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Otis Worldwide Corporation (OTIS) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $77.19, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: China; Thin upside margin: 6.4%.

Otis Worldwide is the elevator and escalator manufacturing, installation, service, and modernization company with customers in over 200 countries and a service portfolio of approximately 2.5 million units. New Equipment (35% of 2025 net sales) and Service (65%) are its two... Read more

$77.19+6.4% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#5 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
Stop $73.42Target $82.09(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$94.36+22.2%14 analysts
$82.09our TP
$77.19price
$94.36mean
$120

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $77.19, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: China; Thin upside margin: 6.4%. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Val6.2Qual5.9Grw7.0Mom1.5Sent7.6Ins3.8Peer5.5Tech6.9Risk6.75.7OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: China
Thin upside margin: 6.4%
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.4
P/E (Fwd)16.2
Mkt Cap$29.4B
EV/EBITDA14.8
Profit Mgn10.1%
ROE—
Rev Growth6.4%
Beta1.04
Dividend2.22%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.80neutral
IV42%normal
Max Pain$60-22.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicChina
    10-K Item 1A: 'our New Equipment net sales in China representing approximately one fifth of our global New Equipment net sales and over half of our global New Equipment unit volume'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
1.8
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.9%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 1.5<4.5A.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
39 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $75.61Resistance $82.64

Price Targets

$73
$82
A.Upside+6.3%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OTIS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $77.19, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: China; Thin upside margin: 6.4%. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $82.09 (+6.3%), stop $73.42 (−5.1%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OTIS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $82.09 (+6.4% upside). Target $82.09 (+6.3%), stop $73.42 (−5.1%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Stop-loss: $73.42.

What are the risks of investing in OTIS?

Concentration risk — Geographic: China; Thin upside margin: 6.4%; Negative momentum.

Is OTIS overvalued or undervalued?

Otis Worldwide Corporation trades at a P/E of 20.4 (forward 16.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about OTIS?

22 analysts cover OTIS with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $94.

What does Otis Worldwide Corporation do?Otis Worldwide is the elevator and escalator manufacturing, installation, service, and modernization company with...

Otis Worldwide is the elevator and escalator manufacturing, installation, service, and modernization company with customers in over 200 countries and a service portfolio of approximately 2.5 million units. New Equipment (35% of 2025 net sales) and Service (65%) are its two segments; approximately 71% of net sales in 2025 came from international operations.

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