Pool Corporation (POOL) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Industrials · Industrial Distribution
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $214.96, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: California, Florida, Texas, Arizona (53.0%); Thin upside margin: 6.5%.
Pool Corporation is the largest wholesale distributor of swimming pool supplies, equipment, and irrigation/landscape products, operating 456 sales centers in North America, Europe, and Australia and serving ~125,000 customers. No single customer represents 10% or more of 2025... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $214.96, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: California, Florida, Texas, Arizona (53.0%); Thin upside margin: 6.5%. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicCalifornia, Florida, Texas, Arizona53%10-K Item 1: 'Our primary markets with the highest concentration of swimming pools are California, Florida, Texas and Arizona, collectively representing approximately 53% of our 2025 net sales'
- MEDIUMSupplierPentair plc20%10-K Item 1A: 'Our largest suppliers are Pentair plc, Zodiac Pool Systems, Inc. and Hayward Holdings, Inc., which accounted for 20%, 12% and 11%, respectively, of the costs of products we sold in 2025'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-13Item 5.02LOWDirector Carlos A. Sabater notified Board on February 12, 2026 that he will not stand for re-election at the 2026 annual meeting. Not due to any disagreements with the Company on any matter.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $214.96, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: California, Florida, Texas, Arizona (53.0%); Thin upside margin: 6.5%. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $228.57 (+6.3%), stop $199.67 (−7.7%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $228.57 (+6.5% upside). Target $228.57 (+6.3%), stop $199.67 (−7.7%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Stop-loss: $199.67.
Concentration risk — Geographic: California, Florida, Texas, Arizona (53.0%); Thin upside margin: 6.5%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.
Pool Corporation trades at a P/E of 19.3 (forward 17.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Hold.
23 analysts cover POOL with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $263.
What does Pool Corporation do?Pool Corporation is the largest wholesale distributor of swimming pool supplies, equipment, and irrigation/landscape...
Pool Corporation is the largest wholesale distributor of swimming pool supplies, equipment, and irrigation/landscape products, operating 456 sales centers in North America, Europe, and Australia and serving ~125,000 customers. No single customer represents 10% or more of 2025 net sales; California, Florida, Texas, and Arizona collectively represented ~53% of 2025 net sales. The three largest suppliers (Pentair 20%, Zodiac 12%, Hayward 11%) collectively accounted for ~43% of product costs.