Skip to main content

Ondas Inc (ONDS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Communication Equipment

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.55: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 5.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 34%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.75; Below-average business quality.

Ondas Inc. is a defense, security, and critical infrastructure technology company with three business units: OAS (autonomous aerial and ground systems for defense/security), Ondas Networks (private wireless connectivity for critical infrastructure), and Ondas Capital. Revenue is... Read more

$9.55+84.5% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#9 of 21 Communication Equipment
Stop $8.83Target $17.51(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.6:1
Analyst target$20.13+110.7%8 analysts
$17.51our TP
$9.55price
$20.13mean
$25

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.55: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 5.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 34%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.75; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top customer (55% of 2025 revenue) (55.0%)
Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-73.0
Mkt Cap$4.6B
EV/EBITDA-82.8
Profit Mgn-260.2%
ROE-52.6%
Rev Growth629.2%
Beta2.59
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C2.75bearish
IV109%elevated
Max Pain$3-68.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop customer (55% of 2025 revenue)55%
    10-K Item 1A: 'During the year ended December 31, 2025, two customers accounted for approximately 55% and 11%, respectively'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Volatile — 8.2% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Short Interest
0.1
Beta
1.4
Max Pain Risk
3.0
News Risk
6.0
Days To Cover
8.5
High short interest justified: 34%Elevated put/call: 2.75High IV: 109%Above max pain $3Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
10.0
Industry growth leader

Hyper-growth tech sacrificing current profitability for scale. Floor tripped because model treats negative margins uniformly; the growth dimension tells the other half of the story.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
3.9
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
8.2
No competitive moat

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings in 14 days
GatesMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 14d<=14d (soft)Momentum 5.2>=4.5A.R:R 5.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $8.46Resistance $11.61

Price Targets

$9
$18
A.Upside+83.4%
A.R:R5.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-14 (14d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ONDS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.55: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 5.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 34%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.75; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $8.83. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ONDS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.51 (+84.5% upside). Prior stop was $8.83. Stop-loss: $8.83.

What are the risks of investing in ONDS?

Concentration risk — Customer: top customer (55% of 2025 revenue) (55.0%); Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).

Is ONDS overvalued or undervalued?

Ondas Inc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -73.0). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ONDS?

14 analysts cover ONDS with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $20.

What does Ondas Inc do?Ondas Inc. is a defense, security, and critical infrastructure technology company with three business units: OAS...

Ondas Inc. is a defense, security, and critical infrastructure technology company with three business units: OAS (autonomous aerial and ground systems for defense/security), Ondas Networks (private wireless connectivity for critical infrastructure), and Ondas Capital. Revenue is highly concentrated in a small number of government and defense customers for autonomous systems and wireless networking solutions.

Related stocks: VISN (Vistance Networks, Inc.) · GILT (Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd.) · BDC (Belden Inc) · VIAV (Viavi Solutions Inc.) · EXTR (Extreme Networks, Inc.)