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United Parks & Resorts Inc. (PRKS) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

Sell if holding. At $34.83, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.6%; Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida, California and Virginia.

United Parks & Resorts operates 13 theme parks across the US and one licensed UAE park under brands including SeaWorld, Busch Gardens, Aquatica, Discovery Cove, and Sesame Place, with 3 of the top 20 theme parks and 5 of the top 20 water parks in North America. Revenue comes... Read more

$34.83+5.6% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#6 of 13 Leisure
Stop $32.40Target $36.80(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$42.30+21.4%10 analysts
$36.80our TP
$34.83price
$42.30mean
$27
$54

Sell if holding. At $34.83, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.6%; Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida, California and Virginia. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida, California and Virginia
Thin upside margin: 5.6%
Consecutive earnings misses (4)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.7
P/E (Fwd)7.4
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA6.9
Profit Mgn10.1%
ROE
Rev Growth-2.8%
Beta1.19
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.29bullish
IV95%elevated
Max Pain$30-13.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicFlorida, California and Virginia
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of our revenues are historically generated in the States of Florida, California and Virginia.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MEarnings in 11 days

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
3.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.9%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $31.71Resistance $38.10

Price Targets

$32
$37
A.Upside+5.7%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.6:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-11 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PRKS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $34.83, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.6%; Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida, California and Virginia. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $32.40. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PRKS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.80 (+5.6% upside). Prior stop was $32.40. Stop-loss: $32.40.

What are the risks of investing in PRKS?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida, California and Virginia; Thin upside margin: 5.6%; Consecutive earnings misses (4).

Is PRKS overvalued or undervalued?

United Parks & Resorts Inc. trades at a P/E of 10.7 (forward 7.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PRKS?

20 analysts cover PRKS with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $42.

What does United Parks & Resorts Inc. do?United Parks & Resorts operates 13 theme parks across the US and one licensed UAE park under brands including SeaWorld,...

United Parks & Resorts operates 13 theme parks across the US and one licensed UAE park under brands including SeaWorld, Busch Gardens, Aquatica, Discovery Cove, and Sesame Place, with 3 of the top 20 theme parks and 5 of the top 20 water parks in North America. Revenue comes from park admissions and in-park food and merchandise purchases.

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