Empresa Distribuidora Y Comerci (EDN) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the EDN stock price target?

Take-profit $32.73 (+30.4% upside). Prior stop was $23.77.

Q: What are the risks of investing in EDN?

Cyclical trap - fwd PE 744x vs trail 7x (113.5x); Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.3), Negative free cash flow; Cyclical trap - fwd PE 744x vs trail 7x (113.5x); Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).

Q: Is EDN overvalued or undervalued?

Empresa Distribuidora Y Comerci trades at a P/E of 6.6 (forward 744.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about EDN?

5 analysts cover EDN with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $39.

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

$24.96+30.4% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#13 of 38 Utilities - Regulated Electric

Stop $23.77Target $32.73(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.0:1

Analyst target$38.50+54.2%2 analysts

$32.73our TP

$24.96price

$38.50mean

$40

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $24.96: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 3.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Cyclical trap - fwd PE 744x vs trail 7x (113.5x)

Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.3), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.6

P/E (Fwd)744.1

Mkt Cap$1.2B

EV/EBITDA1.1

Profit Mgn8.0%

ROE11.4%

Rev Growth5.6%

Beta0.27

DividendNone

Rating analysts5

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value8.615%1.29

Quality3.115%0.46

Growth3.915%0.58

Momentum2.910%0.29

Sentiment6.510%0.65

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank5.410%0.54

Technical Setup6.85%0.34

Risk Profile6.95%0.35

Catalyst6.75%0.34

Overall (Σ contributions)5.34

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd

0.0

Volume

0.0

Ma Position

1.5

Rsi

3.0

Obv

10.0

Capitulation risk (RSI 28, below 200MA)Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality

0.0

Gross Margin

0.6

Roa

1.1

Operating Margin

2.1

Roe

3.8

Net Margin

4.0

Current Ratio

4.2

Moat

5.0

Piotroski F

6.7

Earnings quality RED FLAG: -239% FCF/NINo competitive moat

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth

3.9

Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 8d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 3.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

28 · Oversold

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $24.50Resistance $32.02

Price Targets

$24

$33

A.Upside+31.1%

A.R:R3.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 744x vs trail 7x (113.5x)

! Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.3), Negative free cash flow

Earnings

3/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-08 (8d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is EDN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $24.96: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 3.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $23.77. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EDN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $32.73 (+30.4% upside). Prior stop was $23.77. Stop-loss: $23.77.

What are the risks of investing in EDN?

Cyclical trap - fwd PE 744x vs trail 7x (113.5x); Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.3), Negative free cash flow.

Is EDN overvalued or undervalued?

Empresa Distribuidora Y Comerci trades at a P/E of 6.6 (forward 744.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EDN?

5 analysts cover EDN with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $39.

What does Empresa Distribuidora Y Comerci do?Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima engages in the distribution and sale of electricity in...

Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima engages in the distribution and sale of electricity in Argentina. The company operates an electrical power distribution system that consists of 85 transformation substations and interconnections with high voltage customers with 20,295 MVA of installed power and 1,594 km of high voltage networks; and MV/LV and MV/MV distribution system comprises 19,845 transformers with 10,137 MVA of installed power, 12,732 km of medium voltage networks, and 28,590 km of low voltage networks. It serves approximately 3.39 million customers. The company was formerly known as Empresa Distribuidora Norte Sociedad Anónima and changed its name to Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima in January 1997. The company was founded in 1992 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima operates as a subsidiary of Empresa de Energía del Cono Sur S.A.