Skip to main content

Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $13.90 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Central Puerto S.A. engages in the electric power generation activities in Argentina. It operates in three segments: Electric Power Generation From Conventional Sources, Electric Power Generation From Renewable Sources and Forest Activity, and Management and Operations of... Read more

$13.90+33.0% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#1 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield661.69%
Stop $13.25Target $18.49(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.4:1
Analyst target$21.75+56.5%4 analysts
$18.49our TP
$13.90price
$21.75mean
$24

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $13.90 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Central Puerto S.A.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Outperforming peers
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.5
P/E (Fwd)8.1
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA0.5
Profit Mgn31.6%
ROE13.9%
Rev Growth11.3%
Beta-0.20
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C33.33bearish
IV76%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R 3.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.66Resistance $15.56

Price Targets

$13
$18
A.Upside+33.0%
A.R:R3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Momentum score 4.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-11 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CEPU stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $13.90 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $13.25. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CEPU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.49 (+33.0% upside). Prior stop was $13.25. Stop-loss: $13.25.

What are the risks of investing in CEPU?

Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is CEPU overvalued or undervalued?

Central Puerto S.A. trades at a P/E of 6.5 (forward 8.1). TrendMatrix value score: 9.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CEPU?

9 analysts cover CEPU with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Central Puerto S.A. do?Central Puerto S.A. engages in the electric power generation activities in Argentina. It operates in three segments:...

Central Puerto S.A. engages in the electric power generation activities in Argentina. It operates in three segments: Electric Power Generation From Conventional Sources, Electric Power Generation From Renewable Sources and Forest Activity, and Management and Operations of Thermal Plants. The company's power generation assets include combined cycle, gas and steam turbine, co-generation, hydroelectric, wind turbines, and solar panels. It also engages in the natural gas transport and distribution; forestry; and mining businesses. The company was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

Related stocks: EDN (Empresa Distribuidora Y Comerci) · ELPC (Companhia Paranaense de Energia) · KEP (Korea Electric Power Corporatio) · MGEE (MGE Energy Inc.) · CIG (Comp En De Mn Cemig)