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OSWOneSpaWorld Holdings LimitedSell5.2·$31.29
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

OneSpaWorld is in a strong technical position with 7.8 momentum and consistent growth, but the stock has exhausted its near-term upside with negative 0.2% implied return at current levels and an inverted risk-reward, making it a hold rather than a new-buy situation.

Thesis pillars

  • Piotroski Quality Earnings→Stable
  • Strong Momentum Above All Mas↓Deteriorating
  • Growth Profile Peg↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 23, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $31.29 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.2% away).

OneSpaWorld operates health and wellness centers aboard 206 cruise ships and at 48 destination resort locations, with an estimated market share exceeding 90% in outsourced maritime health and wellness. The company generated $961.0 million in revenues for the year ended December... Read more

$31.29-8.2% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#11 of 14 Leisure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.22%
IncomeYield0.80%Payout24.10%sustainable
Stop $29.10Analyst target $28.71(reached)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst consensus$33.00+5.5%5 analysts with price targets
$31.29price
$33.00mean
$29
$40

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $31.29 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.2% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 103d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 29, 2026

Recent Developments — OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited

Latest item Oct 29, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:54:13Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Feb 17, 2027103d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.2% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)37.7
P/E (Fwd)23.7
Mkt Cap$3.1B
EV/EBITDA25.0
Profit Mgn8.3%
ROE15.1%
Rev Growth7.0%
Beta0.82
Dividend0.80%
Analysts with ratings10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C13.67bearish
IV59%elevated
Max Pain$23-28.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.2
Support Resistance
0.4
Gap
5.0
52w Position
9.8
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 103d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
90 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $23.09Resistance $31.67

Price Targets

A.Upside-8.2%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-17 (103d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OSW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $31.29 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.2% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $29.10. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

What is the OSW stock price target?

Analyst target $28.71 reached (−8.2% from $31.29); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $29.10. Stop-loss: $29.10.

What are the risks of investing in OSW?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.2% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

Is OSW overvalued or undervalued?

OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited trades at a P/E of 37.7 (forward 23.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OSW?

10 analysts rate OSW, with a consensus score of 4.4/5. 5 analysts publish price targets averaging $33.

What does OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited do?OneSpaWorld operates health and wellness centers aboard 206 cruise ships and at 48 destination resort locations, with...

OneSpaWorld operates health and wellness centers aboard 206 cruise ships and at 48 destination resort locations, with an estimated market share exceeding 90% in outsourced maritime health and wellness. The company generated $961.0 million in revenues for the year ended December 31, 2025 under long-term exclusive agreements with cruise line partners; approximately 19% of revenues came from retail product sales. Cruise line partners fund center build-out and maintenance, yielding an asset-light model with an effective cash tax rate of approximately 6%.

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