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ULSUL Solutions Inc.Sell5.8·$71.60
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

UL Solutions has beaten earnings estimates in all four consecutive quarters with an average surprise of 17% and converts 120% of net income to free cash flow — a rare cash quality signal — but trades above analyst target resistance with negative asymmetry and geographic concentration risk in its current setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Beat Streak With Fcf Quality→Stable
  • Price Above Analyst Resistance↓Deteriorating
  • Geographic Concentration Outside Us↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

UL Solutions Inc. (ULS) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $71.60 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

UL Solutions provides Testing, Inspection and Certification (TIC) services through Industrial, Consumer, and Software & Advisory segments, serving over 80,000 customers across more than 110 countries. Revenue divides across four service categories — Ongoing Certification (~33%),... Read more

$71.60+17.3% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#9 of 31 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.91%
IncomeYield0.82%Payout22.18%sustainable
Stop $67.32Target $84.01(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$96.57+34.9%12 analysts
$84.01our TP
$71.60price
$96.57mean
$120

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $71.60 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 72. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 18d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202618d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.6 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.6
P/E (Fwd)27.5
Mkt Cap$14.4B
EV/EBITDA20.1
Profit Mgn16.1%
ROE38.7%
Rev Growth5.2%
Beta0.71
Dividend0.82%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C3.17bearish
IV73%elevated
Max Pain$100+39.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicrevenue from outside the United States59%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 59.0% of our revenue was generated from customers outside the United States'
  • MEDIUMGeographicChina
    10-K Item 1A: 'The Company conducts significant business in China, including through its joint venture with CCIC'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-03Item 5.02LOW
    On June 1, 2026, CEO Jennifer F. Scanlon received a special one-time grant of 200,120 performance share units (target value $20 million) under the 2024 LTIP to incentivize continued employment and focus on next-phase growth. Routine compensatory arrangement; no departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.5
Support Resistance
0.7
52w Position
3.4
GatesMomentum 4.5<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 18d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
72 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $63.17Resistance $72.23

Price Targets

$67
$84
A.Upside+17.3%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (18d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ULS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $71.60 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 72. Prior stop was $67.32. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ULS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $84.01 (+17.3% upside). Prior stop was $67.32. Stop-loss: $67.32.

What are the risks of investing in ULS?

Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is ULS overvalued or undervalued?

UL Solutions Inc. trades at a P/E of 28.6 (forward 27.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ULS?

17 analysts cover ULS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $97.

What does UL Solutions Inc. do?UL Solutions provides Testing, Inspection and Certification (TIC) services through Industrial, Consumer, and Software &...

UL Solutions provides Testing, Inspection and Certification (TIC) services through Industrial, Consumer, and Software & Advisory segments, serving over 80,000 customers across more than 110 countries. Revenue divides across four service categories — Ongoing Certification (~33%), Non-certification Testing (~30%), Certification Testing (~28%), and Software (~9%) — with approximately 59% of 2025 revenue from outside the United States.

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