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GEVGE Vernova Inc.Hold6.4·$832.83
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

GE Vernova's wide economic moat and best-in-class margins underpin a pattern of dramatically exceeding earnings expectations, but a forward multiple near 40 times and significant geographic and supplier concentration cap the risk/reward at current price levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Geographic Supplier Concentration Risk↓Deteriorating
  • Wide Moat Best In Class Margins↑Improving
  • Earnings Beat Streak Outsized Surprises↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Jan 29, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

GE Vernova Inc. (GEV) Stock Analysis

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $832.83, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: semiconductor chips and critical materials; Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. Onshore Wind RPO (60.0%).

GE Vernova manufactures and services power generation and grid equipment through three segments — Power, Wind, and Electrification — with an installed base generating approximately 25% of the world's electricity. Spun off from General Electric on April 2, 2024, the company... Read more

$832.83+31.1% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#2 of 56 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield10.03%
IncomeYield0.24%Payout4.59%sustainable
Stop $774.53Analyst target $1092.11(−8% haircut)A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst consensus$1187.07+42.5%33 analysts with price targets
$1092.11Analyst target
$832.83price
$1187.07mean
$1400

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $832.83, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: semiconductor chips and critical materials; Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. Onshore Wind RPO (60.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 4, 2026

Recent Developments — GE Vernova Inc.

Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:34:07Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jan 27, 202783d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Outperforming peers
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: semiconductor chips and critical materials
Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. Onshore Wind RPO (60.0%)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.9
P/E (Fwd)32.2
Mkt Cap$220.4B
EV/EBITDA41.4
Profit Mgn23.5%
ROE93.0%
Rev Growth26.8%
Beta1.06
Dividend0.24%
Analysts with ratings42

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C1.37bearish
IV64%elevated
Max Pain$1020+22.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersemiconductor chips and critical materials
    10-K Item 1A: 'Certain inputs are limited or sole-sourced...including semiconductor chips and critical materials (such as specialty metals and rare earths).'
  • HIGHGeographicU.S. Onshore Wind RPO60%
    10-K Item 1: 'The U.S. market currently represents approximately 60% of Onshore Wind's equipment RPO.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume
9.1
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+4.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R 2.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
40 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $795.95Resistance $1026.40

Price Targets

$775
$1092
A.Upside+31.1%
A.R:R2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-27 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GEV stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $832.83, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: semiconductor chips and critical materials; Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. Onshore Wind RPO (60.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $1092.11 (+31.1%), stop $774.53 (−7.5%), A.R:R 2.4:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GEV stock price target?

Analyst target: $1092.11 (+31.1% upside). Analyst target $1092.11 (+31.1%), stop $774.53 (−7.5%), A.R:R 2.4:1. Stop-loss: $774.53.

What are the risks of investing in GEV?

Concentration risk — Supplier: semiconductor chips and critical materials; Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. Onshore Wind RPO (60.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is GEV overvalued or undervalued?

GE Vernova Inc. trades at a P/E of 21.9 (forward 32.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GEV?

42 analysts rate GEV, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 33 analysts publish price targets averaging $1187.

What does GE Vernova Inc. do?GE Vernova manufactures and services power generation and grid equipment through three segments — Power, Wind, and...

GE Vernova manufactures and services power generation and grid equipment through three segments — Power, Wind, and Electrification — with an installed base generating approximately 25% of the world's electricity. Spun off from General Electric on April 2, 2024, the company employs approximately 75,000 people globally and held approximately $94.4 billion in remaining performance obligations as of December 31, 2025.

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