Rocket Lab Corporation (RKLB) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $82.06: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.
Rocket Lab is an end-to-end space company providing launch services (Electron, 75 successful missions through 2025), spacecraft design, components, and on-orbit management. Revenue was $601.8M in 2025. It serves U.S. government agencies (DoD, NASA, NRO) and commercial operators... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $82.06: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomertop-5 customers49%10-K Item 1A: 'our top five customers accounted for approximately 49% of our revenues'
- MEDIUMCustomerU.S. government47%10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 47%...of our total annual revenues were derived from contracts with the U.S. government, U.S. prime contractors and its agencies or from subcontracts with other U.S. government contractors'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-30Item 5.02LOWCEO Peter Beck voluntarily reduced base salary to $1.00 and cancelled all unvested RSUs (392,155 shares) effective March 30, 2026. Compensatory arrangement change for existing officer; no departure.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Unprofitable operations — net margin -32.9%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $82.06: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $76.24. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $91.24 (+11.3% upside). Prior stop was $76.24. Stop-loss: $76.24.
Target reached (-3.9% upside); Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0).
Rocket Lab Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 1502.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
26 analysts cover RKLB with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $88.
What does Rocket Lab Corporation do?Rocket Lab is an end-to-end space company providing launch services (Electron, 75 successful missions through 2025),...
Rocket Lab is an end-to-end space company providing launch services (Electron, 75 successful missions through 2025), spacecraft design, components, and on-orbit management. Revenue was $601.8M in 2025. It serves U.S. government agencies (DoD, NASA, NRO) and commercial operators globally.