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GPNGlobal Payments Inc.Hold6.2·$68.49+1.50%
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Global Payments Inc. (GPN) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $68.49, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Global Payments Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries are referred to collectively as "Global Payments," the "Company," "we," "our" or "us," unless the context requires otherwise.

$68.49+24.2% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#2 of 21 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield38.60%
IncomeYield1.48%(5y avg 0.93%)Payout36.76%sustainable
Stop $63.70Target $85.07(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$94.52+38.0%25 analysts
$85.07our TP
$68.49price
$94.52mean
$194

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $68.49, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202649d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.8
P/E (Fwd)4.2
Mkt Cap$18.5B
EV/EBITDA9.5
Profit Mgn-8.0%
ROE2.9%
Rev Growth63.1%
Beta0.77
Dividend1.48%
Rating analysts38

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.14bearish
IV55%elevated
Max Pain$35-48.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.0
Value Rank
4.9
Growth Rank
9.0
Industry growth leader

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Volume
4.3
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 49d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $60.93Resistance $75.77

Price Targets

$64
$85
A.Upside+24.2%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (49d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GPN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $68.49, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $85.07 (+24.2%), stop $63.70 (−7.5%), A.R:R 2.2:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GPN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $85.07 (+24.2% upside). Target $85.07 (+24.2%), stop $63.70 (−7.5%), A.R:R 2.2:1. Stop-loss: $63.70.

What are the risks of investing in GPN?

Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is GPN overvalued or undervalued?

Global Payments Inc. trades at a P/E of 24.8 (forward 4.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GPN?

38 analysts cover GPN with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $95.

What does Global Payments Inc. do?Global Payments Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries are referred to collectively as "Global Payments," the...

Global Payments Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries are referred to collectively as "Global Payments," the "Company," "we," "our" or "us," unless the context requires otherwise.

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