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Empresa Distribuidora Y Comerci (EDN) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $23.39, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~99% (cyclical peak); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1).

Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima engages in the distribution and sale of electricity in Argentina. The company operates an electrical power distribution system that consists of 85 transformation substations and interconnections with high voltage... Read more

$23.39+39.9% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#1 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-51279.63%
Stop $21.75Target $32.73(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.1:1
Analyst target$38.50+64.6%2 analysts
$32.73our TP
$23.39price
$38.50mean
$40

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $23.39, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~99% (cyclical peak); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Earnings expected to decline ~99% (cyclical peak)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1)
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)4.7
P/E (Fwd)703.2
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA0.9
Profit Mgn10.3%
ROE14.7%
Rev Growth25.1%
Beta0.01
DividendNone
Rating analysts5

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R 3.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 80d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $22.20Resistance $27.77

Price Targets

$22
$33
A.Upside+39.9%
A.R:R3.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 703x vs trail 5x (149.4x)
! Momentum score 4.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-07 (80d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EDN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $23.39, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~99% (cyclical peak); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $32.73 (+39.9%), stop $21.75 (−7.5%), A.R:R 3.1:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EDN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $32.73 (+39.9% upside). Target $32.73 (+39.9%), stop $21.75 (−7.5%), A.R:R 3.1:1. Stop-loss: $21.75.

What are the risks of investing in EDN?

Earnings expected to decline ~99% (cyclical peak); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1); Below 200-day MA.

Is EDN overvalued or undervalued?

Empresa Distribuidora Y Comerci trades at a P/E of 4.7 (forward 703.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about EDN?

5 analysts cover EDN with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $39.

What does Empresa Distribuidora Y Comerci do?Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima engages in the distribution and sale of electricity in...

Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima engages in the distribution and sale of electricity in Argentina. The company operates an electrical power distribution system that consists of 85 transformation substations and interconnections with high voltage customers with 20,295 MVA of installed power and 1,594 km of high voltage networks; and MV/LV and MV/MV distribution system comprises 19,845 transformers with 10,137 MVA of installed power, 12,732 km of medium voltage networks, and 28,590 km of low voltage networks. It serves approximately 3.39 million customers. The company was formerly known as Empresa Distribuidora Norte Sociedad Anónima and changed its name to Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima in January 1997. The company was founded in 1992 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima operates as a subsidiary of Empresa de Energía del Cono Sur S.A.

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