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PIImpinj, Inc.Sell4.7·$180.30
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Impinj is a semiconductor company with strong financial-health scores, recent earnings beats and a cluster of analyst actions, but the price is already at the analyst target, valuation is rich at 62.3x forward earnings, and quality is only 3.6/10.

Thesis pillars

  • Thin Margins Moderate Cash↓Deteriorating
  • Price At Analyst Target→Stable
  • Rich Forward Valuation→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 9, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Impinj, Inc. (PI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $180.30: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Impinj designs and sells a RAIN IoT platform—endpoint ICs, reader ICs, finished readers, gateways, and tag production systems—enabling wireless item-to-cloud connectivity with over 150 billion items connected to date across retail, supply chain, healthcare, and aviation markets.... Read more

$180.30-0.4% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#50 of 52 Semiconductors
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.13%
Stop $167.68Analyst target $179.61(reached)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst consensus$206.44+14.5%9 analysts with price targets
$180.30price
$206.44mean
$174
$225

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $180.30: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 91d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Impinj, Inc.

About Impinj, Inc.

Three customers—identified as Customer A, B, and C in Impinj's 10-K—accounted for 61% of total revenue in 2025, with Customer A alone representing 34%, a concentration that has persisted across multiple years (28% in 2024, 33% in 2023). Impinj designs endpoint ICs and reader ICs sold as silicon radios at pennies and tens of dollars respectively, finished readers and gateways at hundreds to thousands of dollars, and tag production systems through the Voyantic Oy subsidiary in Finland. The company employed 457 people at December 31, 2025, with 255 in research and development.

Impinj sells endpoint ICs directly to inlay and tag OEMs, reader ICs through distribution to OEM and ODM partners, and readers and gateways through distributors, value-added resellers, and systems integrators. All endpoint IC wafers are manufactured by Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) in Taiwan, a relationship in place since 2003; all reader IC wafers are also manufactured by TSMC in Asia, a relationship since 2021. Neither arrangement operates under a long-term supply agreement—both are on a purchase-order basis. Readers and gateways are assembled by Plexus Corp. in Asia under annually renewing non-exclusive purchase agreements terminable on 180 days' notice. Primary endpoint IC competitors include NXP B.V., Kiloway, Quanray, and Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group; Phychips Inc. and Shanghai Fudan compete in reader ICs.

Show full overview

The customer concentration risk and foundry dependency compound each other: if Customer A—a single unnamed buyer at 34% of 2025 revenue—reduced purchases, and TSMC simultaneously faced capacity constraints or disruption (for which there is no long-term supply agreement backstop), Impinj would face simultaneous revenue and supply shocks in the same period. The 10-K explicitly flags both as material risks, noting the company relies on a small number of customers for a large share of revenue and obtains products through a limited number of third parties without long-term contracts.

See also: Technology · Semiconductors

From Impinj, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 3, 2026

Recent Developments — Impinj, Inc.

Latest news

Latest item Nov 3, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T12:04:09Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 4, 202791d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-0.4% upside)
Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)63.2
Mkt Cap$5.6B
EV/EBITDA445.0
Profit Mgn-2.5%
ROE-3.8%
Rev Growth16.7%
Beta1.92
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.29bearish
IV70%elevated
Max Pain$155-14.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.2
Growth Rank
2.3
Value Rank
2.5

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.4
Forward Pe
1.7
Analyst Target
4.0
Peg Ratio
10.0
Forward P/E: 63.2xPEG: 0.06

Unprofitable operations — net margin -2.5%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
1.6
Fcf Quality
3.4
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
6.5
Gross Margin
6.7
Piotroski F
8.9
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 2%, FCF yield 0.1%)Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesA.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 91d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $159.38Resistance $202.61

Price Targets

A.Upside-0.4%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.4% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-04 (91d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $180.30: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $167.68. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PI stock price target?

Analyst target $179.61 reached (−0.4% from $180.30); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $167.68. Stop-loss: $167.68.

What are the risks of investing in PI?

Target reached (-0.4% upside); Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0).

Is PI overvalued or undervalued?

Impinj, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 63.2). TrendMatrix value score: 3.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PI?

18 analysts rate PI, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 9 analysts publish price targets averaging $206.

What does Impinj, Inc. do?Impinj designs and sells a RAIN IoT platform—endpoint ICs, reader ICs, finished readers, gateways, and tag production...

Impinj designs and sells a RAIN IoT platform—endpoint ICs, reader ICs, finished readers, gateways, and tag production systems—enabling wireless item-to-cloud connectivity with over 150 billion items connected to date across retail, supply chain, healthcare, and aviation markets. Revenue is highly concentrated: Customer A alone was 34% of total revenue in 2025, with the top three customers at 61%. TSMC manufactures all IC wafers without a long-term supply agreement.

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