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PORPortland General Electric CoSell4.0·$50.79+0.65%
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Portland General Electric Co (POR) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $50.79: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 4.00; Below-average business quality.

Portland General Electric Company is a vertically integrated regulated electric utility serving approximately 960,000 retail customers across a 4,000-square-mile service territory entirely within Oregon, generating $3.07 billion in total retail revenues in 2025. Retail prices... Read more

$50.79-0.5% A.UpsideScore 4.0/10#40 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-5.17%
IncomeYield4.21%(5y avg 4.03%)Payout93.75%at-risk
Stop $48.63Target $50.52(resistance)A.R:R -2.0:1
Analyst target$52.55+3.5%11 analysts
$50.52our TP
$50.79price
$52.55mean
$43
$62

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $50.79: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 4.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 48, MACD bullish. Score 4.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Portland General Electric Co

About Portland General Electric Co

Portland General Electric served 960,000 retail customers across a 4,000-square-mile Oregon service territory at December 31, 2025, generating $3.07 billion in total retail revenues. The utility added 10,000 net customers during 2025, with data center and industrial load growth pushing industrial energy deliveries to 35% of total retail deliveries—up from 29% in 2023. The Public Utility Commission of Oregon (OPUC) sets all retail prices through a General Rate Case process that also authorizes capital structure and return on equity.

Portland General Electric earns regulated returns under OPUC-authorized cost-of-service pricing, with annual price adjustments available through the Annual Power Cost Update Tariff reflecting changes in net variable power costs—purchased power, fuel, and settled financial contracts net of wholesale revenues. The Power Cost Adjustment Mechanism allows sharing of cost variances with customers. Generation resources include natural gas plants near Clatskanie, Oregon (Port Westward Units 1 and 2 and Beaver) supplied by the Kelso-Beaver Pipeline, in which PGE holds a 79.5% ownership interest. The company participates in the California Independent System Operator's western Energy Imbalance Market for real-time five-minute load balancing. Wholesale revenues represented 12% of total revenues in 2025, down from 16% in 2024, as retail load absorption grew. No single retail customer represented more than 9% of total retail revenues during 2025.

Show full overview

Prior to a pending acquisition, PGE's assets and operations were concentrated entirely in Oregon and subject to OPUC oversight exclusively. The pending asset purchase would add approximately 140,000 customers in Washington state—across Lewis, Yakima, Walla Walla, Columbia, Garfield, and Benton counties, including the Chehalis combined cycle gas turbine and Goodnoe Hills and Marengo wind facilities—bringing PGE under the Washington Utilities and Transportation Commission, which uses different rate-making procedures and environmental mandates. If the acquisition fails to close, the company may be required to pay a termination fee of $35 million. Oregon House Bill 2021 targets 80% greenhouse gas emissions reduction by 2030 and 100% decarbonization by 2040, independent of the acquisition outcome.

See also: Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

From Portland General Electric Co's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17

Recent Developments — Portland General Electric Co

Generated 2026-06-17T08:56:48Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 31, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Regulatory: Oregon OPUC
Concentration risk — Geographic: Oregon
Target reached (-10.0% upside)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.5
P/E (Fwd)14.1
Mkt Cap$5.8B
EV/EBITDA10.3
Profit Mgn7.1%
ROE6.3%
Rev Growth-5.3%
Beta0.54
Dividend4.21%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C4.00bearish
IV40%normal
Max Pain$65+28.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHregulatoryOregon OPUC
    10-K Item 1A: 'PGE's assets and operations were primarily concentrated in Oregon and subject to the regulatory oversight of the Public Utility Commission of Oregon (OPUC)'
  • HIGHGeographicOregon
    10-K Item 1: 'PGE generates revenue primarily through the sale and delivery of electricity to retail customers located exclusively in Oregon'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -5.3% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
1.2
Declining revenue: -5%

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
1.0
Earnings History
3.3
Dividend Safety
4.2
Earnings Timing
5.0
Estimates down -19.8% (30d)Earnings concerns: 2B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.3
Quality Rank
0.6
Value Rank
5.3

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
1.6
Roe
2.1
Net Margin
3.6
Moat
3.9
Current Ratio
4.3
Piotroski F
4.4
Operating Margin
4.9
Gross Margin
5.5
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -120% FCF/NINo competitive moat

Negative sentiment — recent news tone and/or analyst downgrades drag the composite below neutral.static

Erm Sentiment
0.0
Analyst Rating
5.0
Price Target
5.5
Estimates falling as sentiment proxy (-19.8%)
GatesA.R:R -2.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $48.26Resistance $51.55

Price Targets

$49
$51
A.Upside-0.5%
A.R:R-2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is POR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $50.79: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 4.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 48, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $48.63. Score 4.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the POR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $50.52 (-0.5% upside). Prior stop was $48.63. Stop-loss: $48.63.

What are the risks of investing in POR?

Concentration risk — Regulatory: Oregon OPUC; Concentration risk — Geographic: Oregon; Target reached (-10.0% upside).

Is POR overvalued or undervalued?

Portland General Electric Co trades at a P/E of 22.5 (forward 14.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about POR?

19 analysts cover POR with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $53.

What does Portland General Electric Co do?Portland General Electric Company is a vertically integrated regulated electric utility serving approximately 960,000...

Portland General Electric Company is a vertically integrated regulated electric utility serving approximately 960,000 retail customers across a 4,000-square-mile service territory entirely within Oregon, generating $3.07 billion in total retail revenues in 2025. Retail prices are set by the Public Utility Commission of Oregon through General Rate Cases, with residential (48%), commercial (32%), and industrial (18%) customer classes.

Related stocks: CEPU (Central Puerto S.A.) · PCG (Pacific Gas & Electric Co.) · PEG (Public Service Enterprise Group) · ELPC (Companhia Paranaense de Energia) · AEE (Ameren Corporation)
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