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RBARB Global, Inc.Sell6.0·$95.09
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

RB Global is an industrial auction and asset management services company with a perfect 4-for-4 earnings beat streak averaging 11.3% positive surprise and the strongest momentum score of 8.0 out of 10, but the stock has already reached its analyst price target with only 0.6% upside and a reward-to-risk ratio of 0.12 that makes new entry unattractive.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
  • Strongest Momentum Score↓Deteriorating
  • Stock At Analyst Target→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

RB Global, Inc. (RBA) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Earnings in 4 days (2026-11-09). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. At $95.09, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Earnings in 4 days (event risk).

RB Global operates omnichannel auction marketplaces for commercial assets and vehicles via Ritchie Bros. (construction/transportation) and IAA (automotive salvage) brands, serving customers in approximately 170 countries with about 8,000 full-time employees. Revenue comes from... Read more

$95.09+17.9% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#3 of 30 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.41%
IncomeYield1.39%(5y avg 1.39%)Payout53.45%sustainable
Stop $89.43Analyst target $112.07(−13% haircut)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst consensus$128.82+35.5%11 analysts with price targets
$112.07Analyst target
$95.09price
$128.82mean
$152

Sell if holding. At $95.09, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

No fresh coverage since Oct 21, 2026

Recent Developments — RB Global, Inc.

Latest item Oct 21, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:39:31Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 20264d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Earnings in 4 days (event risk)
Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)41.0
P/E (Fwd)19.7
Mkt Cap$17.7B
EV/EBITDA16.8
Profit Mgn10.0%
ROE8.1%
Rev Growth11.1%
Beta0.47
Dividend1.39%
Analysts with ratings11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.05bullish
IV57%elevated
Max Pain$65-31.6% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02LOW
    Director Sarah Raiss notified RB Global of decision to retire; will not stand for re-election at 2026 AGM (anticipated April 30, 2026). No disagreement with company operations, policies, or practices cited. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.1
Gap
5.0
52w Position
6.0
GatesA.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $78.10Resistance $95.19

Price Targets

$89
$112
A.Upside+17.9%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RBA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $95.09, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Prior stop was $89.43. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RBA stock price target?

Analyst target: $112.07 (+17.9% upside). Prior stop was $89.43. Stop-loss: $89.43.

What are the risks of investing in RBA?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is RBA overvalued or undervalued?

RB Global, Inc. trades at a P/E of 41.0 (forward 19.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RBA?

11 analysts rate RBA, with a consensus score of 4.4/5. 11 analysts publish price targets averaging $129.

What does RB Global, Inc. do?RB Global operates omnichannel auction marketplaces for commercial assets and vehicles via Ritchie Bros....

RB Global operates omnichannel auction marketplaces for commercial assets and vehicles via Ritchie Bros. (construction/transportation) and IAA (automotive salvage) brands, serving customers in approximately 170 countries with about 8,000 full-time employees. Revenue comes from service commissions, buyer fees, and value-added services (inspection, logistics, data) with primary sellers being insurance companies, fleet owners, and dealers.

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