Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the CEPU stock price target?

Take-profit $18.49 (+32.1% upside). Prior stop was $13.02.

Q: What are the risks of investing in CEPU?

Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum; NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING; Momentum score 2.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum.

Q: Is CEPU overvalued or undervalued?

Central Puerto S.A. trades at a P/E of 8.8 (forward 8.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about CEPU?

9 analysts cover CEPU with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $22.

SellModerate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

$13.99+32.1% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#4 of 38 Utilities - Regulated Electric

Stop $13.02Target $18.49(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.8:1

Analyst target$21.75+55.5%4 analysts

$18.49our TP

$13.99price

$21.75mean

$24

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $13.99 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

Attractive valuation

Outperforming peers

Margin of safety: 41%

Risks

Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.8

P/E (Fwd)8.4

Mkt Cap$2.2B

EV/EBITDA0.5

Profit Mgn31.6%

ROE13.9%

Rev Growth11.3%

Beta-0.01

DividendNone

Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish

IV118%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value8.615%1.29

Quality5.815%0.87

Growth4.215%0.63

Momentum2.910%0.29

Sentiment7.410%0.74

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank7.410%0.74

Technical Setup8.05%0.40

Risk Profile6.85%0.34

Catalyst3.35%0.17

Overall (Σ contributions)5.97

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume

0.0

Macd

0.4

Obv

1.0

Ma Position

4.0

Rsi

9.1

Oversold in uptrend (RSI 14)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg

0.0

Earnings History

3.3

Erm

5.0

Earnings Timing

5.0

Earnings concerns: 2B/2MEarnings in 12 days

GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 12d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 3.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

14 · Oversold

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $14.00Resistance $17.25

Price Targets

$13

$18

A.Upside+32.2%

A.R:R3.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING

! Momentum score 2.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-12 (12d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is CEPU stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $13.99 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $13.02. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CEPU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.49 (+32.1% upside). Prior stop was $13.02. Stop-loss: $13.02.

What are the risks of investing in CEPU?

Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum.

Is CEPU overvalued or undervalued?

Central Puerto S.A. trades at a P/E of 8.8 (forward 8.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CEPU?

9 analysts cover CEPU with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Central Puerto S.A. do?Central Puerto S.A. engages in the electric power generation activities in Argentina. It operates in four segments:...

Central Puerto S.A. engages in the electric power generation activities in Argentina. It operates in four segments: Electric Power Generation from Conventional Sources; Electric Power Generation from Renewable Sources; Natural Gas Transport and Distribution; and Forest Activity. The company's power generation assets include combined cycle, gas and steam turbine, co-generation, hydroelectric, wind turbine, and solar power plants. It also engages in the natural gas transport and distribution; forestry; and mining businesses. The company was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.