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IMAXImax CorporationSell5.9·$52.08
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Exceptional free cash flow conversion and strong analyst sentiment stand out in an otherwise challenged picture: two consecutive and sizable earnings misses, revenue contracting at roughly 6%, an 18% short float, and the stock trading just 30 basis points below its near-term resistance target leave almost no reward for the risk of a new position at the current price.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Free Cashflow Conversion→Stable
  • Consecutive Large Earnings Misses→Stable
  • Revenue Contracting Six Percent→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Imax Corporation (IMAX) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityShortModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $52.08 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

IMAX Corporation (the "Company" or "IMAX") is a Canadian corporation that was formed in March 1994 as a result of an amalgamation between WGIM Acquisition Corp. and the former IMAX Corporation ("Predecessor IMAX"). Predecessor IMAX was incorporated in 1967.

$52.08+0.2% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#10 of 31 Entertainment
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.82%
Stop $48.62Analyst target $52.20(−13% haircut)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst consensus$60.00+15.2%12 analysts
$52.20Analyst target
$52.08price
$60.00mean
$65

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $52.08 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (positive momentum, news boost analyst 0.60, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-27
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20268d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.3 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)71.3
P/E (Fwd)23.4
Mkt Cap$2.9B
EV/EBITDA22.2
Profit Mgn9.8%
ROE11.0%
Rev Growth12.2%
Beta0.49
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.27bearish
IV63%elevated
Max Pain$70+34.4% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-08-21Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On August 19, 2026, IMAX Corporation (the "Company") and Robert D.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.0 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 1.02%=EXTREMEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentEARNINGS PROXIMITY 8d<=14d (soft)Momentum 5.6>=5.5NEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $48.24Resistance $56.52

Price Targets

$49
$52
A.Upside+0.2%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.2% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Insider activity: 1.02%=extreme

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (8d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IMAX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $52.08 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $48.62. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IMAX stock price target?

Analyst target: $52.20 (+0.2% upside). Prior stop was $48.62. Stop-loss: $48.62.

What are the risks of investing in IMAX?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

Is IMAX overvalued or undervalued?

Imax Corporation trades at a P/E of 71.3 (forward 23.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IMAX?

20 analysts cover IMAX with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $60.

What does Imax Corporation do?IMAX Corporation (the "Company" or "IMAX") is a Canadian corporation that was formed in March 1994 as a result of an...

IMAX Corporation (the "Company" or "IMAX") is a Canadian corporation that was formed in March 1994 as a result of an amalgamation between WGIM Acquisition Corp. and the former IMAX Corporation ("Predecessor IMAX"). Predecessor IMAX was incorporated in 1967.

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