CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA) Stock Analysis
Catalyst-Driven edge
Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $93.75: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.
CAVA Group operates 439 fast-casual Mediterranean restaurants in 28 states and Washington, D.C. as of December 28, 2025, serving customizable bowls and pitas. Revenue comes primarily from restaurant sales; digital orders represented 37.9% of CAVA Revenue in fiscal 2025, and the... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $93.75: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-21Item 5.02LOWDirector Karen Kochevar informed CAVA she will retire from the Board upon term expiration at the 2026 Annual Meeting on June 22, 2026. No disagreement with Company operations, policies, or practices cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $93.75: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $87.47. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $96.81 (+2.9% upside). Prior stop was $87.47. Stop-loss: $87.47.
Target reached (-16.9% upside); Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.8), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.07% of cap).
CAVA Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 168.7 (forward 125.6). TrendMatrix value score: 2.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
35 analysts cover CAVA with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $87.
What does CAVA Group, Inc. do?CAVA Group operates 439 fast-casual Mediterranean restaurants in 28 states and Washington, D.C. as of December 28,...
CAVA Group operates 439 fast-casual Mediterranean restaurants in 28 states and Washington, D.C. as of December 28, 2025, serving customizable bowls and pitas. Revenue comes primarily from restaurant sales; digital orders represented 37.9% of CAVA Revenue in fiscal 2025, and the company also sells CPG dips and spreads in grocery stores.