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NPOEnpro Inc.Hold5.3·$296.95+0.57%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Enpro has delivered strong cash generation with a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 and free cash flow at 308% of net income, but its valuation has moved ahead of fundamentals with a negative asymmetry ratio and the stock trading above its analyst price target, limiting near-term upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Cash ConversionStable
  • Earnings Beat ConsistencyStable
  • Elevated Options Market RiskDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Enpro Inc. (NPO) Stock Analysis

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $296.95, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Expensive valuation.

Enpro Inc. designs and manufactures sealing and advanced surface technology products across two segments—Sealing Technologies and Advanced Surface Technologies—serving semiconductor, industrial, aerospace, and other end markets from 15 primary facilities in 8 countries. The... Read more

$296.95+11.5% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#40 of 55 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.08%
IncomeYield0.43%(5y avg 0.86%)Payout61.17%
Stop $276.94Target $331.07(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$389.50+31.2%4 analysts
$331.07our TP
$296.95price
$389.50mean
$430

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $296.95, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-05
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)143.5
P/E (Fwd)27.3
Mkt Cap$6.3B
EV/EBITDA22.6
Profit Mgn3.6%
ROE2.9%
Rev Growth17.6%
Beta1.55
Dividend0.43%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.13bullish
IV46%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomersingle AST customer (~24% of net sales)24%
    10-K Item 1A: 'a customer that accounted for approximately 24% of our 2025 consolidated net sales'
  • MEDIUMSupplierChina rare earth minerals
    10-K Item 1A: 'Some of AST's operations rely upon sourcing certain rare earth minerals that historically have been sourced indirectly from China'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-20Item 5.02LOW
    CIO Larisa R. Joiner to step down April 23, 2026; company conducting search for replacement. Joiner remains as employee at current salary through July 31, 2026 to facilitate transition; eligible for severance under Senior Officer Severance Plan upon termination.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Pe
0.0
Ev Ebitda
0.0
Forward Pe
4.5
Peg Ratio
4.7
Analyst Target
6.0
Ps
6.8
Forward P/E: 27.3xPEG: 1.78
GatesMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.9>=4.5A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
19 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $285.51Resistance $349.28

Price Targets

$277
$331
A.Upside+11.5%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier +2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NPO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $296.95, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $331.07 (+11.5%), stop $276.94 (−7.2%), A.R:R 1.5:1. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NPO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $331.07 (+11.5% upside). Target $331.07 (+11.5%), stop $276.94 (−7.2%), A.R:R 1.5:1. Stop-loss: $276.94.

What are the risks of investing in NPO?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Expensive valuation.

Is NPO overvalued or undervalued?

Enpro Inc. trades at a P/E of 143.5 (forward 27.3). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NPO?

7 analysts cover NPO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $390.

What does Enpro Inc. do?Enpro Inc. designs and manufactures sealing and advanced surface technology products across two segments—Sealing...

Enpro Inc. designs and manufactures sealing and advanced surface technology products across two segments—Sealing Technologies and Advanced Surface Technologies—serving semiconductor, industrial, aerospace, and other end markets from 15 primary facilities in 8 countries. The company generated $1.14 billion in sales in 2025, with semiconductor representing 32.1% of revenue; roughly two-thirds of Sealing Technologies revenue comes from recurring aftermarket sales.

Related stocks: GTES (Gates Industrial Corporation Lt) · AMSC (American Superconductor Corpora) · EPAC (Enerpac Tool Group Corp.) · MWA (MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS) · HLIO (Helios Technologies, Inc.)
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