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Copart, Inc. (CPRT) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $33.25: Concentration risk — Customer: insurance company sellers (81.0%); Weak overall score: 4.8/10.

Copart operates an online vehicle auction and remarketing platform across the U.S. (83% of $4.6B fiscal 2025 revenues), U.K., Germany, Brazil, Canada, UAE, and other markets. Revenue comes primarily from auction fees; insurance companies supplied 81% of vehicles processed in... Read more

$33.25+12.2% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#15 of 21 Specialty Business Services
Stop $31.79Target $37.12(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst target$42.67+28.3%9 analysts
$37.12our TP
$33.25price
$42.67mean
$55

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $33.25: Concentration risk — Customer: insurance company sellers (81.0%); Weak overall score: 4.8/10. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 21d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: insurance company sellers (81.0%)
Weak overall score: 4.8/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.0
P/E (Fwd)19.8
Mkt Cap$32.1B
EV/EBITDA14.0
Profit Mgn33.8%
ROE17.1%
Rev Growth-3.6%
Beta1.14
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.56bullish
IV48%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerinsurance company sellers81%
    10-K Item 1: 'We obtained 81%, 81%, and 83% of the total number of vehicles processed during fiscal 2025, 2024, and 2023, respectively, from insurance company sellers.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Revenue shrinking — -3.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
1.6
Declining revenue: -4%
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5A.R:R 2.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 21d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $32.43Resistance $34.52

Price Targets

$32
$37
A.Upside+11.6%
A.R:R2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-21 (21d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CPRT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $33.25: Concentration risk — Customer: insurance company sellers (81.0%); Weak overall score: 4.8/10. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Prior stop was $31.79. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CPRT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $37.12 (+12.2% upside). Prior stop was $31.79. Stop-loss: $31.79.

What are the risks of investing in CPRT?

Concentration risk — Customer: insurance company sellers (81.0%); Weak overall score: 4.8/10; Weak growth.

Is CPRT overvalued or undervalued?

Copart, Inc. trades at a P/E of 21.0 (forward 19.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CPRT?

20 analysts cover CPRT with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $43.

What does Copart, Inc. do?Copart operates an online vehicle auction and remarketing platform across the U.S. (83% of $4.6B fiscal 2025 revenues),...

Copart operates an online vehicle auction and remarketing platform across the U.S. (83% of $4.6B fiscal 2025 revenues), U.K., Germany, Brazil, Canada, UAE, and other markets. Revenue comes primarily from auction fees; insurance companies supplied 81% of vehicles processed in fiscal 2025.

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