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DRDGOLD Limited (DRD) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $28.04 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Earnings expected to decline ~56% (cyclical peak); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

DRDGOLD Limited, a gold mining company, engages in the extraction of gold from the retreatment of surface mine tailings in South Africa. It sells gold and silver bullion. It is involved in provision care and maintenance services; produces renewable power; employee home loans;... Read more

$26.13+59.3% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#16 of 32 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield6.29%
IncomeYield2.30%(5y avg 4.03%)Payout19.27%sustainable
Entry $28.04(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $25.08Target $39.52(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 4.5:1
Analyst target$46.50+78.0%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $28.04 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Earnings expected to decline ~56% (cyclical peak); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.39, quality 8.2/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 91d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Val7.4Qual8.2Grw10.0Mom1.5Sent6.6Ins5.0Peer5.4Tech6.3Risk5.96.5OVERALL

Recent Developments — DRDGOLD Limited

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.2 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Earnings expected to decline ~56% (cyclical peak)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.6
P/E (Fwd)37.8
Mkt Cap$2.2B
EV/EBITDA4.6
Profit Mgn35.1%
ROE34.7%
Rev Growth32.9%
Beta0.43
Dividend2.30%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C2.50bearish
IV63%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+8.9%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.5<4.5A.R:R 4.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 91d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.53Resistance $31.26

Price Targets

$25
$28
$40
A.Upside+51.2%
A.R:R4.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.3%
Max %2.6%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 38x vs trail 17x (2.3x)
! Momentum score 1.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-19 (91d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DRD stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $28.04 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Earnings expected to decline ~56% (cyclical peak); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.39, quality 8.2/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $39.52 (+51.2%), stop $25.08 (−4.2%), Setup A.R:R 8.5:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DRD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $39.52 (+59.3% upside). Target $39.52 (+51.2%), stop $25.08 (−4.2%), Setup A.R:R 8.5:1. Stop-loss: $25.08.

What are the risks of investing in DRD?

Earnings expected to decline ~56% (cyclical peak); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.

Is DRD overvalued or undervalued?

DRDGOLD Limited trades at a P/E of 16.6 (forward 37.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about DRD?

8 analysts cover DRD with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $47.

What does DRDGOLD Limited do?DRDGOLD Limited, a gold mining company, engages in the extraction of gold from the retreatment of surface mine tailings...

DRDGOLD Limited, a gold mining company, engages in the extraction of gold from the retreatment of surface mine tailings in South Africa. It sells gold and silver bullion. It is involved in provision care and maintenance services; produces renewable power; employee home loans; and operation of training center. The company was formerly known as Durban Roodepoort Deep Limited and changed its name to DRDGOLD Limited in 2004. The company was incorporated in 1895 and is headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa. DRDGOLD Limited is a subsidiary of Sibanye Gold Limited.

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