Nike, Inc. (NKE) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Cyclical · Footwear & Accessories
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $44.37 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: independent contractors outside the United States; Weak overall score: 4.6/10.
Nike designs, develops and sells athletic footwear, apparel and equipment globally under the NIKE, Jordan and Converse brands; it is the largest seller of athletic footwear and apparel in the world. Products are sold through NIKE Direct (retail stores and digital) and wholesale... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $44.37 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: independent contractors outside the United States; Weak overall score: 4.6/10. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSupplierindependent contractors outside the United States10-K Item 1A: 'A majority of our products are manufactured and sold outside of the United States'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-09Item 1.02MEDIUMNike terminated its prior revolving credit facility and entered a new 364-Day Credit Agreement ($1B facility with Bank of America as agent) on March 6, 2026. Termination of the prior material credit agreement upon refinancing.SEC filing →
- 2026-03-05Item 2.05MEDIUMManagement approved organizational changes on February 27, 2026 expected to result in ~$300M pre-tax charges for the 9 months ended February 28, 2026, primarily employee severance costs, substantially all recognized in Q3 fiscal 2026.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $44.37 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: independent contractors outside the United States; Weak overall score: 4.6/10. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Prior stop was $42.08. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $56.75 (+28.1% upside). Prior stop was $42.08. Stop-loss: $42.08.
Concentration risk — Supplier: independent contractors outside the United States; Weak overall score: 4.6/10; Weak growth.
Nike, Inc. trades at a P/E of 29.2 (forward 24.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
43 analysts cover NKE with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $62.
What does Nike, Inc. do?Nike designs, develops and sells athletic footwear, apparel and equipment globally under the NIKE, Jordan and Converse...
Nike designs, develops and sells athletic footwear, apparel and equipment globally under the NIKE, Jordan and Converse brands; it is the largest seller of athletic footwear and apparel in the world. Products are sold through NIKE Direct (retail stores and digital) and wholesale accounts. Nearly all products are manufactured by independent contractors outside the United States.