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Global Payments Inc. (GPN) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $68.66 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Global Payments Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries are referred to collectively as "Global Payments," the "Company," "we," "our" or "us," unless the context requires otherwise.

$68.66+24.2% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#1 of 21 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield38.34%
IncomeYield1.47%(5y avg 0.92%)Payout36.76%sustainable
Stop $64.14Target $84.87(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.3:1
Analyst target$94.30+37.3%27 analysts
$84.87our TP
$68.66price
$94.30mean
$194

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $68.66 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 32, MACD bearish. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Global Payments Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.0
P/E (Fwd)4.2
Mkt Cap$18.6B
EV/EBITDA9.5
Profit Mgn-8.0%
ROE2.9%
Rev Growth63.1%
Beta0.76
Dividend1.47%
Rating analysts38

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.12bearish
IV45%normal
Max Pain$55-19.9% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-18Item 5.02MEDIUM
    . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers, Election of Directors, Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers Appointment of Director On February 18, 2026, the Company announced that the Board of Directors of the Company (the "Board") appointed Vivek Sankaran...
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
0.8
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.0
Value Rank
5.1
Growth Rank
9.0
Industry growth leader
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
32 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $66.12Resistance $74.20

Price Targets

$64
$85
A.Upside+23.6%
A.R:R3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GPN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $68.66 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 32, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $64.14. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GPN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $84.87 (+24.2% upside). Prior stop was $64.14. Stop-loss: $64.14.

What are the risks of investing in GPN?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.

Is GPN overvalued or undervalued?

Global Payments Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.0 (forward 4.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GPN?

38 analysts cover GPN with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $94.

What does Global Payments Inc. do?Global Payments Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries are referred to collectively as "Global Payments," the...

Global Payments Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries are referred to collectively as "Global Payments," the "Company," "we," "our" or "us," unless the context requires otherwise.

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