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BIRKBirkenstock Holding plcSell5.2·$48.97+2.17%
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Birkenstock Holding plc (BIRK) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Footwear & Accessories

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $48.97 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak growth.

Birkenstock Holding plc engages in the manufacture and sale of footwear products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It offers footbed-based products, including sandals and closed-toe shoes; and skincare products and accessories. The company... Read more

$48.97+1.5% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#5 of 7 Footwear & Accessories
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.16%
Stop $45.54Target $49.72(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$52.43+7.1%20 analysts
$49.72our TP
$48.97price
$52.43mean
$41
$77

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $48.97 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak growth. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 13, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.6
P/E (Fwd)17.1
Mkt Cap$8.8B
EV/EBITDA16.1
Profit Mgn16.3%
ROE12.5%
Rev Growth7.7%
Beta1.25
DividendNone
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.68bullish
IV67%elevated
Max Pain$20-59.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
4.4

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.9
Bollinger
1.6
52w Position
6.5
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 7.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $31.60Resistance $50.73

Price Targets

$46
$50
A.Upside+1.5%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-13 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BIRK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $48.97 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak growth. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $45.54. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BIRK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $49.72 (+1.5% upside). Prior stop was $45.54. Stop-loss: $45.54.

What are the risks of investing in BIRK?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.

Is BIRK overvalued or undervalued?

Birkenstock Holding plc trades at a P/E of 21.6 (forward 17.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BIRK?

27 analysts cover BIRK with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $52.

What does Birkenstock Holding plc do?Birkenstock Holding plc engages in the manufacture and sale of footwear products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle...

Birkenstock Holding plc engages in the manufacture and sale of footwear products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It offers footbed-based products, including sandals and closed-toe shoes; and skincare products and accessories. The company sells its products through e-commerce sites and a network of owned retail stores, as well as business-to-business channels. The company was formerly known as Birkenstock Group Limited. Birkenstock Holding plc was founded in 1774 and is based in London, the United Kingdom. Birkenstock Holding plc operates as a subsidiary of BK LC Lux MidCo S.à r.l.

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