Buckle, Inc. (The) (BKE) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup · Temp Headwind edge
Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $47.78 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
Buckle is a specialty retailer of medium to better-priced casual apparel, footwear, and accessories targeting fashion-conscious 15-30 year olds, operating 440 stores in 42 U.S. states as of January 31, 2026. Denim (42.5% of fiscal 2025 net sales) and tops (28.9%) are the... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $47.78 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 18, MACD bearish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Buckle, Inc. (The)
Latest news
- The Buckle Reports March Comparable Store Net Sales Growth Of 7% And Net Sales Of $118M, Up 8.2% YoY From $109.1M — benzinga Apr 9, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMProductDenim43%10-K Item 1: 'Denim is a significant contributor to total sales (42.5% of fiscal 2025 net sales)'
- LOWSupplierAxis Denim21%10-K Item 1: 'In fiscal 2025, Axis Denim (which produces private label denim for the Company) accounted for 20.6% of net sales'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-09Item 5.02LOWScott A. Werth appointed Senior VP of Stores effective March 31, 2026. Nearly 37-year Buckle veteran, most recently VP of Sales and Strategy. Will lead sales team of 7,000+ teammates across 42 states.SEC filing →
- 2026-02-20Item 5.02MEDIUMEVP of Stores Kari G. Smith and SVP of Sales Michelle M. Hoffman retired effective February 13, 2026. No immediate successors named. Each received 26-week severance and $20K healthcare payment per Separation Agreements signed February 16-18, 2026.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $47.78 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 18, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $45.60. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $55.64 (+16.5% upside). Prior stop was $45.60. Stop-loss: $45.60.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Weak growth.
Buckle, Inc. (The) trades at a P/E of 11.6 (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
9 analysts cover BKE with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $53.
What does Buckle, Inc. (The) do?Buckle is a specialty retailer of medium to better-priced casual apparel, footwear, and accessories targeting...
Buckle is a specialty retailer of medium to better-priced casual apparel, footwear, and accessories targeting fashion-conscious 15-30 year olds, operating 440 stores in 42 U.S. states as of January 31, 2026. Denim (42.5% of fiscal 2025 net sales) and tops (28.9%) are the dominant product categories; private label (~47% of sales) produces higher margins than branded merchandise.