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RELXRELX PLC PLCSell5.6·$33.52
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

RELX has an exceptional ROE of 71%, best-in-class margins of 22% relative to specialty business services peers, a Piotroski F-Score of 7 out of 9, and analysts project 36% upside — but a confirmed downtrend with a death cross, falling on-balance volume, and a Rule of 40 score of only 24 indicate meaningful near-term technical risk that contradicts the strong fundamental quality picture.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Return On Equity And Margins→Stable
  • Rule Of 40 Below Threshold→Stable
  • Confirmed Downtrend Death Cross→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

RELX PLC PLC (RELX) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $33.52 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 7.1): -1.5; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

RELX PLC, together with its subsidiaries, provides information-based analytics and decision tools for professional and business customers in North America, Europe, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Risk; Scientific, Technical & Medical; Legal; and... Read more

$33.52+34.5% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#15 of 31 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.83%
IncomeYield2.75%(5y avg 2.01%)Payout53.45%sustainable
Stop $31.96Target $45.09(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 6.9:1
Analyst target$53.05+58.3%2 analysts
$45.09our TP
$33.52price
$53.05mean
$57

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $33.52 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 7.1): -1.5; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 138d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: conservative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 11, 2027138d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.6 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Analyst upside: 35%
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Leverage penalty (D/E 7.1): -1.5
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.9
P/E (Fwd)15.5
Mkt Cap$58.3B
EV/EBITDA73.9
Profit Mgn23.3%
ROE131.9%
Rev Growth2.7%
Beta0.27
Dividend2.75%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.33bearish
IV65%elevated
Max Pain$50+49.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.9
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
1.1
Rsi
3.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.5
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R 6.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 138d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Conservative
RSI
36 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $32.83Resistance $37.00

Price Targets

$32
$45
A.Upside+34.5%
A.R:R6.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-11 (138d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RELX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $33.52 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 7.1): -1.5; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $31.96. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

What is the RELX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $45.09 (+34.5% upside). Prior stop was $31.96. Stop-loss: $31.96.

What are the risks of investing in RELX?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Leverage penalty (D/E 7.1): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Is RELX overvalued or undervalued?

RELX PLC PLC trades at a P/E of 19.9 (forward 15.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RELX?

25 analysts cover RELX with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $53.

What does RELX PLC PLC do?RELX PLC, together with its subsidiaries, provides information-based analytics and decision tools for professional and...

RELX PLC, together with its subsidiaries, provides information-based analytics and decision tools for professional and business customers in North America, Europe, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Risk; Scientific, Technical & Medical; Legal; and Exhibitions. The Risk segment offers information-based analytics and decision tools that combine public and industry specific content with technology and algorithms to assist clients in evaluating and predicting risk, as well as a portfolio of commercial healthcare products. Its Scientific, Technical & Medical segment provides scientific and medical information and data sets for science and healthcare. The Legal segment provides legal, regulatory, and business information and analytics. Its Exhibitions segment combines digital tools and data to help customers connect in-person and online, discover new markets, source products, generate leads, and transact. The company was formerly known as Reed Elsevier PLC and changed its name to RELX PLC in July 2015. RELX PLC was incorporated in 1903 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

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