Skip to main content
BBWBuild-A-Bear Workshop, Inc.Hold5.4·$28.47+0.96%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Build-A-Bear Workshop carries a four-quarter earnings beat streak, an attractively valued multiple, and a short-squeeze setup on elevated short interest, but the stock remains in a confirmed technical downtrend and reports earnings within days, a flagged event-risk window. Return on equity is excellent, though the assessment separately raises an earnings-quality red flag on free cash flow conversion.

Thesis pillars

  • Four Quarter Earnings Beat StreakDeteriorating
  • Confirmed Downtrend Bear RallyDeteriorating
  • Attractive Valuation MultipleImproving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc. (BBW) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldValueQualityShortModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.47, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $354M below $400M minimum.

Build-A-Bear Workshop is a mall-based, experiential specialty retailer where guests personalize stuffed animals through an interactive stuffing, dressing, and naming process. As of January 31, 2026, the company operated 662 global locations, comprising 375 corporately-managed... Read more

$28.47+28.3% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#14 of 24 Specialty Retail
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield3.16%Payout22.28%sustainable
Stop $26.68Target $36.55(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst target$43.00+51.0%4 analysts
$36.55our TP
$28.47price
$43.00mean
$50

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.47, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $354M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 24, MACD bearish. Market cap $354M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc.

About Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc.

Build-A-Bear Workshop operated 662 global locations as of January 31, 2026: 375 corporately-managed stores (333 in the U.S. and Canada, 42 in the U.K. and Ireland), 178 partner-operated wholesale locations, and 109 international franchises. The company reports results across three segments, direct-to-consumer, commercial, and international franchising, adding 64 net new locations in fiscal 2025.

Build-A-Bear earns revenue through in-store retail transactions built around its interactive stuffing and Heart Ceremony experience, supplemented by e-commerce sales, wholesale shipments to partner-operated locations, and outbound brand licensing into non-plush categories. Roughly one-third of revenue is tied to birthday gifting occasions, and the company licenses characters from partners including Disney, Sanrio, Pokémon, and Nintendo to drive product assortment. Inventory is sourced from vendors primarily in China and Vietnam on a purchase-order basis without long-term supply contracts, with a product cycle running approximately 12 months from concept to store arrival. Distribution runs through a company-owned 350,000-square-foot center in Groveport, Ohio, supplemented by third-party centers in southern California, Selby, England, and Shanghai, China.

Show full overview

Build-A-Bear's cost structure carries unusual tariff-policy risk following an intervening legal event: on February 20, 2026, the U.S. Supreme Court struck down certain tariffs previously imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, after which the administration announced it would invoke other statutory authority to reimpose tariffs on imports from all countries. Because the company sources a substantial share of its plush and apparel inventory from China and Vietnam on purchase orders without long-term pricing commitments, each round of tariff reinstatement can move landed cost mid-season faster than the company can renegotiate with vendors or pass costs through in price increases, a dynamic the 10-K says already drove a $12.4 million year-over-year rise in inventory value.

See also: Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

From Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 26, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-10
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Dec 3, 202683d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Market cap $354M below $400M minimum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.2
P/E (Fwd)7.4
Mkt Cap$354M
EV/EBITDA6.3
Profit Mgn10.0%
ROE32.8%
Rev Growth-7.2%
Beta1.01
Dividend3.16%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.88bearish
IV76%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierChina and Vietnam
    10-K Item 1A: 'As a company that sources a substantial portion of our inventory from China and Vietnam, tariffs generally increase our cost of goods sold'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-12Item 5.02LOW
    Build-A-Bear promoted CFO Voin Todorovic to the additional role of Chief Administrative Officer effective June 11, 2026, while he continues as CFO; not a departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -7.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
0.7
Declining revenue: -7%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 24, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.9%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 1.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 1.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
24 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $27.50Resistance $40.18

Price Targets

$27
$37
A.Upside+28.3%
A.R:R1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Market cap $354M below $400M minimum
! momentum at 1.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-03 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BBW stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.47, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $354M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 24, MACD bearish. Market cap $354M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $36.55 (+28.4%), stop $26.68 (−6.7%), A.R:R 1.9:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BBW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.55 (+28.3% upside). Target $36.55 (+28.4%), stop $26.68 (−6.7%), A.R:R 1.9:1. Stop-loss: $26.68.

What are the risks of investing in BBW?

Market cap $354M below $400M minimum.

Is BBW overvalued or undervalued?

Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc. trades at a P/E of 7.2 (forward 7.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about BBW?

8 analysts cover BBW with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $43.

What does Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc. do?Build-A-Bear Workshop is a mall-based, experiential specialty retailer where guests personalize stuffed animals through...

Build-A-Bear Workshop is a mall-based, experiential specialty retailer where guests personalize stuffed animals through an interactive stuffing, dressing, and naming process. As of January 31, 2026, the company operated 662 global locations, comprising 375 corporately-managed stores, 178 partner-operated wholesale locations, and 109 international franchises, plus e-commerce and licensing revenue streams. The company sources a substantial portion of its inventory from vendors in China and Vietnam.

Related stocks: BWMX (Betterware de Mexico, S.A.P.I. ) · MNSO (MINISO Group Holding Limited) · EYE (National Vision Holdings, Inc.) · BOBS (Bob's Discount Furniture, Inc.) · ASO (Academy Sports and Outdoors, In)
Home Stocks BBW

Latest news

Latest News

GuruFocus15d ago
MarketBeat16d ago
MarketBeat16d ago
TradingView21d agoEarnings
MarketBeat22d agoEarnings
MarketBeat18d ago
Vinanet.vn25d ago
富途牛牛20d agoEarnings
Kalkine Media17d ago
MarketBeat24d ago
MarketBeat24d ago
Benzinga13d ago
Benzinga14d ago
Benzinga14d ago
Benzinga14d ago
Benzinga14d ago
Benzinga14d ago
Benzinga14d ago
Benzinga14d ago
Benzinga14d ago
Loading more...