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HEIHeico CorporationHold6.4·$337.67
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Heico operates a genuinely high-quality industrial franchise with a perfect financial health score, best-in-class peer margins, and four consecutive earnings beats averaging approximately 12% positive surprise, but the stock is priced at roughly 49 times forward earnings with only 3.4% upside to consensus — an unfavorable 0.49-to-1 reward-to-risk means the business merits holding but the current setup does not support adding.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Growth Franchise→Stable
  • Consistent Earnings Delivery↑Improving
  • Stretched Valuation Thin Upside↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Dec 22, 2025· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Heico Corporation (HEI) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $337.67, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Flight Support Group (70.0%); Thin upside margin: 4.1%.

HEICO Corporation manufactures FAA-approved jet engine and aircraft component replacement parts through its Flight Support Group (FSG, 70% of fiscal 2025 net sales) and designs electronic, electro-optical, and defense equipment through its Electronic Technologies Group (ETG,... Read more

$337.67+4.1% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#7 of 66 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.79%
IncomeYield0.07%(5y avg 0.09%)Payout4.17%sustainable
Stop $316.39Analyst target $351.63(−10% haircut)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst consensus$390.70+15.7%20 analysts with price targets
$351.63Analyst target
$337.67price
$390.70mean
$294
$491

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $337.67, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Flight Support Group (70.0%); Thin upside margin: 4.1%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 42d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 27, 2026

Recent Developments — Heico Corporation

Latest item Oct 27, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:34:08Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Dec 17, 202642d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.4 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Flight Support Group (70.0%)
Thin upside margin: 4.1%
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)56.3
P/E (Fwd)46.7
Mkt Cap$47.2B
EV/EBITDA34.0
Profit Mgn16.4%
ROE17.7%
Rev Growth23.1%
Beta1.09
Dividend0.07%
Analysts with ratings29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.78neutral
IV41%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductFlight Support Group70%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our Flight Support Group ("FSG")...accounted for 70%, 68% and 60% of our net sales in fiscal 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'
  • MEDIUMProductdefense and homeland security products31%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In fiscal 2025, approximately 31% of our net sales were derived from the sale of defense, commercial and defense satellite and spacecraft components, and homeland security products.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicforeign customers38%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 38% of our consolidated net sales in fiscal 2025 derived from sales to foreign customers'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.2
Forward Pe
2.5
Ps
4.1
Peg Ratio
4.2
Analyst Target
5.0
Forward P/E: 46.7xPEG: 2.32

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.2
Support Resistance
1.3
Gap
5.0
52w Position
7.9
GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 42d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
71 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $285.21Resistance $345.75

Price Targets

$316
$352
A.Upside+4.1%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-17 (42d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HEI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $337.67, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Flight Support Group (70.0%); Thin upside margin: 4.1%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $351.63 (+4.1%), stop $316.39 (−6.7%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HEI stock price target?

Analyst target: $351.63 (+4.1% upside). Analyst target $351.63 (+4.1%), stop $316.39 (−6.7%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Stop-loss: $316.39.

What are the risks of investing in HEI?

Concentration risk — Product: Flight Support Group (70.0%); Thin upside margin: 4.1%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is HEI overvalued or undervalued?

Heico Corporation trades at a P/E of 56.3 (forward 46.7). TrendMatrix value score: 3.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about HEI?

29 analysts rate HEI, with a consensus score of 3.8/5. 20 analysts publish price targets averaging $391.

What does Heico Corporation do?HEICO Corporation manufactures FAA-approved jet engine and aircraft component replacement parts through its Flight...

HEICO Corporation manufactures FAA-approved jet engine and aircraft component replacement parts through its Flight Support Group (FSG, 70% of fiscal 2025 net sales) and designs electronic, electro-optical, and defense equipment through its Electronic Technologies Group (ETG, 30%). Net sales reached $4,485.0 million in fiscal 2025, serving commercial airlines, the U.S. Department of Defense, defense prime contractors, and foreign military organizations.

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