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OTISOtis Worldwide CorporationSell5.4·$79.79
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Otis Worldwide combines a near-perfect Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9 with 18% analyst upside and improving technical momentum including a recovering moving average crossover, though its heavy international revenue exposure of 71% and an elevated put-to-call ratio of 3.53 create meaningful downside risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Financial Health Score↓Deteriorating
  • Analyst Upside Target Gap↓Deteriorating
  • International Revenue Concentration↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 5, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

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Otis Worldwide Corporation (OTIS) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $79.79 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (71.0%).

Otis Worldwide manufactures, installs, and services elevators, escalators, and moving walkways across more than 200 countries, with Service contributing 65% of 2025 net sales and 91% of segment operating profit from a portfolio of roughly 2.5 million units globally. New... Read more

$79.79-6.4% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#41 of 56 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield4.56%
IncomeYield2.21%(5y avg 1.54%)Payout42.79%sustainable
Stop $75.89Analyst target $74.69(reached)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst consensus$85.85+7.6%13 analysts with price targets
$79.79price
$85.85mean
$73
$95

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $79.79 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (71.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 75. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 29, 2026

Recent Developments — Otis Worldwide Corporation

Latest item Oct 29, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:54:13Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jan 27, 202783d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (71.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.8
P/E (Fwd)17.8
Mkt Cap$30.4B
EV/EBITDA15.3
Profit Mgn10.3%
ROE—
Rev Growth6.1%
Beta0.87
Dividend2.21%
Analysts with ratings23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.92bearish
IV40%normal
Max Pain$48-40.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicinternational operations71%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 71% of our 2025 net sales derived from international operations'
  • LOWGeographicChina New Equipment
    10-K Item 1A: 'New Equipment net sales in China representing approximately one fifth of our global New Equipment net sales and over half of our global New Equipment unit volume'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.5
Support Resistance
0.9
Gap
5.0
52w Position
7.1
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
75 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $65.03Resistance $81.18

Price Targets

A.Upside-6.4%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-27 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OTIS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $79.79 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (71.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 75. Prior stop was $75.89. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OTIS stock price target?

Analyst target $74.69 reached (−6.4% from $79.79); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $75.89. Stop-loss: $75.89.

What are the risks of investing in OTIS?

Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (71.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5).

Is OTIS overvalued or undervalued?

Otis Worldwide Corporation trades at a P/E of 19.8 (forward 17.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OTIS?

23 analysts rate OTIS, with a consensus score of 3.7/5. 13 analysts publish price targets averaging $86.

What does Otis Worldwide Corporation do?Otis Worldwide manufactures, installs, and services elevators, escalators, and moving walkways across more than 200...

Otis Worldwide manufactures, installs, and services elevators, escalators, and moving walkways across more than 200 countries, with Service contributing 65% of 2025 net sales and 91% of segment operating profit from a portfolio of roughly 2.5 million units globally. New Equipment contributed 35% of net sales, and international operations accounted for approximately 71% of 2025 net sales.

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