PulteGroup trades at an attractive forward P/E of 11.0x with 3 of 4 recent earnings beats, but is trapped in a death cross technical pattern with revenue declining 12% and a weak overall score of 4.6, making new entry unattractive at current levels.
Thesis pillars
- Attractive Valuation Floor→Stable
- Revenue Decline Growth Concern→Stable
- Death Cross Hard Block→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) Stock Analysis
Momentum Cont setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $131.38, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.6/10.
PulteGroup, Inc. is a Michigan corporation organized in 1956, though we date our founding to 1950, when our founder, Bill Pulte, built our first home. Over our history, we have delivered over 875,000 homes. We are one of the largest homebuilders in the United States ("U.S."),... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $131.38, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.6/10. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.80, earnings proximity 17d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-07Recent Developments — PulteGroup, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS PulteGroup to Report Q1 Earnings: Here's What to Expect This Season - TradingView — TradingView neutral
- NEWS Novem Group Acquires Shares of 8,298 PulteGroup, Inc. $PHM - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Earnings To Watch: PulteGroup (PHM) Reports Q1 Results Tomorrow - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS Earnings To Watch: PulteGroup (PHM) Reports Q1 Results Tomorrow - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- NEWS Earnings To Watch: PulteGroup (PHM) Reports Q1 Results Tomorrow - TradingView — TradingView neutral
Generated 2026-07-07T09:31:42Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -12.4% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $131.38, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.6/10. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $137.29 (+4.5%), stop $122.26 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $137.29 (+4.5% upside). Target $137.29 (+4.5%), stop $122.26 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Stop-loss: $122.26.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.6/10; Weak growth.
PulteGroup, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.9 (forward 12.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Hold.
23 analysts cover PHM with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $138.
What does PulteGroup, Inc. do?PulteGroup, Inc. is a Michigan corporation organized in 1956, though we date our founding to 1950, when our founder,...
PulteGroup, Inc. is a Michigan corporation organized in 1956, though we date our founding to 1950, when our founder, Bill Pulte, built our first home. Over our history, we have delivered over 875,000 homes. We are one of the largest homebuilders in the United States ("U.S."), and our common shares are included in the S&P 500 Index and trade on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol "PHM".