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SEMrush Holdings, Inc. (SEMR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5High Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $12.00 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.1% away).

SEMrush was an online visibility management SaaS platform offering SEO, GEO, paid advertising, social media, and content marketing tools to approximately 108,000 paying customers globally, generating $443.6M in revenue for fiscal 2025. The company was acquired by Adobe Inc. for... Read more

$12.00-1.9% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#93 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield4.11%
Stop $11.96Target $11.77(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$12.00+0.0%3 analysts
Range unavailable (3 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $12.00 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.1% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — SEMrush Holdings, Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • Apr 28, 2026 HIGH Item 5.01: Adobe Inc. completed acquisition of Semrush Holdings effective April 28, 2026 per Agreement and Plan of Merger dated November 18, 2025. Each share converted to $12.00 cash. Company became wholly-owned subsidiary of Adobe and was delisted from NYSE.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:56:22Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.1% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)23.0
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA-117.6
Profit Mgn-4.3%
ROE-7.0%
Rev Growth14.6%
Beta1.50
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

IV101%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-28Item 5.01HIGH
    Adobe Inc. completed acquisition of Semrush Holdings effective April 28, 2026 per Agreement and Plan of Merger dated November 18, 2025. Each share converted to $12.00 cash. Company became wholly-owned subsidiary of Adobe and was delisted from NYSE.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.3
Value Rank
4.2
Growth Rank
4.9

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.5
Support Resistance
1.2
52w Position
10.0
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
73 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $11.93Resistance $12.01

Price Targets

$12
$12
A.Upside-1.9%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SEMR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $12.00 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.1% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $11.96. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

What is the SEMR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.77 (-1.9% upside). Prior stop was $11.96. Stop-loss: $11.96.

What are the risks of investing in SEMR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.1% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2).

Is SEMR overvalued or undervalued?

SEMrush Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 23.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SEMR?

10 analysts cover SEMR with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $12.

What does SEMrush Holdings, Inc. do?SEMrush was an online visibility management SaaS platform offering SEO, GEO, paid advertising, social media, and...

SEMrush was an online visibility management SaaS platform offering SEO, GEO, paid advertising, social media, and content marketing tools to approximately 108,000 paying customers globally, generating $443.6M in revenue for fiscal 2025. The company was acquired by Adobe Inc. for $12.00 per share in cash with the merger completed on April 28, 2026.

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