Skip to main content

Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Airlines

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $67.96: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Delta Air Lines is a global airline that served 200M+ customers in 2025, operating hubs in Atlanta, Detroit, Minneapolis-St. Paul, Salt Lake City, and coastal gateways in Boston, Los Angeles, New York, and Seattle with a fleet of 1,314 aircraft. Revenue is earned from passenger... Read more

$67.96+5.1% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#5 of 12 Airlines
Stop $63.26Target $71.51(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$79.45+16.9%25 analysts
$71.51our TP
$67.96price
$79.45mean
$48
$90

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $67.96: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 69d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Val8.6Qual3.8Grw5.5Mom2.5Sent7.0Ins3.3Peer5.5Tech6.3Risk6.35.5OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.7
P/E (Fwd)8.3
Mkt Cap$43.5B
EV/EBITDA7.7
Profit Mgn6.9%
ROE25.0%
Rev Growth12.9%
Beta1.31
Dividend1.13%
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.70bullish
IV55%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierMonroe refinery
    10-K Item 1A: 'We acquire a significant amount of jet fuel from Monroe'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-05Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Multiple Delta leadership changes effective April 1, 2026: Daniel Janki (former CFO) moves to EVP COO; Erik Snell appointed EVP CFO (successor named); Peter Carter appointed President. John Laughter (principal operating officer) retiring April 30. Clean handoffs throughout.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-13Item 5.02LOW
    William Carroll (principal accounting officer) retiring March 31, 2026. Julia McConnell designated principal accounting officer effective April 1, 2026; joined Delta March 2025 from WestRock Company. Clean handoff.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
1.3
Current Ratio
1.7
Roa
2.9
Net Margin
3.4
Moat
5.0
Fcf Quality
5.3
Piotroski F
6.7
Roe
8.3
Earnings quality warning: 69% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 69d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $64.17Resistance $75.02

Price Targets

$63
$72
A.Upside+5.2%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.7:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-09 (69d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DAL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $67.96: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $63.26. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DAL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $71.51 (+5.1% upside). Prior stop was $63.26. Stop-loss: $63.26.

What are the risks of investing in DAL?

Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is DAL overvalued or undervalued?

Delta Air Lines, Inc. trades at a P/E of 9.7 (forward 8.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DAL?

32 analysts cover DAL with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $79.

What does Delta Air Lines, Inc. do?Delta Air Lines is a global airline that served 200M+ customers in 2025, operating hubs in Atlanta, Detroit,...

Delta Air Lines is a global airline that served 200M+ customers in 2025, operating hubs in Atlanta, Detroit, Minneapolis-St. Paul, Salt Lake City, and coastal gateways in Boston, Los Angeles, New York, and Seattle with a fleet of 1,314 aircraft. Revenue is earned from passenger tickets, cargo, and the SkyMiles loyalty program; the company also owns Monroe, a petroleum refinery that supplies a significant portion of its jet fuel.

Related stocks: LTM (LATAM Airlines Group S.A.) · UAL (United Airlines Holdings, Inc.) · CPA (Copa Holdings, S.A.) · AAL (American Airlines Group, Inc.) · RYAAY (Ryanair Holdings plc)