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HEIHeico CorporationHold6.0·$335.53-0.19%
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Heico Corporation (HEI) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $335.53, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Flight Support Group (70.0%); Thin upside margin: 3.6%.

HEICO Corporation manufactures FAA-approved jet engine and aircraft component replacement parts through its Flight Support Group (FSG, 70% of fiscal 2025 net sales) and designs electronic, electro-optical, and defense equipment through its Electronic Technologies Group (ETG,... Read more

$335.53+3.6% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#5 of 47 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.51%
IncomeYield0.07%(5y avg 0.10%)Payout4.29%sustainable
Stop $312.04Target $347.49(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$386.10+15.1%20 analysts
$347.49our TP
$335.53price
$386.10mean
$290
$471

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $335.53, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Flight Support Group (70.0%); Thin upside margin: 3.6%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 25, 202670d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Flight Support Group (70.0%)
Thin upside margin: 3.6%
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)59.9
P/E (Fwd)49.1
Mkt Cap$47.0B
EV/EBITDA36.4
Profit Mgn16.1%
ROE17.2%
Rev Growth25.3%
Beta1.03
Dividend0.07%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.49bullish
IV43%normal
Max Pain$210-37.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductFlight Support Group70%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our Flight Support Group ("FSG")...accounted for 70%, 68% and 60% of our net sales in fiscal 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'
  • MEDIUMProductdefense and homeland security products31%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In fiscal 2025, approximately 31% of our net sales were derived from the sale of defense, commercial and defense satellite and spacecraft components, and homeland security products.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicforeign customers38%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 38% of our consolidated net sales in fiscal 2025 derived from sales to foreign customers'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.0
Forward Pe
2.4
Peg Ratio
3.7
Ps
3.8
Analyst Target
5.0
Forward P/E: 49.1xPEG: 3.08Expensive valuation
GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $288.53Resistance $351.99

Price Targets

$312
$347
A.Upside+3.6%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-25 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HEI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $335.53, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Flight Support Group (70.0%); Thin upside margin: 3.6%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $347.49 (+3.6%), stop $312.04 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HEI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $347.49 (+3.6% upside). Target $347.49 (+3.6%), stop $312.04 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Stop-loss: $312.04.

What are the risks of investing in HEI?

Concentration risk — Product: Flight Support Group (70.0%); Thin upside margin: 3.6%; Expensive valuation.

Is HEI overvalued or undervalued?

Heico Corporation trades at a P/E of 59.9 (forward 49.1). TrendMatrix value score: 3.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about HEI?

28 analysts cover HEI with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $386.

What does Heico Corporation do?HEICO Corporation manufactures FAA-approved jet engine and aircraft component replacement parts through its Flight...

HEICO Corporation manufactures FAA-approved jet engine and aircraft component replacement parts through its Flight Support Group (FSG, 70% of fiscal 2025 net sales) and designs electronic, electro-optical, and defense equipment through its Electronic Technologies Group (ETG, 30%). Net sales reached $4,485.0 million in fiscal 2025, serving commercial airlines, the U.S. Department of Defense, defense prime contractors, and foreign military organizations.

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