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HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A best-in-class specialty services business with 33% margins, a Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9, and three earnings beats in the last four quarters is currently blocked from a clean entry by a confirmed death cross, capitulation-level RSI of 26, and a confirmed downtrend—the underlying business quality is compelling, but technical conditions argue for patience until momentum stabilizes.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class Margins Quality→Stable
  • Consistent Earnings Beat Record→Stable
  • Death Cross Blocks Clean Entry↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Copart, Inc. (CPRT) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

HoldQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $26.27, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. segment (83.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Copart runs online vehicle auctions for salvage and used vehicles, with facilities across the U.S., Canada, the U.K., Brazil, Germany, Spain and other countries. It earns seller and buyer fees on vehicles sold; 83.0% of fiscal 2025 revenue came from the U.S. segment and members... Read more

$26.27+29.2% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#21 of 31 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.64%
Stop $24.95Target $33.93(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.6:1
Analyst target$39.00+48.5%10 analysts
$33.93our TP
$26.27price
$39.00mean
$55

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $26.27, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. segment (83.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 31, MACD bearish. Under M&A bid. Hold for deal completion or sell if spread < 3%. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 35d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Copart, Inc.

About Copart, Inc.

Copart's U.S. segment generated 83.0% of the company's $4.6 billion in fiscal 2025 revenue, with the remaining 17.0% from international operations spanning the U.K., Germany, Brazil, Canada, and seven other countries. Insurance companies supplied 81% of vehicles processed in fiscal 2025. Copart opened six new operational facilities across the U.S. and Spain during fiscal 2025, and operating income reached $1.7 billion.

Copart earns revenue primarily as an agent—collecting transaction fees on vehicles sold on behalf of sellers rather than taking title—though it acts as a principal in the U.K., Germany, and Spain, purchasing vehicles outright and reselling them for its own account. Service fees include vehicle listing, selling, transportation, storage, title processing, bidding, and loading charges; principal-model revenue represents the gross vehicle selling price. Insurance companies represent 81% of vehicle supply in fiscal 2025, with dealers, fleet operators, rental car companies, and individuals comprising the remainder. The proprietary VB3 auction platform allows bidders anywhere with internet access to participate without traveling to a physical facility, which the company believes increases buyer competition and average selling prices. Operating costs include labor, transportation (miles traveled and fuel rates), facility maintenance, property-related taxes, and costs of vehicles sold. Copart competes against other auction and vehicle remarketing service companies as well as large vehicle dismantlers that may source salvage vehicles directly from insurers.

Show full overview

Weather introduces meaningful supply volatility: mild conditions reduce accident frequency and shrink salvage vehicle inventory, while catastrophic events surge volume but impose operational costs and facility capacity constraints. In fiscal 2025, Copart recognized substantial additional costs associated with Hurricanes Helene and Milton, with capacity constraints in impacted U.S. regions weighing on operating results in certain quarters. Facility expansion strategy may be subject to zoning restrictions, use-permit hurdles, and no-growth regulatory environments that could limit capacity additions in specific markets.

See also: Industrials · Specialty Business Services

From Copart, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted October 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 19, 202635d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Margin of safety: 32%
Analyst upside: 29%
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. segment (83.0%)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.1
P/E (Fwd)15.0
Mkt Cap$24.3B
EV/EBITDA10.7
Profit Mgn31.8%
ROE16.2%
Rev Growth2.4%
Beta1.06
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.57bearish
IV66%elevated
Max Pain$20-23.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicU.S. segment83%
    10-K Item 1: 'we generated 83.0% of our revenue in our U.S. segment and 17.0% in our international segment'
  • MEDIUMCustomerlimited number of vehicle sellers
    10-K Item 1A: 'a limited number of vehicle sellers historically have collectively accounted for a substantial portion of our revenues'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.1

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
2.8
Rsi
3.5
Macd
3.6
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 5.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 35d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
31 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $25.72Resistance $30.80

Price Targets

$25
$34
A.Upside+29.2%
A.R:R5.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! M&A event: 'tender offer' detected
! M&A event: 'tender offer' detected
! M&A event: 'tender offer' detected

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-19 (35d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CPRT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $26.27, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. segment (83.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 31, MACD bearish. Under M&A bid. Hold for deal completion or sell if spread < 3%. Target $33.93 (+29.2%), stop $24.95 (−5.3%), A.R:R 5.6:1. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CPRT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $33.93 (+29.2% upside). Target $33.93 (+29.2%), stop $24.95 (−5.3%), A.R:R 5.6:1. Stop-loss: $24.95.

What are the risks of investing in CPRT?

Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. segment (83.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is CPRT overvalued or undervalued?

Copart, Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.1 (forward 15.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CPRT?

21 analysts cover CPRT with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $39.

What does Copart, Inc. do?Copart runs online vehicle auctions for salvage and used vehicles, with facilities across the U.S., Canada, the U.K.,...

Copart runs online vehicle auctions for salvage and used vehicles, with facilities across the U.S., Canada, the U.K., Brazil, Germany, Spain and other countries. It earns seller and buyer fees on vehicles sold; 83.0% of fiscal 2025 revenue came from the U.S. segment and members bid in real time via VB3.

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