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Enpro Inc. (NPO) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $290.51 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: single Advanced Surface Technologies customer (~24% of net sales) (24.0%).

Enpro is an industrial technology company serving semiconductor, industrial process, commercial vehicle, aerospace, food/biopharma, and life sciences markets through Advanced Surface Technologies and Sealing Technologies segments. The company generated $1.14 billion in 2025... Read more

$290.51+1.4% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#42 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
Stop $270.69Target $294.66(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$300.00+3.3%3 analysts
$294.66our TP
$290.51price
$300.00mean
$285
$310

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $290.51 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: single Advanced Surface Technologies customer (~24% of net sales) (24.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: single Advanced Surface Technologies customer (~24% of net sales) (24.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.4% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)147.0
P/E (Fwd)27.9
Mkt Cap$6.0B
EV/EBITDA23.7
Profit Mgn3.5%
ROE2.7%
Rev Growth14.3%
Beta1.54
Dividend0.45%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C1.31bearish
IV60%elevated
Max Pain$155-46.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomersingle Advanced Surface Technologies customer (~24% of net sales)24%
    10-K Item 1A: 'a customer that accounted for approximately 24% of our 2025 consolidated net sales. These sales were made by our Advanced Surface Technologies segment and the loss of the segment's relationship with that customer...could have a material adverse effect'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-20Item 5.02MEDIUM
    SVP and CIO Larisa R. Joiner will step down April 23, 2026; Company undertaking search for her replacement. She will remain as employee through July 31, 2026 for transition. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.2
Quality Rank
1.5
Growth Rank
7.0

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Pe
0.0
Ev Ebitda
0.0
Analyst Target
3.0
Forward Pe
4.4
Peg Ratio
4.4
Ps
6.7
Forward P/E: 27.9xPEG: 2.11
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $244.71Resistance $300.67

Price Targets

$271
$295
A.Upside+1.4%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NPO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $290.51 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: single Advanced Surface Technologies customer (~24% of net sales) (24.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $270.69. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NPO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $294.66 (+1.4% upside). Prior stop was $270.69. Stop-loss: $270.69.

What are the risks of investing in NPO?

Concentration risk — Customer: single Advanced Surface Technologies customer (~24% of net sales) (24.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.4% away).

Is NPO overvalued or undervalued?

Enpro Inc. trades at a P/E of 147.0 (forward 27.9). TrendMatrix value score: 3.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NPO?

6 analysts cover NPO with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $300.

What does Enpro Inc. do?Enpro is an industrial technology company serving semiconductor, industrial process, commercial vehicle, aerospace,...

Enpro is an industrial technology company serving semiconductor, industrial process, commercial vehicle, aerospace, food/biopharma, and life sciences markets through Advanced Surface Technologies and Sealing Technologies segments. The company generated $1.14 billion in 2025 revenues. A single unnamed customer in the Advanced Surface Technologies segment accounted for approximately 24% of 2025 consolidated net sales.

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