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DRDDRDGOLD LimitedBuy Wait6.9·$25.40+0.83%
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DRDGOLD Limited (DRD) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $28.04 but a supporting gate (fundamentals / technicals) still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risk: Earnings expected to decline ~56% (cyclical peak).

DRDGOLD Limited, a gold mining company, engages in the extraction of gold from the retreatment of surface mine tailings in South Africa. It sells gold and silver bullion. It is involved in provision care and maintenance services; produces renewable power; employee home loans;... Read more

$25.40+63.0% A.UpsideScore 6.9/10#15 of 32 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield6.43%
IncomeYield2.35%(5y avg 4.00%)Payout19.27%sustainable
Entry $28.04(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $25.71Target $39.52(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 4.0:1
Analyst target$46.50+83.1%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $28.04 but a supporting gate (fundamentals / technicals) still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risk: Earnings expected to decline ~56% (cyclical peak). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 46. V9 Gate blocked: SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3. Wait for improvement. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 64d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on sector concentration cap sector=basic materials count=3 cap=3. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 19, 202664d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Earnings expected to decline ~56% (cyclical peak)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.1
P/E (Fwd)37.0
Mkt Cap$2.2B
EV/EBITDA0.1
Profit Mgn35.1%
ROE34.7%
Rev Growth32.9%
Beta0.43
Dividend2.35%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.96neutral
IV80%elevated
Max Pain$38+47.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesSECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Basic Materials count=3 cap=3Momentum 6.0>=5.5A.R:R 4.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 64d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $21.83Resistance $27.25

Price Targets

$26
$28
$40
A.Upside+55.6%
A.R:R4.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.5%
Max %2.9%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 37x vs trail 16x (2.3x)
! SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3
! SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-19 (64d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DRD stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $28.04 but a supporting gate (fundamentals / technicals) still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risk: Earnings expected to decline ~56% (cyclical peak). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 46. V9 Gate blocked: SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3. Wait for improvement. Target $39.52 (+55.6%), stop $25.71 (−-1.2%), Setup A.R:R 9.0:1. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DRD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $39.52 (+63.0% upside). Target $39.52 (+55.6%), stop $25.71 (−-1.2%), Setup A.R:R 9.0:1. Stop-loss: $25.71.

What are the risks of investing in DRD?

Earnings expected to decline ~56% (cyclical peak).

Is DRD overvalued or undervalued?

DRDGOLD Limited trades at a P/E of 16.1 (forward 37.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about DRD?

8 analysts cover DRD with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $47.

What does DRDGOLD Limited do?DRDGOLD Limited, a gold mining company, engages in the extraction of gold from the retreatment of surface mine tailings...

DRDGOLD Limited, a gold mining company, engages in the extraction of gold from the retreatment of surface mine tailings in South Africa. It sells gold and silver bullion. It is involved in provision care and maintenance services; produces renewable power; employee home loans; and operation of training center. The company was formerly known as Durban Roodepoort Deep Limited and changed its name to DRDGOLD Limited in 2004. The company was incorporated in 1895 and is headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa. DRDGOLD Limited is a subsidiary of Sibanye Gold Limited.

Related stocks: IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) · ORLA (Orla Mining Ltd.) · SSRM (SSR Mining Inc.) · CGAU (Centerra Gold Inc.)
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