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GPNGlobal Payments Inc.Hold5.6·$93.05-1.88%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The combination of 63% revenue growth, an 80% free cash flow margin, four consecutive earnings beats, and a forward P/E of 4.2x creates a compelling fundamental case; the primary risk is that price momentum has broken down sharply and the stock must stabilize before the fundamental strengths can be expressed in the share price.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Free Cash Flow GenerationStable
  • Revenue Growth LeadershipStable
  • Price Momentum BreakdownImproving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Global Payments Inc. (GPN) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldValueGrowthShortModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $93.05, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.6% away).

Global Payments is a payments technology company providing merchant acceptance, payment processing and business management software across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Latin America, with approximately 26,000 team members worldwide. In January 2026, the company... Read more

$93.05-1.8% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#13 of 29 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield31.95%
IncomeYield1.07%(5y avg 0.93%)Payout47.39%sustainable
Stop $86.54Target $107.01(default +15%)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$101.50+9.1%28 analysts
$107.01our TP
$93.05price
$101.50mean
$60
$194

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $93.05, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.6% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-16
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202678d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.6% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)44.1
P/E (Fwd)5.8
Mkt Cap$24.6B
EV/EBITDA9.7
Profit Mgn-9.2%
ROE2.4%
Rev Growth68.6%
Beta0.78
Dividend1.07%
Rating analysts39

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.35bullish
IV57%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.7
Support Resistance
1.4
52w Position
9.5
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $77.25Resistance $95.58

Price Targets

$87
$107
A.Upside-1.8%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GPN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $93.05, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.6% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $107.01 (+15.0%), stop $86.54 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GPN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $107.01 (-1.8% upside). Target $107.01 (+15.0%), stop $86.54 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Stop-loss: $86.54.

What are the risks of investing in GPN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.6% away).

Is GPN overvalued or undervalued?

Global Payments Inc. trades at a P/E of 44.1 (forward 5.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GPN?

39 analysts cover GPN with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $102.

What does Global Payments Inc. do?Global Payments is a payments technology company providing merchant acceptance, payment processing and business...

Global Payments is a payments technology company providing merchant acceptance, payment processing and business management software across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Latin America, with approximately 26,000 team members worldwide. In January 2026, the company acquired Worldpay Holdco from Fidelity National Information Services and GTCR for roughly $6.2 billion in cash plus 43.3 million shares, simultaneously divesting its Issuer Solutions business to FIS for approximately $7.7 billion in cash plus FIS's Worldpay stake.

Related stocks: RBA (RB Global, Inc.) · DLB (Dolby Laboratories) · FA (First Advantage Corporation) · ULS (UL Solutions Inc.) · CPRT (Copart, Inc.)
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