Heico Corporation (HEI) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $265.69 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Expensive valuation.
HEICO makes FAA-approved jet engine and aircraft component replacement parts (Flight Support Group, 70% of fiscal 2025 net sales) and electronic equipment for aviation, defense, space, and medical markets (Electronic Technologies Group, 30%). Revenue comes from parts sold at... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $265.69 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 34, MACD bearish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographicforeign customers38%10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 38% of our consolidated net sales in fiscal 2025 derived from sales to foreign customers'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $265.69 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 34, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $248.43. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $318.69 (+20.2% upside). Prior stop was $248.43. Stop-loss: $248.43.
Expensive valuation; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Heico Corporation trades at a P/E of 51.8 (forward 41.1). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
27 analysts cover HEI with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $354.
What does Heico Corporation do?HEICO makes FAA-approved jet engine and aircraft component replacement parts (Flight Support Group, 70% of fiscal 2025...
HEICO makes FAA-approved jet engine and aircraft component replacement parts (Flight Support Group, 70% of fiscal 2025 net sales) and electronic equipment for aviation, defense, space, and medical markets (Electronic Technologies Group, 30%). Revenue comes from parts sold at lower prices than OEMs plus repair/overhaul services; approximately 38% of fiscal 2025 net sales came from foreign customers.