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GPNGlobal Payments Inc.Buy Wait6.6·$83.56+3.26%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The combination of 63% revenue growth, an 80% free cash flow margin, four consecutive earnings beats, and a forward P/E of 4.2x creates a compelling fundamental case; the primary risk is that price momentum has broken down sharply and the stock must stabilize before the fundamental strengths can be expressed in the share price.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Free Cash Flow GenerationStable
  • Revenue Growth LeadershipStable
  • Price Momentum BreakdownDeteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Global Payments Inc. (GPN) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

Buy WaitValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Wait for pullback to $74.04. At $83.56 the A.R:R is 0.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $74.04 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Global Payments is a payments technology company providing merchant acceptance, payment processing and business management software across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Latin America, with approximately 26,000 team members worldwide. In January 2026, the company... Read more

$83.56+1.9% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#1 of 29 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield32.19%
IncomeYield1.24%(5y avg 0.93%)Payout36.76%sustainable
Entry $74.04(Ma200 Sticky)Stop $67.68Target $84.77(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$94.19+12.7%27 analysts
$84.77our TP
$83.56price
$94.19mean
$60
$194

Wait for pullback to $74.04. At $83.56 the A.R:R is 0.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $74.04 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 20269d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.7
P/E (Fwd)5.0
Mkt Cap$22.1B
EV/EBITDA10.4
Profit Mgn-8.0%
ROE2.9%
Rev Growth63.1%
Beta0.77
Dividend1.24%
Rating analysts38

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV58%elevated
Max Pain$50-40.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.0
Bollinger
0.5
Gap
5.0
52w Position
8.6
GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 9d<=14d (soft)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $69.65Resistance $83.23

Price Targets

$68
$74
$85
A.Upside+1.9%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.9% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (9d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GPN stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $74.04. At $83.56 the A.R:R is 0.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $74.04 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $84.77 (+1.4%), stop $67.68 (−23.5%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GPN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $84.77 (+1.9% upside). Target $84.77 (+1.4%), stop $67.68 (−23.5%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Stop-loss: $67.68.

What are the risks of investing in GPN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is GPN overvalued or undervalued?

Global Payments Inc. trades at a P/E of 29.7 (forward 5.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about GPN?

38 analysts cover GPN with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $94.

What does Global Payments Inc. do?Global Payments is a payments technology company providing merchant acceptance, payment processing and business...

Global Payments is a payments technology company providing merchant acceptance, payment processing and business management software across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Latin America, with approximately 26,000 team members worldwide. In January 2026, the company acquired Worldpay Holdco from Fidelity National Information Services and GTCR for roughly $6.2 billion in cash plus 43.3 million shares, simultaneously divesting its Issuer Solutions business to FIS for approximately $7.7 billion in cash plus FIS's Worldpay stake.

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