Skip to main content

Ondas Inc (ONDS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Communication Equipment

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.38: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 5.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 34%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Ondas Inc. is a defense, security, and critical infrastructure technology company organized around autonomous systems (OAS—counter-UAS, ISR, UGV), private wireless networks (Ondas Networks—FullMAX IEEE 802.16 platform for rail/utilities), and strategic investments (Ondas... Read more

$9.38+87.2% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#15 of 21 Communication Equipment
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield0.26%
Stop $8.70Target $17.51(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.8:1
Analyst target$20.13+114.6%8 analysts
$17.51our TP
$9.38price
$20.13mean
$25

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.38: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 5.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 34%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Ondas Inc

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top-2 customers
Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)101.4
P/E (Fwd)-130.4
Mkt Cap$4.5B
EV/EBITDA-99.8
Profit Mgn-260.2%
ROE-52.6%
Rev Growth629.2%
Beta2.56
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.95neutral
IV94%elevated
Max Pain$3-68.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop-2 customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'During the year ended December 31, 2025, two customers accounted for approximately 55% and 11%, respectively.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Volatile — 9.7% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Short Interest
0.1
Beta
1.5
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Put Call
7.0
Days To Cover
7.8
High short interest justified: 34%High IV: 94%Above max pain $3Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.7
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Hyper-growth tech sacrificing current profitability for scale. Floor tripped because model treats negative margins uniformly; the growth dimension tells the other half of the story.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
3.9
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
8.2
No competitive moat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
1.3
Growth Rank
10.0
Industry growth leader
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R 5.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $8.65Resistance $12.12

Price Targets

$9
$18
A.Upside+86.7%
A.R:R5.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ONDS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.38: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 5.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 34%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $8.70. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ONDS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.51 (+87.2% upside). Prior stop was $8.70. Stop-loss: $8.70.

What are the risks of investing in ONDS?

Concentration risk — Customer: top-2 customers; Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).

Is ONDS overvalued or undervalued?

Ondas Inc trades at a P/E of 101.4 (forward -130.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ONDS?

14 analysts cover ONDS with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $20.

What does Ondas Inc do?Ondas Inc. is a defense, security, and critical infrastructure technology company organized around autonomous systems...

Ondas Inc. is a defense, security, and critical infrastructure technology company organized around autonomous systems (OAS—counter-UAS, ISR, UGV), private wireless networks (Ondas Networks—FullMAX IEEE 802.16 platform for rail/utilities), and strategic investments (Ondas Capital). Revenue is highly concentrated in a small number of government and defense customers.

Related stocks: VISN (Vistance Networks, Inc.) · GILT (Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd.) · ZBRA (Zebra Technologies Corporation) · HLIT (Harmonic Inc.) · VIAV (Viavi Solutions Inc.)