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GEVGE Vernova Inc.Sell6.1·$942.55+0.08%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

GE Vernova's wide economic moat and best-in-class margins underpin a pattern of dramatically exceeding earnings expectations, but a forward multiple near 40 times and significant geographic and supplier concentration cap the risk/reward at current price levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Geographic Supplier Concentration RiskImproving
  • Wide Moat Best In Class MarginsStable
  • Earnings Beat Streak Outsized SurprisesStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

GE Vernova Inc. (GEV) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $942.55: Concentration risk — Supplier: semiconductor chips and critical materials; Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. Onshore Wind RPO (60.0%).

GE Vernova manufactures and services power generation and grid equipment through three segments — Power, Wind, and Electrification — with an installed base generating approximately 25% of the world's electricity. Spun off from General Electric on April 2, 2024, the company... Read more

$942.55+20.8% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#5 of 55 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.27%
IncomeYield0.21%Payout5.73%sustainable
Stop $876.01Target $1137.52(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst target$1236.43+31.2%33 analysts
$1137.52our TP
$942.55price
$1236.43mean
$1450

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $942.55: Concentration risk — Supplier: semiconductor chips and critical materials; Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. Onshore Wind RPO (60.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-05
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202653d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Outperforming peers
Wide economic moat
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: semiconductor chips and critical materials
Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. Onshore Wind RPO (60.0%)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.0
P/E (Fwd)37.3
Mkt Cap$250.9B
EV/EBITDA61.9
Profit Mgn23.0%
ROE82.6%
Rev Growth21.9%
Beta0.97
Dividend0.21%
Rating analysts42

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.87neutral
IV48%normal
Max Pain$595-36.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersemiconductor chips and critical materials
    10-K Item 1A: 'Certain inputs are limited or sole-sourced...including semiconductor chips and critical materials (such as specialty metals and rare earths).'
  • HIGHGeographicU.S. Onshore Wind RPO60%
    10-K Item 1: 'The U.S. market currently represents approximately 60% of Onshore Wind's equipment RPO.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5A.R:R 2.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 53d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
25 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $874.00Resistance $1099.66

Price Targets

$876
$1138
A.Upside+20.8%
A.R:R2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts42
Consensus4.1/5
Avg Target$1236

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (53d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GEV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $942.55: Concentration risk — Supplier: semiconductor chips and critical materials; Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. Onshore Wind RPO (60.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $876.01. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GEV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $1137.52 (+20.8% upside). Prior stop was $876.01. Stop-loss: $876.01.

What are the risks of investing in GEV?

Concentration risk — Supplier: semiconductor chips and critical materials; Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. Onshore Wind RPO (60.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is GEV overvalued or undervalued?

GE Vernova Inc. trades at a P/E of 27.0 (forward 37.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GEV?

42 analysts cover GEV with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $1236.

What does GE Vernova Inc. do?GE Vernova manufactures and services power generation and grid equipment through three segments — Power, Wind, and...

GE Vernova manufactures and services power generation and grid equipment through three segments — Power, Wind, and Electrification — with an installed base generating approximately 25% of the world's electricity. Spun off from General Electric on April 2, 2024, the company employs approximately 75,000 people globally and held approximately $94.4 billion in remaining performance obligations as of December 31, 2025.

Related stocks: ROK (Rockwell Automation, Inc.) · AME (AMETEK, Inc.) · PH (Parker-Hannifin Corporation) · DOV (Dover Corporation) · EMR (Emerson Electric Company)
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