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ULSUL Solutions Inc.Hold6.0·$73.83-1.07%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

UL Solutions has beaten earnings estimates in all four consecutive quarters with an average surprise of 17% and converts 120% of net income to free cash flow — a rare cash quality signal — but trades above analyst target resistance with negative asymmetry and geographic concentration risk in its current setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Beat Streak With Fcf QualityStable
  • Price Above Analyst ResistanceStable
  • Geographic Concentration Outside UsImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

UL Solutions Inc. (ULS) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $73.83, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

UL Solutions provides Testing, Inspection and Certification (TIC) services through Industrial, Consumer, and Software & Advisory segments, serving over 80,000 customers across more than 110 countries. Revenue divides across four service categories — Ongoing Certification (~33%),... Read more

$73.83+14.7% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#6 of 31 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.82%
IncomeYield0.78%Payout22.18%sustainable
Stop $70.67Target $84.67(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.9:1
Analyst target$97.32+31.8%12 analysts
$84.67our TP
$73.83price
$97.32mean
$120

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $73.83, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-05
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.6 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.1
P/E (Fwd)28.4
Mkt Cap$14.9B
EV/EBITDA20.8
Profit Mgn16.1%
ROE38.7%
Rev Growth5.2%
Beta0.62
Dividend0.78%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.92neutral
IV43%normal
Max Pain$105+42.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicrevenue from outside the United States59%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 59.0% of our revenue was generated from customers outside the United States'
  • MEDIUMGeographicChina
    10-K Item 1A: 'The Company conducts significant business in China, including through its joint venture with CCIC'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-03Item 5.02LOW
    On June 1, 2026, CEO Jennifer F. Scanlon received a special one-time grant of 200,120 performance share units (target value $20 million) under the 2024 LTIP to incentivize continued employment and focus on next-phase growth. Routine compensatory arrangement; no departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.3
Ma Position
1.5
Rsi
3.5
Macd
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 2.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
33 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $72.86Resistance $79.20

Price Targets

$71
$85
A.Upside+14.7%
A.R:R2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ULS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $73.83, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $84.67 (+14.7%), stop $70.67 (−4.5%), A.R:R 2.9:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ULS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $84.67 (+14.7% upside). Target $84.67 (+14.7%), stop $70.67 (−4.5%), A.R:R 2.9:1. Stop-loss: $70.67.

What are the risks of investing in ULS?

Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.

Is ULS overvalued or undervalued?

UL Solutions Inc. trades at a P/E of 30.1 (forward 28.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ULS?

17 analysts cover ULS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $97.

What does UL Solutions Inc. do?UL Solutions provides Testing, Inspection and Certification (TIC) services through Industrial, Consumer, and Software &...

UL Solutions provides Testing, Inspection and Certification (TIC) services through Industrial, Consumer, and Software & Advisory segments, serving over 80,000 customers across more than 110 countries. Revenue divides across four service categories — Ongoing Certification (~33%), Non-certification Testing (~30%), Certification Testing (~28%), and Software (~9%) — with approximately 59% of 2025 revenue from outside the United States.

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