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DALDelta Air Lines, Inc.Sell6.4·$89.24
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The airline trades at a forward multiple of 10.4 times with a PEG below 1 and broadly constructive technical indicators, but the stock sits just 1.9% below its near-term resistance target with a risk/reward of 0.27-to-1 — a geometry that does not support initiating or adding to a position at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality At Minimum Threshold→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Pattern→Stable
  • Attractive Earnings Multiple↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 11, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Airlines

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $89.24: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Delta Air Lines served over 200 million customers in 2025 with 1,314 aircraft and up to 5,500 peak-day flights to more than 300 destinations across six continents, with core hubs in Atlanta, Detroit, Minneapolis-St. Paul, and Salt Lake City. Revenue spans passenger tickets, the... Read more

$89.24+1.6% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#5 of 16 Airlines
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield4.24%
IncomeYield0.96%(5y avg 2.12%)Payout15.52%sustainable
Stop $82.99Analyst target $90.70(−10% haircut)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst consensus$100.78+12.9%24 analysts with price targets
$90.70Analyst target
$89.24price
$100.78mean
$53
$125

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $89.24: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 69d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 5, 2026

Recent Developments — Delta Air Lines, Inc.

Latest item Nov 5, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:34:07Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jan 13, 202769d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (1.6% upside)
Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.8
P/E (Fwd)12.2
Mkt Cap$58.7B
EV/EBITDA9.9
Profit Mgn4.6%
ROE15.9%
Rev Growth21.1%
Beta1.42
Dividend0.96%
Analysts with ratings30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.26bearish
IV50%normal
Max Pain$50-44.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerAmerican Express
    10-K Item 1: 'Our most significant and valuable contract to sell miles ... remuneration from American Express totaled $8.2 billion'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.2
Gap
4.0
52w Position
8.8

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Current Ratio
1.6
Net Margin
2.3
Roa
2.6
Operating Margin
2.9
Roe
5.3
Moat
5.4
Fcf Quality
5.7
Piotroski F
6.7
Earnings quality warning: 76% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotMomentum 8.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 69d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
70 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $74.14Resistance $89.47

Price Targets

$83
$91
A.Upside+1.6%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.6% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-13 (69d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DAL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $89.24: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $82.99. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DAL stock price target?

Analyst target: $90.70 (+1.6% upside). Prior stop was $82.99. Stop-loss: $82.99.

What are the risks of investing in DAL?

Target reached (1.6% upside); Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0).

Is DAL overvalued or undervalued?

Delta Air Lines, Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.8 (forward 12.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DAL?

30 analysts rate DAL, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 24 analysts publish price targets averaging $101.

What does Delta Air Lines, Inc. do?Delta Air Lines served over 200 million customers in 2025 with 1,314 aircraft and up to 5,500 peak-day flights to more...

Delta Air Lines served over 200 million customers in 2025 with 1,314 aircraft and up to 5,500 peak-day flights to more than 300 destinations across six continents, with core hubs in Atlanta, Detroit, Minneapolis-St. Paul, and Salt Lake City. Revenue spans passenger tickets, the SkyMiles loyalty program, and American Express co-brand remuneration ($8.2 billion in 2025), plus MRO services through Delta TechOps.

Related stocks: CPA (Copa Holdings, S.A.) · LTM (LATAM Airlines Group S.A.) · AAL (American Airlines Group, Inc.) · LUV (Southwest Airlines Company) · UAL (United Airlines Holdings, Inc.)
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