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TRIThomson Reuters CorpSell5.8·$98.99
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Thomson Reuters has delivered a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak with strong operating margins of 20% and a Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9, while analysts see 33% upside to approximately $107. The stock is in a confirmed downtrend — trading below its 200-day moving average with a death cross and a -11.3%/30-day slope — creating a wide valuation opportunity that is counterbalanced by serious near-term technical risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Beat Streak With High Margins↓Deteriorating
  • Severe Downtrend With Death Cross↑Improving
  • Large Analyst Upside With High Quality→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Thomson Reuters Corp (TRI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Sell if holding. At $98.99, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.5%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Thomson Reuters Corporation operates as a content and technology company in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through five segments: Legal Professionals, Corporates, Tax, Audit & Accounting Professionals, Reuters News, and Global... Read more

$98.99+7.5% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#8 of 31 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.85%
IncomeYield2.66%(5y avg 1.58%)Payout66.61%
Stop $92.06Target $106.39(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$122.29+23.5%12 analysts
$106.39our TP
$98.99price
$122.29mean
$146

Sell if holding. At $98.99, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.5%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 38d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202638d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.5%
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.9
P/E (Fwd)19.7
Mkt Cap$43.5B
EV/EBITDA20.0
Profit Mgn21.2%
ROE14.2%
Rev Growth9.5%
Beta0.19
Dividend2.66%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.85bearish
IV52%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
1.9
Rsi
4.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 38d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
41 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $93.65Resistance $112.77

Price Targets

$92
$106
A.Upside+7.5%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (38d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TRI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $98.99, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.5%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $92.06. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TRI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $106.39 (+7.5% upside). Prior stop was $92.06. Stop-loss: $92.06.

What are the risks of investing in TRI?

Thin upside margin: 7.5%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.

Is TRI overvalued or undervalued?

Thomson Reuters Corp trades at a P/E of 25.9 (forward 19.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TRI?

22 analysts cover TRI with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $122.

What does Thomson Reuters Corp do?Thomson Reuters Corporation operates as a content and technology company in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East,...

Thomson Reuters Corporation operates as a content and technology company in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through five segments: Legal Professionals, Corporates, Tax, Audit & Accounting Professionals, Reuters News, and Global Print. The Legal Professionals segment offers research and workflow products focusing on legal research and integrated legal workflow solutions that combine content, tools, and analytics to law firms and governments. The Corporates segment provides a suite of content-driven technologies, including generative AI and integrated compliance workflow solutions to small businesses and multinational organizations. Tax, Audit & Accounting Professionals segment offers research and workflow products to tax, audit, and accounting firms. The Reuters News segment provides business, financial, and international news to media organizations, professional, and news consumers through Reuters News Agency, Reuters.com, Reuters Events, Thomson Reuters products, and to financial firms. The Global Print segment offers legal and tax information primarily in print format. The company was formerly known as The Thomson Corporation and changed its name to Thomson Reuters Corporation in April 2008. The company was founded in 1799 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada. Thomson Reuters Corporation is a subsidiary of The Woodbridge Company Limited.

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