Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $577.59 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5; Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (84.0%).
Northrop Grumman is a global aerospace and defense technology company organized into four segments: Aeronautics Systems, Defense Systems, Mission Systems, and Space Systems. The company derived 84% of sales from the U.S. government in 2025, across programs including the B-21... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $577.59 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5; Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (84.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerU.S. government84%10-K Item 1A: 'Our primary customer is the U.S. government, from which we derived 84 percent of our sales in 2025.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-13Item 5.02LOWAdmiral Christopher W. Grady elected to Board effective February 12, 2026; appointed to Audit and Risk Committee and Policy Committee. Board size increased from 12 to 13 members. No officer departures.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $577.59 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5; Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (84.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $550.31. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $647.40 (+12.3% upside). Prior stop was $550.31. Stop-loss: $550.31.
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (84.0%); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5; Negative news sentiment (-0.77).
Northrop Grumman Corporation trades at a P/E of 18.0 (forward 18.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
29 analysts cover NOC with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $719.
What does Northrop Grumman Corporation do?Northrop Grumman is a global aerospace and defense technology company organized into four segments: Aeronautics...
Northrop Grumman is a global aerospace and defense technology company organized into four segments: Aeronautics Systems, Defense Systems, Mission Systems, and Space Systems. The company derived 84% of sales from the U.S. government in 2025, across programs including the B-21 Raider, missile defense, and space systems. Revenue comes from cost-type and fixed-price government contracts.