Skip to main content
LTMLATAM Airlines Group S.A.Sell6.6·$47.78
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

LATAM Airlines is executing with exceptional precision — a perfect four-quarter beat streak averaging roughly 35% above consensus including a 70% positive surprise most recently, against 22% year-over-year earnings growth at a forward P/E of 8.1x — but a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.4 is the primary financial vulnerability if the growth runway shortens.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Earnings Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
  • Attractive Valuation Growth Franchise→Stable
  • Strong Revenue Growth Momentum↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

LATAM Airlines Group S.A. (LTM) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthHigh Confidence

Industrials · Airlines

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $47.78: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

LATAM Airlines Group S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides passenger and cargo air transportation services in Chile, Argentina, Peru, Colombia, Ecuador, Brazil, the United States, other Latin American countries, the Caribbean, Europe, and Oceania. As of December 31,... Read more

$47.78+34.5% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#1 of 16 Airlines
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield9.75%
IncomeYield3.47%(5y avg 0.24%)Payout28.24%sustainable
Stop $44.44Analyst target $64.26(−13% haircut)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst consensus$73.86+54.6%10 analysts with price targets
$64.26Analyst target
$47.78price
$73.86mean
$80

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $47.78: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Score 6.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 97d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 28, 2026

Recent Developments — LATAM Airlines Group S.A.

Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:29:01Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Feb 10, 202797d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.5): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.5
P/E (Fwd)6.8
Mkt Cap$14.0B
EV/EBITDA5.2
Profit Mgn9.9%
ROE108.0%
Rev Growth27.2%
Beta0.68
Dividend3.47%
Analysts with ratings12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.62bullish
IV55%elevated
Max Pain$70+46.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
3.2
52w Position
3.6
Bollinger
3.9
Gap
4.0
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.9>=5.5A.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 97d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $41.44Resistance $50.81

Price Targets

$44
$64
A.Upside+34.5%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts with ratings12
Consensus4.0/5
Avg Target$74

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-10 (97d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LTM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $47.78: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Prior stop was $44.44. Score 6.6/10, high confidence.

What is the LTM stock price target?

Analyst target: $64.26 (+34.5% upside). Prior stop was $44.44. Stop-loss: $44.44.

What are the risks of investing in LTM?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.5): -1.5.

Is LTM overvalued or undervalued?

LATAM Airlines Group S.A. trades at a P/E of 8.5 (forward 6.8). TrendMatrix value score: 9.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LTM?

12 analysts rate LTM, with a consensus score of 4.0/5. 10 analysts publish price targets averaging $74.

What does LATAM Airlines Group S.A. do?LATAM Airlines Group S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides passenger and cargo air transportation services in...

LATAM Airlines Group S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides passenger and cargo air transportation services in Chile, Argentina, Peru, Colombia, Ecuador, Brazil, the United States, other Latin American countries, the Caribbean, Europe, and Oceania. As of December 31, 2024, the company provides passenger transport services to 160 destinations in 27 countries; and operated 371 fleet of aircraft. The company was formerly known as LAN Airlines S.A. and changed its name to LATAM Airlines Group S.A. in June 2012. LATAM Airlines Group S.A. was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Santiago, Chile.

Related stocks: CPA (Copa Holdings, S.A.) · ALGT (Allegiant Travel Company) · DAL (Delta Air Lines, Inc.) · ULCC (Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.) · AAL (American Airlines Group, Inc.)
Home › Stocks › LTM

Latest news

Latest News

BusinessLine99d ago
MSN190d ago
HDFC Sky8d ago
Moomoo134d agoAnalyst
MSN134d ago
Business Standard134d agoProduct
Scanx.trade134d agoProduct
Investing.com Nigeria141d agoProduct
MSN204d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat211d ago
TipRanks211d ago
TradingView211d ago
MarketBeat183d ago
Marketscreener.com92d ago
TipRanks92d agoEarnings
Business Standard128d ago
Seeking Alpha100d agoEarnings
TradingKey100d ago
TradingKey100d ago
TradingKey100d ago
Loading more...