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RYAAYRyanair Holdings plcSell5.2·$59.05
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Ryanair's consistent four-quarter earnings beat streak at attractive valuation offers a quality entry point, though near-term price action remains constrained by a confirmed downtrend and negative free cash flow relative to net income.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Consistency↓Deteriorating
  • Attractive Value Metrics↓Deteriorating
  • Momentum Recovery Signal↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Ryanair Holdings plc (RYAAY) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5QualityHigh Confidence

Industrials · Airlines

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $59.05 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9).

Ryanair Holdings plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of scheduled-passenger airline services in Ireland, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It offers various ancillary services; engages in other activities connected with its air... Read more

$59.05+1.0% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#14 of 16 Airlines
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-3.27%
IncomeYield1.52%Payout22.67%sustainable
Stop $55.55Analyst target $59.62(−13% haircut)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst consensus$68.53+16.1%6 analysts with price targets
$59.62Analyst target
$59.05price
$68.53mean
$75

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $59.05 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 76. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 2, 2026

Recent Developments — Ryanair Holdings plc

Latest item Nov 2, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:59:11Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jan 25, 202781d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 41%
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.8
P/E (Fwd)15.7
Mkt Cap$30.6B
EV/EBITDA8.5
Profit Mgn11.3%
ROE17.3%
Rev Growth4.0%
Beta0.91
Dividend1.52%
Analysts with ratings23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV46%normal
Max Pain$45-23.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.1
Revenue Growth
3.5

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.5
Gap
3.0
52w Position
6.1
Extreme gap up (6.2%) - may pull back
GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
76 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $51.02Resistance $59.50

Price Targets

$56
$60
A.Upside+1.0%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.0% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-25 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RYAAY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $59.05 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 76. Prior stop was $55.55. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

What is the RYAAY stock price target?

Analyst target: $59.62 (+1.0% upside). Prior stop was $55.55. Stop-loss: $55.55.

What are the risks of investing in RYAAY?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is RYAAY overvalued or undervalued?

Ryanair Holdings plc trades at a P/E of 14.8 (forward 15.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RYAAY?

23 analysts rate RYAAY, with a consensus score of 4.0/5. 6 analysts publish price targets averaging $69.

What does Ryanair Holdings plc do?Ryanair Holdings plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of scheduled-passenger airline services...

Ryanair Holdings plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of scheduled-passenger airline services in Ireland, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It offers various ancillary services; engages in other activities connected with its air passenger service, including non-flight scheduled and Internet-related services, as well as in-flight sale of beverages, food, duty-free, and merchandise; and markets car hire, travel insurance, and accommodation services through its website and mobile app. The company also provides passenger and aircraft handling, ticketing, and maintenance and repair services; and markets car parking, fast-track, airport transfers, attractions, and activities on its website and mobile app, as well as sells gift vouchers. Ryanair Holdings plc was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Swords, Ireland.

Related stocks: CPA (Copa Holdings, S.A.) · LTM (LATAM Airlines Group S.A.) · DAL (Delta Air Lines, Inc.) · AAL (American Airlines Group, Inc.) · LUV (Southwest Airlines Company)
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