Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $553.81: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (84.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9).
Northrop Grumman is a leading global defense technology company with four segments (Aeronautics Systems, Defense Systems, Mission Systems, Space Systems) principally serving the U.S. Department of War and intelligence community. In fiscal 2025, the company generated $41.954B in... Read more
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $553.81: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (84.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.
Recent Developments — Northrop Grumman Corporation
Latest news
- Analysts Offer Insights on Industrial Goods Companies: Northrop Grumman (NOC) and ITT (ITT) - The Globe and Mail — The Globe and Mail positive
- Northrop Grumman to Post Q1 Earnings: What's in Store for the Stock? - TradingView — TradingView neutral
- Northrop Grumman to Post Q1 Earnings: What's in Store for the Stock? - TradingView — Track All Markets — TradingView — Track All Markets neutral
- Here's why Northrop Grumman (NOC) is a strong growth stock - MSN — MSN positive
- Here's Why Northrop Grumman (NOC) is a Strong Growth Stock - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerU.S. government84%10-K Item 1: 'Sales to the U.S. government accounted for 84 percent, 87 percent and 86 percent of sales during the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-13Item 5.02LOWBoard elected Admiral Christopher W. Grady as director effective February 12, 2026. Grady most recently served as 12th Vice Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, retired Oct 2025. Board also approved expansion from 12 to 13 members and designated James S. Turley as Lead Independent Director effective May 20, 2026.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Analyst Consensus
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $553.81: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (84.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $530.46. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $631.47 (+14.0% upside). Prior stop was $530.46. Stop-loss: $530.46.
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (84.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
Northrop Grumman Corporation trades at a P/E of 17.5 (forward 18.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
29 analysts cover NOC with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $702.
What does Northrop Grumman Corporation do?Northrop Grumman is a leading global defense technology company with four segments (Aeronautics Systems, Defense...
Northrop Grumman is a leading global defense technology company with four segments (Aeronautics Systems, Defense Systems, Mission Systems, Space Systems) principally serving the U.S. Department of War and intelligence community. In fiscal 2025, the company generated $41.954B in total sales with 84% from the U.S. government, and held $95.7B in total backlog. Key programs include the B-21 Raider, Sentinel ICBM, F-35 subsystems, and various space/missile defense programs.