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ULSUL Solutions Inc.Hold6.3·$66.05
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

UL Solutions has beaten earnings estimates in all four consecutive quarters with an average surprise of 17% and converts 120% of net income to free cash flow — a rare cash quality signal — but trades above analyst target resistance with negative asymmetry and geographic concentration risk in its current setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Beat Streak With Fcf Quality→Stable
  • Price Above Analyst Resistance→Stable
  • Geographic Concentration Outside Us↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

UL Solutions Inc. (ULS) Stock Analysis

HoldDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)VALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $66.05, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

UL Solutions provides Testing, Inspection and Certification (TIC) services through Industrial, Consumer, and Software & Advisory segments, serving over 80,000 customers across more than 110 countries. Revenue divides across four service categories — Ongoing Certification (~33%),... Read more

$66.05+27.1% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#2 of 31 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.17%
IncomeYield0.89%Payout22.18%sustainable
Stop $62.35Target $83.94(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.8:1
Analyst target$96.48+46.1%12 analysts
$83.94our TP
$66.05price
$96.48mean
$120

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $66.05, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, positive momentum, earnings proximity 38d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202638d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.6 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.4
P/E (Fwd)25.3
Mkt Cap$13.3B
EV/EBITDA18.5
Profit Mgn16.1%
ROE38.7%
Rev Growth5.2%
Beta0.62
Dividend0.89%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.80neutral
IV40%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicrevenue from outside the United States59%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 59.0% of our revenue was generated from customers outside the United States'
  • MEDIUMGeographicChina
    10-K Item 1A: 'The Company conducts significant business in China, including through its joint venture with CCIC'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-03Item 5.02LOW
    On June 1, 2026, CEO Jennifer F. Scanlon received a special one-time grant of 200,120 performance share units (target value $20 million) under the 2024 LTIP to incentivize continued employment and focus on next-phase growth. Routine compensatory arrangement; no departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.3>=4.5A.R:R 4.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 38d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
24 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $63.17Resistance $76.04

Price Targets

$62
$84
A.Upside+27.1%
A.R:R4.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts17
Consensus4.0/5
Avg Target$96

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (38d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ULS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $66.05, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $83.94 (+27.1%), stop $62.35 (−5.9%), A.R:R 4.8:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ULS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $83.94 (+27.1% upside). Target $83.94 (+27.1%), stop $62.35 (−5.9%), A.R:R 4.8:1. Stop-loss: $62.35.

What are the risks of investing in ULS?

Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is ULS overvalued or undervalued?

UL Solutions Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.4 (forward 25.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ULS?

17 analysts cover ULS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $96.

What does UL Solutions Inc. do?UL Solutions provides Testing, Inspection and Certification (TIC) services through Industrial, Consumer, and Software &...

UL Solutions provides Testing, Inspection and Certification (TIC) services through Industrial, Consumer, and Software & Advisory segments, serving over 80,000 customers across more than 110 countries. Revenue divides across four service categories — Ongoing Certification (~33%), Non-certification Testing (~30%), Certification Testing (~28%), and Software (~9%) — with approximately 59% of 2025 revenue from outside the United States.

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