Skip to main content

Copa Holdings, S.A. (CPA) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Airlines

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $112.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum.

Copa Holdings, S.A., through its subsidiaries, provides airline passenger, and cargo and mail transportation services in North America, South America, Central America, and the Caribbean. As of December 31, 2025, it operated through a fleet of 125 aircraft. The company was... Read more

$112.28+28.7% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#4 of 12 Airlines
Stop $104.92Target $144.48(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.5:1
Analyst target$160.53+43.0%15 analysts
$144.48our TP
$112.28price
$160.53mean
$185

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $112.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 54%
Risks
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.9
P/E (Fwd)5.8
Mkt Cap$4.6B
EV/EBITDA5.0
Profit Mgn18.6%
ROE26.1%
Rev Growth9.6%
Beta1.00
Dividend6.09%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV61%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
2.7
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.6%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.9<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 3.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $108.16Resistance $130.54

Price Targets

$105
$144
A.Upside+28.7%
A.R:R3.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-13 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CPA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $112.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $144.48 (+28.7%), stop $104.92 (−7.0%), A.R:R 3.5:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CPA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $144.48 (+28.7% upside). Target $144.48 (+28.7%), stop $104.92 (−7.0%), A.R:R 3.5:1. Stop-loss: $104.92.

What are the risks of investing in CPA?

Negative momentum.

Is CPA overvalued or undervalued?

Copa Holdings, S.A. trades at a P/E of 6.9 (forward 5.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CPA?

18 analysts cover CPA with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $161.

What does Copa Holdings, S.A. do?Copa Holdings, S.A., through its subsidiaries, provides airline passenger, and cargo and mail transportation services...

Copa Holdings, S.A., through its subsidiaries, provides airline passenger, and cargo and mail transportation services in North America, South America, Central America, and the Caribbean. As of December 31, 2025, it operated through a fleet of 125 aircraft. The company was founded in 1947 and is based in Panama City, Panama.

Related stocks: LTM (LATAM Airlines Group S.A.) · AERO (Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V) · UAL (United Airlines Holdings, Inc.) · DAL (Delta Air Lines, Inc.) · AAL (American Airlines Group, Inc.)