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Portland General Electric Co (POR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $49.40: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Portland General Electric is a vertically integrated regulated electric utility serving approximately 960,000 retail customers exclusively in Oregon across a 4,000-square-mile service territory. Revenue comes primarily from retail electricity sales with prices set by the Oregon... Read more

$49.40+3.6% A.UpsideScore 4.2/10#39 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-5.30%
IncomeYield4.31%(5y avg 4.02%)Payout93.75%at-risk
Stop $47.27Target $51.06(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$52.86+7.0%11 analysts
$51.06our TP
$49.40price
$52.86mean
$46
$62

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $49.40: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Portland General Electric Co

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Oregon
Concentration risk — Regulatory: OPUC
Target reached (-6.7% upside)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.0
P/E (Fwd)13.8
Mkt Cap$5.7B
EV/EBITDA10.2
Profit Mgn7.1%
ROE6.3%
Rev Growth-5.3%
Beta0.56
Dividend4.31%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.21bearish
IV34%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicOregon
    10-K Item 1: 'PGE generates revenue primarily through the sale and delivery of electricity to retail customers located exclusively in Oregon'
  • HIGHregulatoryOPUC
    10-K Item 1: 'The Company operates as a cost-based, regulated electric utility with revenue requirements and customer prices determined based on the forecasted cost to serve retail customers and a reasonable rate of return as determined by the Public Utility Commission of Oregon (OPUC)'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -5.3% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
1.2
Declining revenue: -5%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.3
Quality Rank
0.6
Value Rank
5.5

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
4.8
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
1.6
Roe
2.1
Net Margin
3.6
Moat
3.9
Current Ratio
4.3
Piotroski F
4.4
Operating Margin
4.9
Gross Margin
5.5
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -120% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesA.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $47.07Resistance $52.10

Price Targets

$47
$51
A.Upside+3.4%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.7% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is POR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $49.40: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $47.27. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the POR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $51.06 (+3.6% upside). Prior stop was $47.27. Stop-loss: $47.27.

What are the risks of investing in POR?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Oregon; Concentration risk — Regulatory: OPUC; Target reached (-6.7% upside).

Is POR overvalued or undervalued?

Portland General Electric Co trades at a P/E of 22.0 (forward 13.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about POR?

17 analysts cover POR with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $53.

What does Portland General Electric Co do?Portland General Electric is a vertically integrated regulated electric utility serving approximately 960,000 retail...

Portland General Electric is a vertically integrated regulated electric utility serving approximately 960,000 retail customers exclusively in Oregon across a 4,000-square-mile service territory. Revenue comes primarily from retail electricity sales with prices set by the Oregon Public Utility Commission (OPUC); total retail revenues were $3.07 billion in 2025.

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