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NPOEnpro Inc.Sell4.4·$326.92-4.21%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Enpro has delivered strong cash generation with a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 and free cash flow at 308% of net income, but its valuation has moved ahead of fundamentals with a negative asymmetry ratio and the stock trading above its analyst price target, limiting near-term upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Cash ConversionStable
  • Earnings Beat ConsistencyStable
  • Elevated Options Market RiskStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Enpro Inc. (NPO) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $326.92 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.4/10.

Enpro Inc. designs and manufactures sealing and advanced surface technology products across two segments—Sealing Technologies and Advanced Surface Technologies—serving semiconductor, industrial, aerospace, and other end markets from 15 primary facilities in 8 countries. The... Read more

$326.92+17.4% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#51 of 58 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.89%
IncomeYield0.38%(5y avg 0.86%)Payout60.98%
Stop $305.14Target $382.61(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$327.00+0.0%3 analysts
$382.61our TP
$326.92price
$327.00mean
$305
$383

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $326.92 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.4/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 29d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202629d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak overall score: 4.4/10
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)163.7
P/E (Fwd)32.4
Mkt Cap$7.1B
EV/EBITDA26.9
Profit Mgn3.7%
ROE2.9%
Rev Growth10.9%
Beta1.51
Dividend0.38%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C89.44bearish
IV54%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomersingle AST customer (~24% of net sales)24%
    10-K Item 1A: 'a customer that accounted for approximately 24% of our 2025 consolidated net sales'
  • MEDIUMSupplierChina rare earth minerals
    10-K Item 1A: 'Some of AST's operations rely upon sourcing certain rare earth minerals that historically have been sourced indirectly from China'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-20Item 5.02LOW
    CIO Larisa R. Joiner to step down April 23, 2026; company conducting search for replacement. Joiner remains as employee at current salary through July 31, 2026 to facilitate transition; eligible for severance under Senior Officer Severance Plan upon termination.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.8
Quality Rank
2.0
Growth Rank
5.7

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Pe
0.0
Ev Ebitda
0.0
Analyst Target
3.0
Forward Pe
3.5
Peg Ratio
4.1
Ps
6.2
Forward P/E: 32.4xPEG: 2.45Expensive valuation
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 29d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $314.58Resistance $390.42

Price Targets

$305
$383
A.Upside+17.0%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.7% upside)
! momentum at 2.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (29d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NPO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $326.92 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.4/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $305.14. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NPO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $382.61 (+17.4% upside). Prior stop was $305.14. Stop-loss: $305.14.

What are the risks of investing in NPO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.4/10; Expensive valuation.

Is NPO overvalued or undervalued?

Enpro Inc. trades at a P/E of 163.7 (forward 32.4). TrendMatrix value score: 2.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NPO?

6 analysts cover NPO with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $327.

What does Enpro Inc. do?Enpro Inc. designs and manufactures sealing and advanced surface technology products across two segments—Sealing...

Enpro Inc. designs and manufactures sealing and advanced surface technology products across two segments—Sealing Technologies and Advanced Surface Technologies—serving semiconductor, industrial, aerospace, and other end markets from 15 primary facilities in 8 countries. The company generated $1.14 billion in sales in 2025, with semiconductor representing 32.1% of revenue; roughly two-thirds of Sealing Technologies revenue comes from recurring aftermarket sales.

Related stocks: AMSC (American Superconductor Corpora) · CXT (Crane NXT, Co.) · MIDD (The Middleby Corporation) · OTIS (Otis Worldwide Corporation) · BW (Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, I)
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