PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
Sell if holding. At $111.78, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.0%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1).
PulteGroup, Inc. is a Michigan corporation organized in 1956, though we date our founding to 1950, when our founder, Bill Pulte, built our first home. Over our history, we have delivered over 875,000 homes. We are one of the largest homebuilders in the United States ("U.S."),... Read more
Sell if holding. At $111.78, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.0%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 30, MACD bearish. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 63d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent Developments — PulteGroup, Inc.
Latest news
- PulteGroup to Report Q1 Earnings: Here's What to Expect This Season - TradingView — TradingView neutral
- Novem Group Acquires Shares of 8,298 PulteGroup, Inc. $PHM - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- Earnings To Watch: PulteGroup (PHM) Reports Q1 Results Tomorrow - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- Earnings To Watch: PulteGroup (PHM) Reports Q1 Results Tomorrow - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- Earnings To Watch: PulteGroup (PHM) Reports Q1 Results Tomorrow - TradingView — TradingView neutral
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -12.4% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $111.78, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.0%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 30, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $105.97. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $119.62 (+7.0% upside). Prior stop was $105.97. Stop-loss: $105.97.
Thin upside margin: 7.0%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
PulteGroup, Inc. trades at a P/E of 10.8 (forward 10.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
23 analysts cover PHM with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $138.
What does PulteGroup, Inc. do?PulteGroup, Inc. is a Michigan corporation organized in 1956, though we date our founding to 1950, when our founder,...
PulteGroup, Inc. is a Michigan corporation organized in 1956, though we date our founding to 1950, when our founder, Bill Pulte, built our first home. Over our history, we have delivered over 875,000 homes. We are one of the largest homebuilders in the United States ("U.S."), and our common shares are included in the S&P 500 Index and trade on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol "PHM".