SkyWest, Inc. (SKYW) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Industrials · Airlines
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $82.29 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: United or Delta; Weak growth.
SkyWest operates regional airline service as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle, and Alaska Airlines flights under long-term fixed-fee capacity purchase agreements. As of Dec 31, 2025, 353 of 487 scheduled aircraft (72%) operated under United or Delta agreements.... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $82.29 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: United or Delta; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerUnited or Delta10-K Item 1A: '353 out of our total 487 aircraft in scheduled service were operating under a capacity purchase agreement or a prorate agreement with either United or Delta'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $82.29 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: United or Delta; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $77.60. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $106.58 (+29.3% upside). Prior stop was $77.60. Stop-loss: $77.60.
Concentration risk — Customer: United or Delta; Weak growth; Negative momentum.
SkyWest, Inc. trades at a P/E of 7.7 (forward 6.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
12 analysts cover SKYW with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $123.
What does SkyWest, Inc. do?SkyWest operates regional airline service as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle, and Alaska Airlines...
SkyWest operates regional airline service as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle, and Alaska Airlines flights under long-term fixed-fee capacity purchase agreements. As of Dec 31, 2025, 353 of 487 scheduled aircraft (72%) operated under United or Delta agreements. Revenue is driven by completed flights, block hours, and contracted aircraft count.