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IMAXImax CorporationHold5.9·$48.49-2.49%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Exceptional free cash flow conversion and strong analyst sentiment stand out in an otherwise challenged picture: two consecutive and sizable earnings misses, revenue contracting at roughly 6%, an 18% short float, and the stock trading just 30 basis points below its near-term resistance target leave almost no reward for the risk of a new position at the current price.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Free Cashflow ConversionStable
  • Consecutive Large Earnings MissesStable
  • Revenue Contracting Six PercentStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Imax Corporation (IMAX) Stock Analysis

HoldGrowthQualityShortModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $48.49, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

IMAX Corporation (the "Company" or "IMAX") is a Canadian corporation that was formed in March 1994 as a result of an amalgamation between WGIM Acquisition Corp. and the former IMAX Corporation ("Predecessor IMAX"). Predecessor IMAX was incorporated in 1967.

$48.49-9.8% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#12 of 34 Entertainment
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.10%
Stop $45.10Target $50.57(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$50.27+3.7%11 analysts
$50.57our TP
$48.49price
$50.27mean
$42
$60

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $48.49, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-08
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 202681d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)68.3
P/E (Fwd)23.7
Mkt Cap$2.7B
EV/EBITDA20.8
Profit Mgn9.8%
ROE11.0%
Rev Growth12.2%
Beta0.39
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.64bullish
IV63%elevated
Max Pain$25-48.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
74 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $37.04Resistance $51.60

Price Targets

$45
$51
A.Upside-9.8%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IMAX stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $48.49, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $50.57 (+4.3%), stop $45.10 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IMAX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $50.57 (-9.8% upside). Target $50.57 (+4.3%), stop $45.10 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Stop-loss: $45.10.

What are the risks of investing in IMAX?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is IMAX overvalued or undervalued?

Imax Corporation trades at a P/E of 68.3 (forward 23.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about IMAX?

18 analysts cover IMAX with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $50.

What does Imax Corporation do?IMAX Corporation (the "Company" or "IMAX") is a Canadian corporation that was formed in March 1994 as a result of an...

IMAX Corporation (the "Company" or "IMAX") is a Canadian corporation that was formed in March 1994 as a result of an amalgamation between WGIM Acquisition Corp. and the former IMAX Corporation ("Predecessor IMAX"). Predecessor IMAX was incorporated in 1967.

Related stocks: CNK (Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark ) · NWSA (News Corporation) · NWS (News Corporation) · WMG (Warner Music Group Corp.) · ANGX (Angel Studios, Inc.)
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