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Otis Worldwide Corporation (OTIS) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $71.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: China; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Otis is the leading elevator and escalator manufacturer, installer, and service provider, operating in 200+ countries through New Equipment (35% of 2025 net sales) and Service (65%) segments with a ~2.5 million-unit global maintenance portfolio. International operations... Read more

$71.00+15.7% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#7 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.18%
IncomeYield2.40%(5y avg 1.47%)Payout44.68%sustainable
Stop $67.63Target $82.09(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.1:1
Analyst target$94.36+32.9%14 analysts
$82.09our TP
$71.00price
$94.36mean
$120

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $71.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: China; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 28, MACD bearish. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Otis Worldwide Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: China
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.9
P/E (Fwd)15.0
Mkt Cap$27.2B
EV/EBITDA14.0
Profit Mgn10.1%
ROE
Rev Growth6.4%
Beta0.94
Dividend2.40%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C5.08bearish
IV32%normal
Max Pain$125+76.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicChina
    10-K Item 1A: 'our New Equipment net sales in China representing approximately one fifth of our global New Equipment net sales and over half of our global New Equipment unit volume'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Volume
3.1
Capitulation risk (RSI 28, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.9%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 1.6<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 62d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
28 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $69.72Resistance $80.58

Price Targets

$68
$82
A.Upside+15.6%
A.R:R3.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (62d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OTIS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $71.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: China; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 28, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $67.63. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OTIS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $82.09 (+15.7% upside). Prior stop was $67.63. Stop-loss: $67.63.

What are the risks of investing in OTIS?

Concentration risk — Geographic: China; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.

Is OTIS overvalued or undervalued?

Otis Worldwide Corporation trades at a P/E of 18.9 (forward 15.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OTIS?

23 analysts cover OTIS with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $94.

What does Otis Worldwide Corporation do?Otis is the leading elevator and escalator manufacturer, installer, and service provider, operating in 200+ countries...

Otis is the leading elevator and escalator manufacturer, installer, and service provider, operating in 200+ countries through New Equipment (35% of 2025 net sales) and Service (65%) segments with a ~2.5 million-unit global maintenance portfolio. International operations represent 71% of 2025 net sales; Service generates 91% of segment operating profit.

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