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Birkenstock Holding plc (BIRK) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Footwear & Accessories

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $37.99, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Birkenstock Holding plc engages in the manufacture and sale of footwear products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It offers footbed-based products, including sandals and closed-toe shoes; and skincare products and accessories. The company... Read more

$37.99+35.7% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#1 of 7 Footwear & Accessories
Stop $34.94Target $51.00(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.5:1
Analyst target$56.67+49.2%20 analysts
$51.00our TP
$37.99price
$56.67mean
$78

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $37.99, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.8
P/E (Fwd)13.1
Mkt Cap$6.9B
EV/EBITDA12.9
Profit Mgn17.7%
ROE13.7%
Rev Growth11.1%
Beta1.22
DividendNone
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV70%elevated
Max Pain$20-47.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
0.9
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 1.5<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 3.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $33.70Resistance $42.89

Price Targets

$35
$51
A.Upside+34.2%
A.R:R3.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-13 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BIRK stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $37.99, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $51.00 (+34.2%), stop $34.94 (−8.7%), A.R:R 3.5:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BIRK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $51.00 (+35.7% upside). Target $51.00 (+34.2%), stop $34.94 (−8.7%), A.R:R 3.5:1. Stop-loss: $34.94.

What are the risks of investing in BIRK?

Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is BIRK overvalued or undervalued?

Birkenstock Holding plc trades at a P/E of 15.8 (forward 13.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about BIRK?

27 analysts cover BIRK with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $57.

What does Birkenstock Holding plc do?Birkenstock Holding plc engages in the manufacture and sale of footwear products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle...

Birkenstock Holding plc engages in the manufacture and sale of footwear products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It offers footbed-based products, including sandals and closed-toe shoes; and skincare products and accessories. The company sells its products through e-commerce sites and a network of owned retail stores, as well as business-to-business channels. The company was formerly known as Birkenstock Group Limited. Birkenstock Holding plc was founded in 1774 and is based in London, the United Kingdom. Birkenstock Holding plc operates as a subsidiary of BK LC Lux MidCo S.à r.l.

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