American Airlines Group, Inc. (AAL) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Industrials · Airlines
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.62: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.
American Airlines Group operates a major network air carrier through hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, DFW, LAX, Miami, NYC, Philadelphia, Phoenix and Washington D.C., serving over 350 destinations. In 2025, approximately 224 million passengers boarded flights; ~139,100 employees with... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.62: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-24Item 5.02LOWMary N. Dillon elected to AAG's Board of Directors on March 24, 2026. Appointed to Compensation Committee and Corporate Governance and Public Responsibility Committee. No reason cited for appointment other than Board expansion.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.62: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $10.82. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $13.37 (+15.0% upside). Prior stop was $10.82. Stop-loss: $10.82.
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (10 sells, 0.10% of cap), Negative free cash flow.
American Airlines Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 36.5 (forward 5.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
30 analysts cover AAL with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $15.
What does American Airlines Group, Inc. do?American Airlines Group operates a major network air carrier through hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, DFW, LAX, Miami, NYC,...
American Airlines Group operates a major network air carrier through hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, DFW, LAX, Miami, NYC, Philadelphia, Phoenix and Washington D.C., serving over 350 destinations. In 2025, approximately 224 million passengers boarded flights; ~139,100 employees with 86% represented by labor unions and $6.2 billion in co-branded credit card partner payments.