PulteGroup trades at an attractive forward P/E of 11.0x with 3 of 4 recent earnings beats, but is trapped in a death cross technical pattern with revenue declining 12% and a weak overall score of 4.6, making new entry unattractive at current levels.
Thesis pillars
- Attractive Valuation Floor↓Deteriorating
- Revenue Decline Growth Concern→Stable
- Death Cross Hard Block↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 4, 2026· older than 90 days
PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $135.97 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7).
PulteGroup, Inc. is a Michigan corporation organized in 1956, though we date our founding to 1950, when our founder, Bill Pulte, built our first home. Over our history, we have delivered over 875,000 homes. We are one of the largest homebuilders in the United States ("U.S."),... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $135.97 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 76. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated Nov 3, 2026Recent Developments — PulteGroup, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS If You Invested $1000 In PulteGroup Stock 15 Years Ago, You Would Have This Much Today — benzinga Nov 3, 2026
- NEWS Earnings To Watch: PulteGroup (PHM) Reports Q3 Results Tomorrow - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 21, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Earnings To Watch: PulteGroup (PHM) Reports Q3 Results Tomorrow - StockStory — StockStory Oct 21, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Earnings To Watch: PulteGroup (PHM) Reports Q3 Results Tomorrow - TradingView — TradingView Oct 21, 2026 neutral
- NEWS PulteGroup (PHM) Sees a More Significant Dip Than Broader Market: Some Facts to Know - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 14, 2026 negative
Latest item Nov 3, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:59:11Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -9.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $135.97 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 76. Prior stop was $126.45. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.
Analyst target $119.17 reached (−12.4% from $135.97); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $126.45. Stop-loss: $126.45.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
PulteGroup, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.5 (forward 14.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
24 analysts rate PHM, with a consensus score of 3.7/5. 17 analysts publish price targets averaging $132.
What does PulteGroup, Inc. do?PulteGroup, Inc. is a Michigan corporation organized in 1956, though we date our founding to 1950, when our founder,...
PulteGroup, Inc. is a Michigan corporation organized in 1956, though we date our founding to 1950, when our founder, Bill Pulte, built our first home. Over our history, we have delivered over 875,000 homes. We are one of the largest homebuilders in the United States ("U.S."), and our common shares are included in the S&P 500 Index and trade on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol "PHM".