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United Parks & Resorts Inc. (PRKS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

Sell if holding. At $34.92, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.6%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3).

United Parks & Resorts owns and operates 13 theme parks across the U.S. under SeaWorld, Busch Gardens, Aquatica, Discovery Cove, and Sesame Place brands, plus a licensed SeaWorld park in the UAE. Revenue is generated primarily from theme park admissions, food, merchandise, and... Read more

$34.92+9.6% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#9 of 12 Leisure
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield6.02%
Stop $32.48Target $38.28(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$44.00+26.0%10 analysts
$38.28our TP
$34.92price
$44.00mean
$54

Sell if holding. At $34.92, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.6%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3). Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Val8.5Qual4.3Grw5.9Mom3.4Sent7.0Ins5.1Peer4.6Tech5.1Risk3.65.4OVERALL

Recent Developments — United Parks & Resorts Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 9.6%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.6
P/E (Fwd)8.2
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA7.6
Profit Mgn9.1%
ROE—
Rev Growth-3.0%
Beta1.14
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.30bullish
IV63%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicFlorida, California and Virginia
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of our revenues are historically generated in the States of Florida, California and Virginia. Any risks affecting such markets... may materially adversely affect our business'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
2.4
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume
6.3
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $32.35Resistance $41.42

Price Targets

$32
$38
A.Upside+9.6%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.8:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PRKS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $34.92, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.6%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3). Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $32.48. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

What is the PRKS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $38.28 (+9.6% upside). Prior stop was $32.48. Stop-loss: $32.48.

What are the risks of investing in PRKS?

Thin upside margin: 9.6%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is PRKS overvalued or undervalued?

United Parks & Resorts Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.6 (forward 8.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PRKS?

19 analysts cover PRKS with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $44.

What does United Parks & Resorts Inc. do?United Parks & Resorts owns and operates 13 theme parks across the U.S. under SeaWorld, Busch Gardens, Aquatica,...

United Parks & Resorts owns and operates 13 theme parks across the U.S. under SeaWorld, Busch Gardens, Aquatica, Discovery Cove, and Sesame Place brands, plus a licensed SeaWorld park in the UAE. Revenue is generated primarily from theme park admissions, food, merchandise, and other in-park purchases. Hill Path Capital LP controls approximately 53.2% of outstanding shares.

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