organization. While approximately...
We provide national less-than-truckload (LTL) services through a single integrated organization. While approximately 97% of our revenue is derived from transporting LTL shipments, we also offer customers a wide range of other value-added services, including brokered truckload and expedited transportation and other logistics services across North America.