CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA) Stock Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $80.26 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1).
CAVA operates 439 fast-casual Mediterranean restaurants in 28 states and Washington, DC as of December 28, 2025, with chef-curated bowls and pitas. Revenue comes from restaurant sales (digital revenue mix 37.9% in fiscal 2025) and CPG dips/spreads sold in grocery stores. The... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $80.26 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — CAVA Group, Inc.
Latest news
- Why CAVA Group, Inc. Shares Are Sinking Now - TipRanks — TipRanks negative
- Why CAVA Group (CAVA) Is Down 14.6% After Volatile Earnings Expectations Build Ahead Of May 19 - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- CAVA GROUP ($CAVA) Releases Q1 2026 Earnings, Stock Rises - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative positive
- Earnings call transcript: CAVA Group beats Q1 2026 forecasts, stock dips - Investing.com — Investing.com positive
- Cava Stock Jumps on Revenue Beat. Foot Traffic Is Up. - Barron's — Barron's positive
Generated 2026-05-20T21:13:13Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-21Item 5.02LOWDirector Karen Kochevar informed CAVA Group she would retire from the Board upon expiration of her current term at the 2026 Annual Meeting (June 22, 2026). Retirement is not the result of any disagreement with the Company.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $80.26 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $74.89. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $81.25 (+0.9% upside). Prior stop was $74.89. Stop-loss: $74.89.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
CAVA Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 144.7 (forward 108.3). TrendMatrix value score: 2.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
37 analysts cover CAVA with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $90.
What does CAVA Group, Inc. do?CAVA operates 439 fast-casual Mediterranean restaurants in 28 states and Washington, DC as of December 28, 2025, with...
CAVA operates 439 fast-casual Mediterranean restaurants in 28 states and Washington, DC as of December 28, 2025, with chef-curated bowls and pitas. Revenue comes from restaurant sales (digital revenue mix 37.9% in fiscal 2025) and CPG dips/spreads sold in grocery stores. The company targets 1,000+ US restaurants by 2032 and maintains two production facilities in Maryland and Virginia.