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ULSUL Solutions Inc.Buy Wait5.7·$77.46+0.85%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

UL Solutions has beaten earnings estimates in all four consecutive quarters with an average surprise of 17% and converts 120% of net income to free cash flow — a rare cash quality signal — but trades above analyst target resistance with negative asymmetry and geographic concentration risk in its current setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Beat Streak With Fcf QualityStable
  • Price Above Analyst ResistanceStable
  • Geographic Concentration Outside UsDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

UL Solutions Inc. (ULS) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Wait for pullback to $77.09. At $77.46 the A.R:R is 1.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $77.09 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%); Thin upside margin: 9.3%.

UL Solutions provides Testing, Inspection and Certification (TIC) services through Industrial, Consumer, and Software & Advisory segments, serving over 80,000 customers across more than 110 countries. Revenue divides across four service categories — Ongoing Certification (~33%),... Read more

$77.46+9.3% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#8 of 29 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.69%
IncomeYield0.75%Payout22.18%sustainable
Entry $77.09(support + ATR (held))Stop $70.03Target $84.67(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$97.32+25.6%12 analysts
$84.67our TP
$77.46price
$97.32mean
$120

Wait for pullback to $77.09. At $77.46 the A.R:R is 1.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $77.09 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%); Thin upside margin: 9.3%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-16
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202678d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%)
Thin upside margin: 9.3%
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.2
P/E (Fwd)29.8
Mkt Cap$15.6B
EV/EBITDA21.8
Profit Mgn16.1%
ROE38.7%
Rev Growth5.2%
Beta0.70
Dividend0.75%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.18bullish
IV60%elevated
Max Pain$80+3.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicrevenue from outside the United States59%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 59.0% of our revenue was generated from customers outside the United States'
  • MEDIUMGeographicChina
    10-K Item 1A: 'The Company conducts significant business in China, including through its joint venture with CCIC'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-03Item 5.02LOW
    On June 1, 2026, CEO Jennifer F. Scanlon received a special one-time grant of 200,120 performance share units (target value $20 million) under the 2024 LTIP to incentivize continued employment and focus on next-phase growth. Routine compensatory arrangement; no departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.8
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 23, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.4<4.5A.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
23 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $75.34Resistance $93.61

Price Targets

$70
$77
$85
A.Upside+9.3%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! momentum at 1.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ULS stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $77.09. At $77.46 the A.R:R is 1.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $77.09 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%); Thin upside margin: 9.3%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $84.67 (+9.3%), stop $70.03 (−10.6%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ULS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $84.67 (+9.3% upside). Target $84.67 (+9.3%), stop $70.03 (−10.6%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Stop-loss: $70.03.

What are the risks of investing in ULS?

Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%); Thin upside margin: 9.3%; Negative momentum.

Is ULS overvalued or undervalued?

UL Solutions Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.2 (forward 29.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ULS?

17 analysts cover ULS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $97.

What does UL Solutions Inc. do?UL Solutions provides Testing, Inspection and Certification (TIC) services through Industrial, Consumer, and Software &...

UL Solutions provides Testing, Inspection and Certification (TIC) services through Industrial, Consumer, and Software & Advisory segments, serving over 80,000 customers across more than 110 countries. Revenue divides across four service categories — Ongoing Certification (~33%), Non-certification Testing (~30%), Certification Testing (~28%), and Software (~9%) — with approximately 59% of 2025 revenue from outside the United States.

Related stocks: RBA (RB Global, Inc.) · TH (Target Hospitality Corp.) · TIC (TIC Solutions, Inc.) · DLB (Dolby Laboratories) · CMPR (Cimpress PLC)
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