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Lattice Semiconductor Corporati (LSCC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. At $123.51, A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: distributors (84.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: foreign sales (83.0%).

Lattice Semiconductor develops and sells low-power programmable FPGAs for Communications, Computing, Industrial, Automotive, and Consumer markets, operating as a fabless semiconductor company. Revenue comes from product and IP licensing sales primarily through distributors,... Read more

$123.51+1.5% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#15 of 45 Semiconductors
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.70%
Stop $115.54Target $126.15(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$145.00+17.4%13 analysts
$126.15our TP
$123.51price
$145.00mean
$105
$175

Sell if holding. At $123.51, A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: distributors (84.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: foreign sales (83.0%). Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Lattice Semiconductor Corporati

Material events (past 30 days)

  • May 4, 2026 MEDIUM Item 1.01: LSCC entered Merger Agreement to acquire AMI TopCo, Inc. for $1 billion cash plus ~$650 million in LSCC shares (5.2–6.1M shares, including $57.3M in employee equity). Transaction on cash-free/debt-free basis.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: distributors (84.0%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: foreign sales (83.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)879.6
P/E (Fwd)53.3
Mkt Cap$16.9B
EV/EBITDA239.1
Profit Mgn3.5%
ROE2.7%
Rev Growth42.2%
Beta1.75
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.73neutral
IV68%elevated
Max Pain$35-71.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerdistributors84%
    10-K Item 1: 'In fiscal years 2025, 2024, and 2023, sales to distributors accounted for approximately 84%, 89%, and 87%, respectively, of our net revenue'
  • HIGHGeographicforeign sales83%
    10-K Item 1: 'Revenue from foreign sales as a percentage of total revenue was 83% for fiscal 2025, and 82% for both fiscal 2024 and 2023'
  • HIGHSupplierAdvanced Semiconductor Engineering (ASE)
    10-K Item 1: 'All of our assembly and test operations are performed by industry-leading outsourced assembly and test suppliers ("OSATs") with our primary supplier being Advanced Semiconductor Engineering, Inc. ("ASE")'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-04Item 1.01MEDIUM
    LSCC entered Merger Agreement to acquire AMI TopCo, Inc. for $1 billion cash plus ~$650 million in LSCC shares (5.2–6.1M shares, including $57.3M in employee equity). Transaction on cash-free/debt-free basis.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-11Item 5.02LOW
    Tonya Stevens, Chief Accounting Officer, resigned effective March 29, 2026. No disagreement with Company operations, policies or practices cited. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Forward Pe
2.2
Analyst Target
5.0
Peg Ratio
10.0
Forward P/E: 53.3xPEG: 0.16

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.7
Quality Rank
3.0
Growth Rank
7.7
GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $109.35Resistance $130.00

Price Targets

$116
$126
A.Upside+2.1%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.5% upside)
! Reward/Risk 0.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LSCC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $123.51, A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: distributors (84.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: foreign sales (83.0%). Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $115.54. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

What is the LSCC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $126.15 (+1.5% upside). Prior stop was $115.54. Stop-loss: $115.54.

What are the risks of investing in LSCC?

Concentration risk — Customer: distributors (84.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: foreign sales (83.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is LSCC overvalued or undervalued?

Lattice Semiconductor Corporati trades at a P/E of 879.6 (forward 53.3). TrendMatrix value score: 3.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LSCC?

22 analysts cover LSCC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $145.

What does Lattice Semiconductor Corporati do?Lattice Semiconductor develops and sells low-power programmable FPGAs for Communications, Computing, Industrial,...

Lattice Semiconductor develops and sells low-power programmable FPGAs for Communications, Computing, Industrial, Automotive, and Consumer markets, operating as a fabless semiconductor company. Revenue comes from product and IP licensing sales primarily through distributors, which accounted for approximately 84% of net revenue in FY2025; foreign sales were 83% of revenue in FY2025.

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