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Digi International Inc. (DGII) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Communication Equipment

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $55.16 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Ventus hardware manufacturer in China.

Digi International provides IoT connectivity products and solutions through IoT Products & Services (embedded/wireless modules, routers, console servers) and IoT Solutions (SmartSense temperature monitoring, Ventus managed network-as-a-service) segments. Revenue is earned from... Read more

$55.16+2.9% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#12 of 21 Communication Equipment
Stop $51.12Target $56.46(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$50.50-8.4%6 analysts
$56.46our TP
$55.16price
$50.50mean
$46
$56

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $55.16 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Ventus hardware manufacturer in China. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Ventus hardware manufacturer in China
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.7% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)48.8
P/E (Fwd)20.8
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA22.3
Profit Mgn9.5%
ROE6.8%
Rev Growth17.9%
Beta0.85
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.22bullish
IV74%elevated
Max Pain$40-27.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomersingle IoT Products distributor13%
    10-K Item 1A: 'We had one distributor customer of Digi’s IoT Products & Services segment that represented 13% of consolidated revenue for the twelve months ended September 30, 2025'
  • HIGHSupplierVentus hardware manufacturer in China
    10-K Item 1A: 'Ventus relies almost exclusively on a manufacturer in China for the production of the hardware it provides to its customers'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-05Item 5.02LOW
    Digi International Compensation Committee approved supplemental PSU grants to CFO James Loch (14,668 shares tied to software integration milestones through 2028) and other officers on February 27, 2026. Compensatory arrangement; no officer departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
0.3
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5A.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $47.66Resistance $57.61

Price Targets

$51
$56
A.Upside+2.4%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-19.9% upside)
! Momentum score 3.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DGII stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $55.16 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Ventus hardware manufacturer in China. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $51.12. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DGII stock price target?

Take-profit target: $56.46 (+2.9% upside). Prior stop was $51.12. Stop-loss: $51.12.

What are the risks of investing in DGII?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Ventus hardware manufacturer in China; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.7% away).

Is DGII overvalued or undervalued?

Digi International Inc. trades at a P/E of 48.8 (forward 20.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DGII?

12 analysts cover DGII with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $51.

What does Digi International Inc. do?Digi International provides IoT connectivity products and solutions through IoT Products & Services (embedded/wireless...

Digi International provides IoT connectivity products and solutions through IoT Products & Services (embedded/wireless modules, routers, console servers) and IoT Solutions (SmartSense temperature monitoring, Ventus managed network-as-a-service) segments. Revenue is earned from product sales and subscription-based recurring services to enterprise and government customers globally.

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