SkyWest, Inc. (SKYW) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Airlines
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $78.63 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: United and Delta combined; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2).
SkyWest operates the largest regional airline in the U.S. with 487 aircraft under contract as United Express (216), Delta Connection (137), American Eagle (92), and Alaska Airlines (42), under predominantly fixed-fee capacity purchase agreements. Revenue is mostly from fixed... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $78.63 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: United and Delta combined; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 65d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — SkyWest, Inc.
Latest news
- Ruffer LLP Purchases New Shares in SkyWest, Inc. $SKYW - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- SkyWest (SKYW) is a top-ranked growth stock: Should you buy? - MSN — MSN positive
- SkyWest (SKYW) Stock Slides as Market Rises: Facts to Know Before You Trade - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- SkyWest Going Into Q1: Buy Thesis Still Looks Strong - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
- SkyWest (SKYW) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript - The Globe and Mail — The Globe and Mail neutral
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerUnited and Delta combined10-K Item 1A: 'As of December 31, 2025, 353 out of our total 487 aircraft in scheduled service were operating under a capacity purchase agreement or a prorate agreement with either United or Delta'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $78.63 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: United and Delta combined; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $75.95. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $105.70 (+34.4% upside). Prior stop was $75.95. Stop-loss: $75.95.
Concentration risk — Customer: United and Delta combined; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
SkyWest, Inc. trades at a P/E of 7.8 (forward 6.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
12 analysts cover SKYW with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $122.
What does SkyWest, Inc. do?SkyWest operates the largest regional airline in the U.S. with 487 aircraft under contract as United Express (216),...
SkyWest operates the largest regional airline in the U.S. with 487 aircraft under contract as United Express (216), Delta Connection (137), American Eagle (92), and Alaska Airlines (42), under predominantly fixed-fee capacity purchase agreements. Revenue is mostly from fixed rates per departure/block hour with fuel costs borne by major airline partners; United and Delta together account for 353 of 487 contracted aircraft.